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IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. (8707) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8707

IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc.

(TSE/TYO:8707)

Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:JPY 3,800.00▼(-0.26% Downside)
Action:downgraded
Date:11/07/26

The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (improving profitability and sharply reduced leverage) and attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). These positives are partially offset by weak technicals, with the stock in a pronounced downtrend and very bearish momentum/oversold readings, plus cash-flow volatility that reduces confidence in earnings-to-cash consistency.

Positive Factors
Revenue and margin expansionThe combination of renewed revenue growth and materially higher net margins indicates stronger earnings power across the securities business. If sustained, improved profitability can support internal investment, strengthen resilience through market cycles, and enhance the company’s ability to compound results over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Volatile cash generationLarge swings between positive and negative cash generation show that accounting earnings have not consistently translated into cash. That variability can constrain dependable capital allocation, reduce confidence in recurring earnings quality, and make the company more exposed when securities-market conditions weaken.

IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. (8707) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%JP:8707+37.52%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 89.73B
Dividend Yield
6.04%
Average Volume (3M)
136.57K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.3
Beta (1Y)
1.07
Revenue Growth
33.17%
EPS Growth
48.82%
Country
Japan
Employees
848
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Financial - Capital Markets

IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial services using information technology in Japan. It also offers asset management services to individual investors. The company was formerly known as Iwai Securities Co., Ltd....

How the Company Makes Money

IwaiCosmo Holdings makes money primarily through its securities business. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) brokerage commissions and fees earned when clients trade financial instruments through the firm; (2) trading-related income from the...

IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement strength (Score 78) shows meaningful revenue rebound and accelerating growth in 2026 (~22%) with steadily expanding net margins (~18% in 2022–2023 to ~32% in 2026). Balance sheet (Score 74) is materially de-risked with debt-to-equity improving to ~0.10 in 2026, though missing/zeroed 2026 return metrics reduce visibility into profitability quality. Cash flow is the key drag (Score 63) due to multi-year volatility (negative OCF/FCF in 2023 and sharply negative FCF in 2025) despite a strong 2026 recovery.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

63Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue26.36B33.63B25.75B24.04B19.69B20.71B
Gross Profit25.25B31.95B25.52B23.78B19.43B20.51B
EBITDA9.92B15.48B9.36B8.32B5.46B6.10B
Net Income7.08B10.44B6.72B5.55B3.56B3.76B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets192.50B213.03B185.45B208.11B183.51B182.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.96B8.50B10.23B10.17B10.27B16.58B
Total Debt17.53B7.40B26.01B30.40B33.40B29.04B
Total Liabilities126.19B138.73B117.75B141.77B125.95B125.98B
Stockholders Equity66.31B74.30B67.70B66.34B57.56B56.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow016.91B-6.41B1.05B-5.89B5.93B
Operating Cash Flow016.96B3.13B1.58B-5.80B6.36B
Investing Cash Flow0-455.00M-666.00M3.02B-2.39B-1.14B
Financing Cash Flow0-4.42B-2.82B-1.89B-1.73B-2.75B

IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3810.00

Price Trends

50DMA4361.64Negative
100DMA4262.42Negative
200DMA3919.53Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-223.05Positive
RSI40.69Neutral
STOCH56.45Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8707, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3810.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3954.50, below the 50-day MA of 4361.64, and below the 200-day MA of 3919.53, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -223.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:8707.

IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:8707 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:8601JP:860182OutperformJPY 2.36T12.1511.45%4.15%18.37%32.99%
JP:8628JP:862876OutperformJPY 259.63B13.4123.59%5.21%46.94%77.06%
JP:8609JP:860972OutperformJPY 225.20B7.82―3.93%35.90%141.48%
JP:8707JP:870769NeutralJPY 86.79B7.35―6.04%33.17%48.82%
JP:8698JP:869866NeutralJPY 146.53B31.083.80%5.20%3.80%―
JP:8604JP:860456NeutralJPY 4.33T10.8411.08%3.84%11.75%13.33%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%JP:8707JP:8601JP:8698JP:8628JP:8604JP:8609Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:8707 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:8707IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc.3810.001050.8138.08%
JP:8601Daiwa Inc1782.00532.4242.61%
JP:8698Monex Group 592.00-130.80-18.10%
JP:8628Matsui Securities Co 1017.00253.3033.17%
JP:8604Nomura Holdings 1538.00420.8937.68%
JP:8609Okasan Securities Group Inc.1048.00372.8155.22%

IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. Corporate Events

IwaiCosmo Holdings Confirms Higher Interim Dividend and Reaffirms Shareholder Return Policy

Oct 23, 2026

IwaiCosmo Holdings has confirmed an interim dividend of 65 yen per share for the fiscal year ending March 2027, with a record date of September 30, 2026 and payment scheduled for November 20, 2026. The total payout of 1,526 million yen, funded from r...

IwaiCosmo Posts Robust First-Half Earnings and Raises Interim Dividend

Oct 23, 2026

IwaiCosmo Holdings reported a strong first half for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, with operating revenues rising 25.5% year-on-year to ¥18.1 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent climbing 36.8% to ¥6.3 billion. Net operating re...

IwaiCosmo Posts Record Interim Profits on Strong U.S. Equity Revenue

Oct 16, 2026

IwaiCosmo Holdings has released preliminary consolidated results for the second quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, showing a strong year-on-year surge in earnings. Operating revenue climbed 25.5% to ¥18,141 million, while operating pro...

IwaiCosmo Plans Higher Interim Dividend Under Performance-Linked Payout Policy

Sep 18, 2026

IwaiCosmo Holdings announced a planned interim dividend of 65 yen per share for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, with a record date of September 30, 2026, pending formal approval by the board in late October. The move increases the interim payo...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026