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TOKYO GAS Co (9531) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9531

TOKYO GAS Co

(TSE/TYO:9531)

Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:JPY 6,804.00▲(5.15% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The score is primarily driven by solid (but volatile) financial performance, including a strong earnings rebound and improving operating cash flow, tempered by meaningful leverage and uneven year-to-year stability. Valuation is supportive with a low P/E and moderate yield. Technicals are the main offset, with overbought signals and the price still below the 200-day moving average.

Positive Factors
Earnings reboundThe return to revenue growth alongside a sharp earnings recovery shows that Tokyo Gas retains meaningful earnings power across its energy businesses. If operating conditions remain supportive, the improved profit base can strengthen internal funding capacity and support investment over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Earnings volatilityThe wide swings in revenue, margins, and net income make it harder to treat the latest profit rebound as a consistently repeatable earnings level. Uneven profitability can complicate planning, reduce visibility for capital allocation, and leave results sensitive to changing energy economics.

TOKYO GAS Co (9531) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:9531+8.37%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 13.58B
Dividend Yield
1.85%
Average Volume (3M)
1.11M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.2
Beta (1Y)
0.40
Revenue Growth
3.63%
EPS Growth
14.06%
Country
Japan
Employees
16,001
Sector
Utilities
Sector Strength
66
Industry
Regulated Gas

TOKYO GAS Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tokyo Gas Co.,Ltd. engages in the production, supply, and sale of city gas and LNG in Japan. It operates through Energy Solutions, Network, Overseas, and Urban development segments. The company is involved in the production, supply, and sale of elect...

How the Company Makes Money

TOKYO GAS makes money primarily by supplying energy to end users and by earning margins across the energy value chain. Key revenue streams include: (1) City gas sales: the company sells natural-gas-based city gas to households, commercial facilities,...

TOKYO GAS Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are solid but uneven: revenue and margins have been volatile, with a sharp net income rebound in 2026 (¥226.9B vs. ¥74.2B in 2025). Balance sheet leverage is moderate for a regulated utility and has improved (debt-to-equity down vs. earlier years), but debt remains sizable and ROE has been uneven. Operating cash flow strengthened into 2026 (¥316B → ¥452B from 2024–2026), while free cash flow has been positive in most years but notably volatile.

Income Statement

73Positive

Balance Sheet

66Positive

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.83T2.64T2.83T2.66T3.29T2.15T
Gross Profit484.13B380.49B507.26B445.67B656.25B366.77B
EBITDA558.01B405.65B578.57B479.57B632.59B352.64B
Net Income203.87B74.19B226.86B165.48B280.92B95.70B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.72T3.86T3.89T3.90T3.58T3.19T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments245.66B244.49B187.10B363.94B453.51B179.78B
Total Debt1.21T1.34T1.21T1.44T1.26T1.22T
Total Liabilities2.03T2.05T2.10T2.14T1.99T1.91T
Stockholders Equity1.61T1.73T1.72T1.69T1.56T1.25T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0177.20B290.93B135.61B336.38B-21.97B
Operating Cash Flow0363.12B451.84B316.32B487.03B145.23B
Investing Cash Flow0-263.53B-206.93B-362.01B-203.52B-224.66B
Financing Cash Flow0-255.98B-296.34B-58.34B-22.40B90.49B

TOKYO GAS Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price6471.00

Price Trends

50DMA6219.05Positive
100DMA6127.67Positive
200DMA6522.79Negative

Market Momentum

MACD88.64Negative
RSI56.50Neutral
STOCH34.81Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9531, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6471.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6325.50, above the 50-day MA of 6219.05, and below the 200-day MA of 6522.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 88.64 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9531.

TOKYO GAS Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)

Financial Indicators

JP:9531 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:9543JP:954378OutperformJPY 100.70B10.397.33%3.27%2.03%-22.02%
JP:9532JP:953270OutperformJPY 2.21T18.016.91%2.16%0.88%-27.81%
JP:9531JP:953169NeutralJPY 2.15T11.1911.52%1.85%3.63%14.06%
JP:9533JP:953368NeutralJPY 455.81B25.273.73%1.82%-2.49%-30.83%
Sector *66Neutral$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
JP:8174JP:817462NeutralJPY 285.08B20.5022.07%7.80%7.75%9.01%
JP:9536JP:953662NeutralJPY 102.17B9.788.87%2.48%-5.67%20.75%

* Utilities Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%JP:9531JP:8174JP:9532JP:9533JP:9536JP:9543Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9531 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9531TOKYO GAS Co 6471.00471.387.86%
JP:8174NIPPON GAS Co895.70-62.79-6.55%
JP:9532Osaka Gas Co 5780.00701.2913.81%
JP:9533TOHO GAS Co 1238.5055.864.72%
JP:9536SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD.2828.00963.1051.64%
JP:9543SHIZUOKA GAS CO. LTD.1362.00222.8219.56%

TOKYO GAS Co Corporate Events

Tokyo Gas Launches Share-Based Employee Compensation Trust

Oct 29, 2026

Tokyo Gas Co., Ltd. has decided to introduce a new share-based compensation system for certain employees, using a Share Delivery Trust funded entirely by the company to acquire its own common shares on the market. The program is designed to link empl...

Tokyo Gas Launches ¥50 Billion Share Buyback to Strengthen Shareholder Returns

Oct 29, 2026

Tokyo Gas has approved a new share buyback program of up to 12 million common shares, representing about 3.6% of shares outstanding, with an aggregate purchase value capped at ¥50 billion. The repurchase, to be executed via market purchases on the To...

Tokyo Gas Posts Higher Sales But Lower Profit, Lifts Dividend Payout

Oct 29, 2026

Tokyo Gas reported consolidated net sales of ¥1,375.8 billion for the six months ended September 30, 2026, up 2.1% year on year, with operating profit rising 8.4% to ¥103.3 billion and ordinary profit jumping 25.2% to ¥107.9 billion. Profit attributa...

Tokyo Gas Nears ¥50 Billion Ceiling on Share Buyback Program

Sep 24, 2026

Tokyo Gas Co., Ltd., a major Japanese city gas utility serving the Tokyo region and listed on the TSE Prime and NSE Premier markets, continues to leverage treasury stock repurchases as part of its capital management strategy aimed at enhancing shareh...

Tokyo Gas Moves Past Halfway Mark in ¥50 Billion Share Buyback

Sep 2, 2026

Tokyo Gas Co., Ltd. reported progress on its ongoing share buyback program, acquiring 1,838,300 common shares on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between August 1 and August 31, 2026, for a total of ¥11.1 billion. This forms part of a broader board-approved...

Tokyo Gas to Shift Industrial Service Business to Engineering Subsidiary

Aug 31, 2026

Tokyo Gas Co., Ltd. has approved a simplified absorption-type company split under which its wholly owned subsidiary Tokyo Gas Engineering Solutions Corporation will assume part of the service business for industrial customers. The absorption-type dem...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026