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ispace,inc. (9348) AI Stock Analysis

8 Followers
JP:9348

ispace,inc.

(TSE/TYO:9348)

Select Model
Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:JPY 315.00▼(-14.17% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/12/26

The overall score reflects severe fundamental weaknesses and poor technical momentum. The company is experiencing intense financial distress with massive cash burn, shrinking revenues, and a deeply negative P/E ratio indicating critical unprofitability. Additionally, technical indicators show a strong, entrenched bearish downtrend across all major moving averages, cementing the stock's highly precarious position.

Positive Factors
Focused lunar exploration platformA dedicated focus on lunar landers, transportation, and mission services gives ispace a clearly defined strategic position in an emerging space segment. Its specialized platform can support recurring customer access opportunities as lunar exploration and the broader cislunar economy develop.
Negative Factors
Persistent cash burnDeeply negative operating and free cash flow indicate that the business is not currently self-funding its activities. Continued burn, including investment and capital expenditure needs, can require ongoing external financing and reduce flexibility to pursue missions or absorb setbacks.

ispace,inc. (9348) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%JP:9348-18.26%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 54.43B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
692.38K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-4.5
Beta (1Y)
1.08
Revenue Growth
-56.20%
EPS Growth
37.51%
Country
Japan
Employees
333
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Computer Hardware

ispace,inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ispace, Inc., established in Tokyo, Japan, in 2010, operates as a pioneering company focused on the utilization of lunar resources. The firm specializes in the engineering and construction of spacecraft designed to land on the moon and rovers for sur...

ispace,inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Intense financial distress characterized by a sharp 37.3% revenue decline, accelerating cash burn, and a massive surge in debt load, threatening operational stability.

Income Statement

12Very Negative

Balance Sheet

28Negative

Cash Flow

8Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.31B3.31B4.74B2.36B989.24M674.14M
Gross Profit-7.71B-2.85B2.24B928.24M552.77M334.59M
EBITDA-15.46B-11.35B-9.63B-5.42B-10.95B-4.00B
Net Income-11.61B-8.15B-11.95B-2.37B-11.40B-4.06B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets40.90B47.70B27.19B27.03B7.19B12.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.70B29.69B13.12B16.83B3.38B6.33B
Total Debt29.76B29.44B16.39B12.86B6.78B2.16B
Total Liabilities32.24B32.53B20.18B17.29B9.54B3.66B
Stockholders Equity8.66B15.17B7.01B9.75B-2.35B8.83B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-15.56B-14.49B-7.05B-7.38B-5.45B
Operating Cash Flow0-13.19B-12.05B-5.02B-7.32B-5.41B
Investing Cash Flow0-2.20B-2.67B-2.06B-90.09M-90.33M
Financing Cash Flow031.45B10.42B20.37B4.36B7.46B

ispace,inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price367.00

Price Trends

50DMA392.76Negative
100DMA411.90Negative
200DMA478.97Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-8.69Negative
RSI50.62Neutral
STOCH86.86Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9348, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 367.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 368.55, below the 50-day MA of 392.76, and below the 200-day MA of 478.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -8.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.86 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9348.

ispace,inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:9348 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4832JP:483274OutperformJPY 58.93B14.65―3.41%-13.77%-18.09%
JP:7751JP:775173OutperformJPY 4.53T11.59―3.34%3.90%132.03%
JP:6724JP:672458NeutralJPY 914.91B20.595.12%2.71%9.65%-11.65%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:5871JP:587153NeutralJPY 6.81B28.41―4.20%15.03%―
JP:9348JP:934838UnderperformJPY 55.05B-4.55――-56.20%37.51%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%75%JP:9348JP:6724JP:4832JP:5871JP:7751Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9348 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9348ispace,inc.367.00-90.00-19.69%
JP:6724Seiko Epson Corp2853.50985.9752.80%
JP:4832JFE Systems, Inc.1865.00-4.26-0.23%
JP:5871SOLIZE Corporation1222.00-206.28-14.44%
JP:7751Canon Inc.4832.00471.3110.81%

ispace,inc. Corporate Events

ispace-U.S. Selected as NASA CLPS 2 Contractor Candidate

Nov 8, 2026

ispace, inc. is a lunar exploration company providing lunar transportation and related services, with a market focus on commercial and government-supported missions, scientific research, technology demonstrations, and broader lunar development. Its c...

ispace Signs Argo Launch Deal to Fast-Track Lunar Communications Mission

Sep 17, 2026

ispace, inc. has approved a launch contract for its U.S. subsidiary with California-based Argo Space Corp. to deploy “Alpine,” a lunar orbit communications satellite, as part of Mission 2.5 as early as 2027. The mission, repurposed from a previously...

ispace Secures ¥3 Billion Covenanted Loan to Bolster Liquidity for Lunar Missions

Sep 9, 2026

ispace, inc. has approved a new long-term financing arrangement with The Shizuoka Bank, Ltd., securing a 3 billion yen loan to fund working capital for mission development and related expenses. The three-year, floating-rate facility, to be repaid in...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 11, 2026