Meiwa Estate Co. Ltd. (8869) AI Stock Analysis

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Meiwa Estate Co. Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:8869)

Select Model

Rating:60Neutral

Price Target:JPY 791.00▼(-1.13% Downside)

Action:reiterated

Date:08/17/26

The stock's attractive valuation (low P/E, high yield) is a key strength, but financial health is mixed due to high leverage and weak cash flows. Recent technical momentum is positive. Overall, the stock presents a balanced risk-reward profile, resulting in a neutral score of 60.

Positive Factors

Historical Revenue ExpansionThe strong multi-year revenue expansion through 2025 indicates that Meiwa Estate has demonstrated the ability to grow its residential development and sales business over time. Although the latest period weakened, this established growth record supports a meaningful operating base for recovery and future expansion.

Negative Factors

Elevated and Rising LeverageThe substantial increase in debt relative to equity makes Meiwa Estate more financially sensitive to refinancing conditions and asset-value changes. High leverage can constrain investment choices and reduce resilience during a property downturn, particularly because development requires significant capital before sales are completed.

Meiwa Estate Co. Ltd. (8869) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Market Cap: JPY 18.59B
Dividend Yield: 5.96%
Average Volume (3M): 69.89K
Price to Earnings (P/E): 5.7
Beta (1Y): 0.79
Revenue Growth: -13.03%
EPS Growth: -45.96%
Country: Japan
Employees: 615
Sector: General
Sector Strength: 55
Industry: Real Estate - Development

Meiwa Estate Co. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, Meiwa Estate Company Limited has been active since its incorporation in 1942. The company primarily focuses on the development, sale, and management of condominium properties across Japan. Furthermore, it offers service...

How the Company Makes Money

Meiwa Estate Co., Ltd. primarily makes money through real estate development and sales. The main revenue stream is recognized when the company sells residential units (typically condominiums/apartments) that it has planned and developed; earnings are...

Meiwa Estate Co. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue declined 6.8% to ¥90.1B, but net income increased 32% with improved margins. However, high debt (debt-to-equity 2.35) and weak cash flow (operating cash flow only ¥0.6B) raise concerns. Mixed financial health.

Income Statement

65Positive

Balance Sheet

45Neutral

Cash Flow

30Negative

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2026	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue	78.98B	90.11B	79.90B	71.25B	62.32B	57.21B
Gross Profit	16.29B	18.90B	16.57B	15.53B	15.66B	12.93B
EBITDA	4.96B	7.85B	5.49B	5.22B	6.16B	3.98B
Net Income	1.87B	3.83B	2.90B	2.78B	4.42B	2.60B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	149.75B	151.16B	152.10B	124.15B	116.54B	95.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	25.36B	20.92B	22.47B	34.90B	34.15B	27.70B
Total Debt	89.42B	86.52B	86.81B	59.02B	57.86B	48.65B
Total Liabilities	112.23B	114.26B	118.12B	92.18B	86.54B	69.14B
Stockholders Equity	37.53B	36.89B	33.98B	31.97B	30.00B	26.57B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0	-15.00M	-33.93B	-2.44B	215.00M	-7.01B
Operating Cash Flow	0	625.00M	-33.37B	-1.83B	419.00M	-6.89B
Investing Cash Flow	0	-574.00M	-5.84B	2.44B	-2.41B	-45.00M
Financing Cash Flow	0	-1.60B	26.79B	140.00M	8.35B	12.08B

Meiwa Estate Co. Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative

Last Price800.00

Price Trends

50DMA795.06Negative

100DMA807.33Negative

200DMA889.30Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-11.19Positive

RSI40.76Neutral

STOCH12.59Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8869, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 800.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 772.95, above the 50-day MA of 795.06, and below the 200-day MA of 889.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -11.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.59 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:8869.

Meiwa Estate Co. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:8869 against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JP:3465	73Outperform	JPY 97.47B	5.04	―	4.51%	14.03%	68.00%
JP:8934	72Outperform	JPY 135.78B	7.34	13.71%	3.29%	9.20%	-16.20%
JP:3252	70Outperform	JPY 63.33B	6.13	―	4.26%	87.05%	146.41%
JP:8818	68Neutral	JPY 88.25B	10.83	―	2.75%	1.72%	65.38%
JP:8869	60Neutral	JPY 16.61B	5.71	―	5.96%	-13.03%	-45.96%
Sector *	55Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
JP:2980	51Neutral	JPY 32.37B	10.79	―	0.94%	56.17%	170.50%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

JP:8869 and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
JP:8869	Meiwa Estate Co. Ltd.	800.00	-282.16	-26.07%
JP:8934	Sun Frontier Fudousan Co	2374.00	104.47	4.60%
JP:2980	SRE Holdings Corp.	1921.00	-1049.33	-35.33%
JP:3252	JINUSHI Co.,Ltd.	2934.00	157.97	5.69%
JP:3465	KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd.	3160.00	483.68	18.07%
JP:8818	Keihanshin Building Co., Ltd.	908.00	33.52	3.83%

Meiwa Estate Co. Ltd. Corporate Events

Meiwa Estate Financial Results for 1H FY03/27

Nov 12, 2026

Meiwa Estate Co., Ltd. (8869) released materials titled “Financial Results for 1H FY03/27” dated November 12, 2026. The release covers consolidated financial results, progress of Strategy 2027, the residential development, real estate agency and cond...

Meiwa Estate Q1 Profit Halves as Full-Year Outlook Signals Tougher Real Estate Market

Aug 18, 2026

Meiwa Estate reported a sharp downturn in first-quarter results for the three months ended June 30, 2026, with net sales falling 29.2% year on year to ¥26.9 billion and operating profit dropping 46.8% to ¥3.09 billion. Ordinary profit slid 51.9% to ¥...

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026

Meiwa Estate Co. Ltd. AI Stock Analysis