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Keihan Holdings Co (9045) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9045

Keihan Holdings Co

(TSE/TYO:9045)

Select Model
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:JPY 3,790.00▲(14.81% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

The score is driven primarily by strong valuation (low P/E and ~3.18% dividend yield) and an improving earnings profile. These positives are tempered by weaker financial quality (negative free cash flow and meaningful leverage) and soft technical momentum (negative MACD and price below key moving averages).

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthMulti-year revenue expansion indicates improving demand across the group’s transportation, real-estate, and lifestyle activities. Continued top-line growth can broaden the earnings base, support reinvestment around the rail network, and reinforce the company’s established Kansai customer franchise over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Meaningful LeverageThe substantial debt burden leaves the company dependent on sustained earnings and cash generation to contain balance-sheet risk. Elevated leverage can reduce financial flexibility, increase the importance of refinancing capacity, and limit how much internally generated capital can be directed toward new growth.

Keihan Holdings Co (9045) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:9045+4.01%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 338.96B
Dividend Yield
3.03%
Average Volume (3M)
304.02K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
9.6
Beta (1Y)
0.26
Revenue Growth
15.20%
EPS Growth
24.13%
Country
Japan
Employees
6,233
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Conglomerates

Keihan Holdings Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Keihan Holdings Co., Ltd. is a diversified Japanese conglomerate primarily engaged in transportation, alongside a variety of other business ventures. The company's operations are strategically divided into five key segments. Its foundational Transpor...

Keihan Holdings Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Earnings and revenue have improved meaningfully (revenue up to 332.5B in 2026; net income recovered to 33.6B), but overall quality is constrained by consistently negative free cash flow (2026: -12.4B) and a leveraged balance sheet (total debt 392.7B).

Income Statement

82Very Positive

Balance Sheet

63Positive

Cash Flow

44Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue334.81B332.47B313.55B302.15B260.07B258.12B
Gross Profit103.58B102.40B91.81B79.00B63.55B53.86B
EBITDA74.69B75.36B65.71B56.99B40.72B41.08B
Net Income33.58B33.58B28.27B24.89B17.62B9.59B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets942.19B909.54B873.20B833.54B786.70B748.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.16B15.26B15.80B23.00B16.86B21.76B
Total Debt429.95B392.66B382.87B349.31B353.46B349.92B
Total Liabilities591.42B559.98B558.69B528.72B513.19B492.89B
Stockholders Equity342.06B341.20B307.33B298.59B268.37B251.36B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-12.42B-17.45B7.93B-2.93B235.00M
Operating Cash Flow040.34B44.01B40.83B16.93B21.67B
Investing Cash Flow0-42.99B-63.20B-26.93B-13.11B-17.64B
Financing Cash Flow03.57B10.20B-7.86B-7.43B-10.26B

Keihan Holdings Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price3301.00

Price Trends

50DMA3232.16Positive
100DMA3210.20Positive
200DMA3241.89Positive

Market Momentum

MACD46.62Negative
RSI50.89Neutral
STOCH43.34Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9045, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3301.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3299.55, above the 50-day MA of 3232.16, and above the 200-day MA of 3241.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 46.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:9045.

Keihan Holdings Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

JP:9045 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:9048JP:904868NeutralJPY 379.23B13.48―2.05%-1.28%28.52%
JP:9045JP:904566NeutralJPY 338.96B9.6010.21%3.03%15.20%24.13%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
JP:9008JP:900862NeutralJPY 453.86B10.639.60%2.86%9.62%9.03%
JP:9041JP:904162NeutralJPY 681.43B12.309.20%1.85%1.93%22.25%
JP:9042JP:904257NeutralJPY 1.15T14.566.96%2.12%6.41%11.38%
JP:9024JP:902448NeutralJPY 1.00T23.51―1.12%-41.04%-82.38%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%JP:9045JP:9042JP:9041JP:9008JP:9024JP:9048Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9045 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9045Keihan Holdings Co3301.00177.685.69%
JP:9042Hankyu Hanshin Holdings 4720.00852.0322.03%
JP:9041Kintetsu Group Holdings Co 3506.00671.8623.71%
JP:9008Keio Corporation768.5032.704.44%
JP:9024Seibu Holdings, Inc.3834.00-1215.86-24.08%
JP:9048Nagoya Railroad Co., Ltd.1949.00380.7924.28%

Keihan Holdings Co Corporate Events

Keihan Holdings Secures ¥36.55 Billion Syndicated Loan with Net Asset Covenant

Sep 18, 2026

Keihan Holdings Co. has decided to conclude a syndicated monetary loan agreement with city banks and others, securing up to ¥36.55 billion in funding for business operations, including refinancing, with repayment scheduled between September 2031 and...

Keihan Holdings Posts Stable Q1 Results but Signals Weaker Full-Year Outlook and Lower Dividend

Aug 7, 2026

Keihan Holdings reported consolidated operating revenue of ¥75.16 billion for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, up 3.2% year on year, with operating profit rising 1.3% to ¥13.13 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent essentially flat at ¥...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026