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ispace,inc. (9348) AI Stock Analysis

JP:9348

ispace,inc.

(TSE/TYO:9348)

Select Model
Rating:37Underperform
Price Target:JPY 354.00â–¼(-1.12% Downside)
Action:downgraded
Date:10/12/26

The stock scores the minimum 37, reflecting a convergence of critical risks. The primary driver is extremely weak financial performance, marked by negative gross margins, massive cash burn, and high leverage. This is compounded by a deeply bearish technical trend and a negative P/E ratio. The company's viability is in question without significant new capital.

Positive Factors
Integrated lunar mission-services modelAn integrated offering spanning spacecraft development, operations, and payload delivery can capture more value per mission than a narrowly focused service. It also creates a single provider for customers seeking lunar access, supporting repeat relationships as the cislunar economy develops.
Negative Factors
Severe unprofitability and revenue contractionNegative gross profit and very large operating losses indicate that current mission activity is not yet covering the cost base. The sharp revenue decline further weakens operating leverage, making sustained funding needs more likely and limiting the company’s ability to reinvest from internally generated earnings.

ispace,inc. (9348) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%JP:9348-23.18%EWJ+16.91%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 52.38B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
679.40K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-4.3
Beta (1Y)
1.03
Revenue Growth
-56.20%
EPS Growth
37.51%
Country
Japan
Employees
333
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Computer Hardware

ispace,inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ispace, Inc., established in Tokyo, Japan, in 2010, operates as a pioneering company focused on the utilization of lunar resources. The firm specializes in the engineering and construction of spacecraft designed to land on the moon and rovers for sur...

How the Company Makes Money

ispace’s revenue model is primarily based on selling lunar mission services, where customers pay for the transportation and delivery of payloads to lunar orbit and/or the lunar surface using the company’s landers, along with associated mission integr...

ispace,inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Severe financial distress: Revenue fell 37% YoY, gross profit is negative, net losses are substantial, and cash burn is critical. The income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow scores are all very weak, indicating a high risk to financial stability.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

28Negative

Cash Flow

12Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.31B3.31B4.74B2.36B989.24M674.14M
Gross Profit-7.71B-2.85B2.24B928.24M552.77M334.59M
EBITDA-15.46B-11.35B-9.63B-5.42B-10.95B-4.00B
Net Income-11.61B-8.15B-11.95B-2.37B-11.40B-4.06B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets40.90B47.70B27.19B27.03B7.19B12.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.70B29.69B13.12B16.83B3.38B6.33B
Total Debt29.76B29.44B16.39B12.86B6.78B2.16B
Total Liabilities32.24B32.53B20.18B17.29B9.54B3.66B
Stockholders Equity8.66B15.17B7.01B9.75B-2.35B8.83B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-15.56B-14.49B-7.05B-7.38B-5.45B
Operating Cash Flow0-13.19B-12.05B-5.02B-7.32B-5.41B
Investing Cash Flow0-2.20B-2.67B-2.06B-90.09M-90.33M
Financing Cash Flow031.45B10.42B20.37B4.36B7.46B

ispace,inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price358.00

Price Trends

50DMA402.72Negative
100DMA425.39Negative
200DMA484.66Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-10.59Positive
RSI30.06Neutral
STOCH3.51Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9348, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 358.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 380.40, below the 50-day MA of 402.72, and below the 200-day MA of 484.66, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -10.59 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.51 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9348.

ispace,inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:9348 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:7751JP:775173OutperformJPY 4.58T11.30―3.42%3.90%132.03%
JP:4832JP:483271OutperformJPY 58.74B14.99―3.33%-13.77%-18.09%
JP:6724JP:672460NeutralJPY 1.03T40.442.90%2.48%8.34%-41.57%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:5871JP:587153NeutralJPY 6.78B27.98―4.22%15.03%―
JP:9348JP:934837UnderperformJPY 54.17B-4.33――-56.20%37.51%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%75%JP:9348JP:6724JP:4832JP:5871JP:7751Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9348 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9348ispace,inc.358.00-113.00-23.99%
JP:6724Seiko Epson Corp3101.001204.3963.50%
JP:4832JFE Systems, Inc.1923.00109.006.01%
JP:5871SOLIZE Corporation1305.00-211.77-13.96%
JP:7751Canon Inc.4672.00426.1110.04%

ispace,inc. Corporate Events

ispace Signs Argo Launch Deal to Fast-Track Lunar Communications Mission

Sep 17, 2026

ispace, inc. has approved a launch contract for its U.S. subsidiary with California-based Argo Space Corp. to deploy “Alpine,” a lunar orbit communications satellite, as part of Mission 2.5 as early as 2027. The mission, repurposed from a...

ispace Secures ¥3 Billion Covenanted Loan to Bolster Liquidity for Lunar Missions

Sep 9, 2026

ispace, inc. has approved a new long-term financing arrangement with The Shizuoka Bank, Ltd., securing a 3 billion yen loan to fund working capital for mission development and related expenses. The three-year, floating-rate facility, to be repaid in...

Ispace Widens Quarterly Loss as Revenue Plunges but Keeps Aggressive Lunar Growth Plan

Aug 7, 2026

Ispace reported a steep contraction in project revenue for the first quarter ended June 30, 2026, with sales plunging about 85% year on year to ¥168 million and net loss widening to ¥6.34 billion, reflecting heavy upfront investment and pre...

ispace Wins Up to ¥20 Billion JAXA Grant for Lunar South Pole Landing Technology

Aug 7, 2026

ispace has secured an initial grant of ¥11.6 billion, with potential support of up to ¥20 billion, under the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency’s Space Strategy Fund to develop high-precision landing technology near the lunar south po...

ispace Books ¥530 Million FX Gain in First-Quarter Results

Aug 7, 2026

ispace, inc. reported a non-operating foreign exchange gain of 530 million yen for the first quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, covering the period from April 1 to June 30, 2026. The gain mainly stems from the revaluation of foreign cu...

ispace Taps MHI’s H3 Rocket for 2028 ULTRA Lunar Lander Mission

Jul 29, 2026

ispace has signed a launch services agreement with Mitsubishi Heavy Industries to use the H3 next-generation heavy-lift rocket for its Mission 3, scheduled for 2028 and centered on the ULTRA lunar lander. The deal secures Japan’s domestic launc...

ispace Secures EUR 65 Million ESA Contract for Lunar Polar Rover Mission

Jul 23, 2026

ispace’s Luxembourg subsidiary has signed a supplemental Phase 2 agreement with the European Space Agency for the Mission for Advanced Geophysics and Polar Ice Exploration, a lunar rover project targeting volatile deposits and water ice at the...

ispace Expects No Earnings Hit From NASA–Draper CP-12 Exit

Jul 14, 2026

ispace, inc., a Tokyo-listed commercial lunar exploration company, is developing lunar landers and transportation services for NASA and other space-related customers via its U.S. subsidiary. The firm partners with organizations such as The Charles St...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 11, 2026