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Toyo Tec Co., Ltd (9686) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9686

Toyo Tec Co., Ltd

(TSE/TYO:9686)

Select Model
Rating:85Outperform
Price Target:JPY 1,958.00▲(19.90% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

Toyo Tec Co., Ltd. demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth, improving margins, and healthy cash flow. The technical indicators suggest a bullish trend with no overbought signals. Valuation is attractive with a low P/E and solid dividend yield. These factors combine to support a high overall score.

Positive Factors
Revenue and earnings growthThe sharp improvement in revenue and net income indicates stronger operating leverage and business momentum. If sustained, this earnings inflection can strengthen internal funding capacity and improve resilience over the next several reporting periods.
Negative Factors
Thin, uneven marginsThin and inconsistent profitability leaves less protection against weaker demand, cost inflation or execution issues. Although 2026 improved materially, the historical pattern suggests earnings quality and margin sustainability still need to be demonstrated.

Toyo Tec Co., Ltd (9686) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:9686+8.64%EWJ+13.61%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 17.33B
Dividend Yield
4.53%
Average Volume (3M)
3,961
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.0
Beta (1Y)
0.45
Revenue Growth
-15.20%
EPS Growth
-37.78%
Country
Japan
Employees
2,096
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Security & Protection Services

Toyo Tec Co., Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 1966 and headquartered in Osaka, Japan, Toyo Tec Co.,Ltd. is a comprehensive provider of security services across the nation. Its core offerings encompass protection for mechanical systems, homes, transportation, and various facilities...

How the Company Makes Money

null

Toyo Tec Co., Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth accelerated to 23% in the latest fiscal year, with operating margin reaching 6.8% and net margin 4.6%. Balance sheet remains conservative (D/E 0.34) and cash flow generation is robust (FCF ¥4.2B). Overall strong financial health, though asset utilization could improve further.

Income Statement

85Very Positive

Balance Sheet

80Positive

Cash Flow

88Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue40.10B43.07B34.93B31.25B30.14B27.47B
Gross Profit8.53B8.96B6.91B6.00B5.84B5.40B
EBITDA4.44B4.43B2.88B2.33B2.26B1.90B
Net Income1.60B1.97B692.70M626.23M741.88M459.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets39.22B39.39B38.80B35.77B31.59B29.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.68B12.35B10.62B10.89B10.18B10.73B
Total Debt9.37B7.97B9.46B6.55B5.07B4.04B
Total Liabilities15.99B16.06B17.06B14.46B10.96B9.43B
Stockholders Equity23.22B23.33B21.74B21.31B20.62B20.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow04.17B1.72B-2.09B404.53M-1.33B
Operating Cash Flow05.02B2.86B1.90B1.50B783.89M
Investing Cash Flow0-1.21B-4.45B-3.05B-1.33B203.25M
Financing Cash Flow0-1.87B2.42B1.14B-135.85M-881.43M

Toyo Tec Co., Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1633.00

Price Trends

50DMA1647.52Negative
100DMA1622.34Negative
200DMA1612.09Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-10.65Positive
RSI44.02Neutral
STOCH21.00Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9686, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1633.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1620.15, below the 50-day MA of 1647.52, and above the 200-day MA of 1612.09, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -10.65 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9686.

Toyo Tec Co., Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:9686 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:9686JP:968685OutperformJPY 16.87B13.00―4.53%-15.20%-37.78%
JP:6744JP:674484OutperformJPY 271.07B16.34―2.72%11.62%53.88%
JP:9735JP:973576OutperformJPY 3.00T25.348.70%1.57%4.25%14.23%
JP:7734JP:773472OutperformJPY 156.54B14.96―1.79%14.25%30.90%
JP:2331JP:233164NeutralJPY 652.28B16.35―2.45%6.83%22.16%
JP:9740JP:974063NeutralJPY 38.99B21.26―2.57%6.94%-40.69%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%JP:9686JP:9735JP:2331JP:6744JP:7734JP:9740Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9686 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9686Toyo Tec Co., Ltd1633.00115.587.62%
JP:9735Secom Co 6990.001808.1734.89%
JP:2331Sohgo Security Services Co., Ltd.1312.00166.1614.50%
JP:6744Nohmi Bosai Ltd.4555.001134.1233.15%
JP:7734Riken Keiki Co., Ltd.3350.00138.614.32%
JP:9740Central Security Patrols Co., Ltd.2720.00142.205.52%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026