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eREX Co., Ltd. (9517) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9517

eREX Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:9517)

Select Model
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:JPY 668.00▼(-0.45% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/12/26

The score is held back primarily by the sharp deterioration in cash generation (negative free cash flow) and a pronounced downtrend across key moving averages with bearish momentum signals. These are partially offset by improved profitability and healthier leverage versus FY2024, plus a moderate P/E and attractive dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Return to ProfitabilityReturning to profitability after FY2024’s loss demonstrates improved earnings performance and provides a stronger base for funding operations. Positive net income can support reinvestment and shareholder returns, although the current margin still offers only limited protection against cost or pricing pressure.
Negative Factors
Multi-Year Revenue DeclineThree consecutive years of lower revenue indicate that top-line momentum remains a structural weakness rather than a single-period fluctuation. Continued contraction can limit operating leverage, reduce reinvestment capacity, and make it harder for improved profitability to translate into durable earnings growth.

eREX Co., Ltd. (9517) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%JP:9517+7.04%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 53.48B
Dividend Yield
3.28%
Average Volume (3M)
246.55K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
16.0
Beta (1Y)
0.20
Revenue Growth
12.02%
EPS Growth
56.25%
Country
Japan
Employees
302
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Renewable Utilities

eREX Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

eREX Co.,Ltd. is a Japanese energy company that specializes in the production and distribution of electricity. The firm operates a power generation facility that utilizes biomass. In addition to its energy generation activities, eREX also actively pa...

eREX Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Earnings improved with FY2026 returning to profitability and leverage metrics improving (debt-to-equity down to ~0.79x; ROE ~7.6%). However, revenue has declined for three straight years and, most importantly, cash flow quality deteriorated sharply with operating cash flow dropping to ~¥1.9B and free cash flow turning deeply negative (~-¥11.7B), signaling volatile funding capacity.

Income Statement

56Neutral

Balance Sheet

63Positive

Cash Flow

34Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue172.61B171.22B169.17B244.98B296.31B230.50B
Gross Profit19.87B19.91B19.48B-9.30B25.72B22.85B
EBITDA11.01B13.25B9.76B-14.84B20.73B17.63B
Net Income1.44B2.12B5.33B-21.35B9.13B9.65B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets156.43B153.38B170.09B148.61B172.10B157.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.70B33.61B27.57B19.67B33.62B27.16B
Total Debt47.63B45.22B55.84B57.78B55.64B53.60B
Total Liabilities81.50B80.90B92.43B93.01B98.15B90.34B
Stockholders Equity67.81B64.14B70.39B48.10B62.01B55.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow013.90B-11.68B-25.38B20.74B-298.00M
Operating Cash Flow019.50B1.89B-22.70B21.49B13.31B
Investing Cash Flow0-5.34B-15.53B-6.56B-14.58B-22.98B
Financing Cash Flow0-160.00M7.16B15.15B-225.00M4.66B

eREX Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price671.00

Price Trends

50DMA804.96Negative
100DMA811.69Negative
200DMA815.89Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-18.95Positive
RSI26.54Positive
STOCH22.19Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9517, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 671.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 761.90, below the 50-day MA of 804.96, and below the 200-day MA of 815.89, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -18.95 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.54 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9517.

eREX Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:9517 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:9511JP:951153NeutralJPY 60.23B-13.24-3.57%3.59%-2.87%-176.45%
JP:9509JP:950950NeutralJPY 227.80B11.794.26%2.98%-1.33%-66.19%
JP:9519JP:951950NeutralJPY 67.34B26.892.20%―19.50%-52.02%
JP:9513JP:951349NeutralJPY 704.81B13.883.56%2.49%4.40%-51.15%
JP:9517JP:951749NeutralJPY 59.49B15.95―3.28%12.02%56.25%
JP:9501JP:950139UnderperformJPY 715.21B2.339.34%―-2.36%―

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%JP:9517JP:9513JP:9511JP:9519JP:9501JP:9509Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9517 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9517eREX Co., Ltd.671.0023.653.65%
JP:9513Electric Power Development Co4017.001130.9139.18%
JP:9511Okinawa Electric Power Co 1113.0076.797.41%
JP:9519RENOVA 736.00-50.00-6.36%
JP:9501Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings448.30-485.80-52.01%
JP:9509Hokkaido Electric Power Company,Incorporated1124.0069.686.61%

eREX Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

erex Reports 30.4% Sales Growth, 84.2% Operating-Income Decline

Nov 10, 2026

erex Co., Ltd. is listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange under stock code 9517. For the six months ended September 30, 2026, net sales rose 30.4% year over year to ¥112.893 billion, while operating income fell 84.2% to ¥572 million.Income before taxes de...

eREX Six-Month Revenue Rises 30.4% as Operating Income Falls

Nov 10, 2026

eREX Co., Ltd., a company listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, reported consolidated net sales of JPY112,893 million for the six months ended September 30, 2026, up 30.4% year over year. Operating income fell 84.2% to JPY572 million, while income befo...

eREX Posts Strong Revenue Growth but Softer Margins in First Quarter FY2027

Aug 12, 2026

eREX reported consolidated net sales of ¥48.54 billion for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, up 31.0% year-on-year, while operating income fell 56.6% to ¥631 million, and quarterly net income attributable to owners recovered to ¥857 million from a los...

eREX Boosts Sales on Power Price Surge as Yen Tailwind Lifts Profit

Aug 12, 2026

eREX reported a sharp year-on-year increase in net sales for the first quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2027, driven mainly by higher electric power market prices and improved operating rates in its overseas business. Despite this revenue grow...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2026