Nagoya Railroad Co., Ltd. AI Stock Analysis
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Nagoya Railroad Co., Ltd. (9048) AI Stock Analysis
Nagoya Railroad Co., Ltd.
(TSE/TYO:9048)
The score is held back primarily by persistent negative free cash flow and elevated leverage, which increase funding risk, alongside a notable 2026 revenue and earnings pullback. Technicals are mixed with softer near-term momentum, while valuation is a modest positive due to a mid-range P/E and moderate dividend yield.
Nagoya Railroad Co., Ltd. (9048) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
- Market Cap
- JPY 390.89B
- Dividend Yield
- 2.05%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 831.28K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 13.5
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.20
- Revenue Growth
- -1.28%
- EPS Growth
- 28.52%
- Country
- Japan
- Employees
- 30,637
- Sector
- General
- Sector Strength
- 55
- Industry
- Conglomerates
Nagoya Railroad Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Nagoya Railroad Co., Ltd., a venerable enterprise established in 1894 and headquartered in Nagoya, Japan, primarily operates within the Japanese railway industry alongside its subsidiaries. The company's diverse business activities are structured int...
How the Company Makes Money
Nagoya Railroad generates earnings primarily through (1) transportation revenue and (2) non-transportation businesses that monetize the rail network’s footprint and customer flow. 1) Transportation (rail and related mobility): The company earns fare...
Nagoya Railroad Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Earnings and margins improved materially versus 2021 and were stable through 2022–2025, but 2026 showed a sharp revenue decline and lower earnings. Leverage remains elevated (debt above equity) and debt rose again in 2026. The largest weakness is persistently negative free cash flow (including a large 2026 outflow), increasing reliance on external funding.
Income Statement
62PositiveBalance Sheet
55NeutralCash Flow
34Negative| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 691.88B | 690.72B | 691.58B | 601.12B | 551.50B | 490.92B |
| Gross Profit | 97.50B | 100.95B | 97.80B | 85.73B | 70.23B | 46.01B |
| EBITDA | 92.45B | 96.85B | 90.55B | 76.82B | 70.11B | 57.92B |
| Net Income | 27.41B | 37.73B | 22.95B | 24.40B | 18.85B | 9.37B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.52T | 1.45T | 1.58T | 1.30T | 1.23T | 1.19T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 44.05B | 58.64B | 57.29B | 60.39B | 55.29B | 50.93B |
| Total Debt | 651.95B | 585.51B | 685.73B | 499.54B | 476.07B | 468.57B |
| Total Liabilities | 1.02T | 950.59B | 1.07T | 839.67B | 802.28B | 775.76B |
| Stockholders Equity | 468.81B | 461.71B | 485.07B | 437.96B | 404.43B | 383.32B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0 | -54.63B | -110.83B | -30.46B | -17.47B | -24.67B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0 | 78.73B | 61.43B | 55.53B | 61.22B | 39.32B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0 | -138.13B | -150.87B | -68.43B | -59.37B | -39.03B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0 | 55.85B | 89.73B | 18.03B | 2.61B | -3.34B |
Nagoya Railroad Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9048, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1949.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1879.13, above the 50-day MA of 1872.93, and above the 200-day MA of 1818.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 20.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9048.
Nagoya Railroad Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
JP:904564Neutral
JP:900862Neutral
JP:904162Neutral
JP:904257Neutral- JP:904855Neutral
JP:902448Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP:9045 | 64Neutral | JPY 338.96B | 9.60 | 10.21% | 3.03% | 15.20% | 24.13% |
| JP:9008 | 62Neutral | JPY 453.86B | 10.63 | 9.60% | 2.86% | 9.62% | 9.03% |
| JP:9041 | 62Neutral | JPY 681.43B | 12.30 | 9.20% | 1.85% | 1.93% | 22.25% |
| JP:9042 | 57Neutral | JPY 1.15T | 14.56 | 6.96% | 2.12% | 6.41% | 11.38% |
| Sector * | 55Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% |
| JP:9048 | 55Neutral | JPY 379.23B | 13.48 | ― | 2.05% | -1.28% | 28.52% |
| JP:9024 | 48Neutral | JPY 1.00T | 23.51 | ― | 1.12% | -41.04% | -82.38% |
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP:9048 | Nagoya Railroad Co., Ltd. | 1949.00 | 380.79 | 24.28% | |
| JP:9042 | Hankyu Hanshin Holdings | 4720.00 | 852.03 | 22.03% | |
| JP:9045 | Keihan Holdings Co | 3301.00 | 177.68 | 5.69% | |
| JP:9041 | Kintetsu Group Holdings Co | 3506.00 | 671.86 | 23.71% | |
| JP:9008 | Keio Corporation | 768.50 | 32.70 | 4.44% | |
| JP:9024 | Seibu Holdings, Inc. | 3834.00 | -1215.86 | -24.08% |
Nagoya Railroad Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
Nagoya Railroad Sees Revenue Decline but Profit Rise on Non-Operating Gains
Nagoya Railroad reported lower operating revenues for the three months ended June 30, 2026, mainly due to the absence of income from the closed MEITETSU Department Store Main Store and fewer condominium unit deliveries. Operating income also declined...
Nagoya Railroad Profit Surges Despite Lower Revenue, Raises Full-Year Earnings Outlook
Nagoya Railroad reported consolidated operating revenues of ¥156.9 billion for the three months to June 30, 2026, down 6.9% year-on-year, while operating income slipped 4.2% to ¥8.9 billion. Despite lower sales, ordinary income rose 16.0% to ¥12.5 bi...
Nagoya Railroad to Dissolve Meitetsu Department Store and Absorb Key Service Units
Nagoya Railroad will dissolve and liquidate its wholly owned subsidiary MEITETSU Department Store following the closure of the chain’s main store in February 2026, and plans to complete the dissolution on September 1, 2026. As part of the reorganizat...
Nagoya Railroad Grants Restricted Treasury Stock to Align Incentives
Nagoya Railroad is implementing a restricted stock remuneration scheme by disposing of 98,429 treasury shares, valued at about ¥186.6 million, to directors, executive officers, and employees. The shares will be granted in exchange for in-kind contrib...
Nagoya Railroad Executives Return Pay Over Nagoya Station Redevelopment Delays
Nagoya Railroad said its top executives will voluntarily return part of their compensation after delays and schedule changes in the Nagoya Station District Redevelopment Project prompted a re-evaluation and review launched in late 2025. The chairman...
Nagoya Railroad Lowers Conversion Prices on 2033 and 2034 Euro-Yen Convertible Bonds After Dividend Approval
Nagoya Railroad has revised the conversion prices on its euro-yen denominated zero coupon convertible bonds with stock acquisition rights maturing in 2033 and 2034, both originally issued in June 2024. The conversion price for the 2033 bonds was lowe...
Nagoya Railroad Sets FY2026 Outlook and Capital Efficiency Priorities
Nagoya Railroad outlined its management direction and operational plans in a financial results presentation for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. The company highlighted the status of discussions on reviewing its Nagoya Station district redevelo...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026