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IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. (8707) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8707

IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc.

(TSE/TYO:8707)

Select Model
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:JPY 4,290.00â–²(12.01% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The overall score reflects a strong fundamental company under significant short-term market pressure. The company's excellent financial performance and rock-solid balance sheet are the primary strengths, further supported by a very attractive valuation. However, the technical picture is overwhelmingly negative, with the stock in a deep downtrend and showing no signs of reversal, which heavily weighs on the score. The high dividend yield is a positive but may be viewed cautiously given the price decline.

Positive Factors
Revenue and margin expansionThe combination of renewed revenue growth and materially higher net margins indicates stronger earnings generation than earlier in the period. If sustained, this improvement can provide more internal funding for operations and reinforce the company’s ability to compete across its securities businesses.
Negative Factors
Volatile cash generationDespite the latest recovery, the history of negative operating and free cash flow shows that earnings do not consistently convert into cash. Such volatility can complicate capital allocation, reduce confidence in recurring financial strength, and leave results more exposed when operating conditions weaken.

IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. (8707) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%JP:8707+36.71%EWJ+13.61%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 89.73B
Dividend Yield
6.01%
Average Volume (3M)
136.93K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.4
Beta (1Y)
1.07
Revenue Growth
33.17%
EPS Growth
48.82%
Country
Japan
Employees
848
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Financial - Capital Markets

IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial services using information technology in Japan. It also offers asset management services to individual investors. The company was formerly known as Iwai Securities Co., Ltd....

How the Company Makes Money

IwaiCosmo Holdings makes money primarily through its securities business. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) brokerage commissions and fees earned when clients trade financial instruments through the firm; (2) trading-related income from the...

IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial health is excellent, driven by strong revenue growth, expanding net profit margins to 32.4%, and a rock-solid balance sheet with minimal debt (D/E 0.10). Recent operating cash flow surged to ¥16.97B, comfortably covering total debt, though past cash flow volatility slightly tempers the score.

Income Statement

92Very Positive

Balance Sheet

95Very Positive

Cash Flow

85Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue26.36B33.63B25.75B24.04B19.69B20.71B
Gross Profit25.25B31.95B25.52B23.78B19.43B20.51B
EBITDA9.92B15.48B9.36B8.32B5.46B6.10B
Net Income7.08B10.44B6.72B5.55B3.56B3.76B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets192.50B213.03B185.45B208.11B183.51B182.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.96B8.50B10.23B10.17B10.27B16.58B
Total Debt17.53B7.40B26.01B30.40B33.40B29.04B
Total Liabilities126.19B138.73B117.75B141.77B125.95B125.98B
Stockholders Equity66.31B74.30B67.70B66.34B57.56B56.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow016.91B-6.41B1.05B-5.89B5.93B
Operating Cash Flow016.96B3.13B1.58B-5.80B6.36B
Investing Cash Flow0-455.00M-666.00M3.02B-2.39B-1.14B
Financing Cash Flow0-4.42B-2.82B-1.89B-1.73B-2.75B

IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3830.00

Price Trends

50DMA4344.94Negative
100DMA4260.73Negative
200DMA3921.43Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-202.57Negative
RSI41.75Neutral
STOCH74.51Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8707, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3830.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3914.75, below the 50-day MA of 4344.94, and below the 200-day MA of 3921.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -202.57 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:8707.

IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:8707 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:8601JP:860182OutperformJPY 2.41T12.0811.45%4.16%18.37%32.99%
JP:8628JP:862876OutperformJPY 261.43B13.4623.59%5.23%46.94%77.06%
JP:8707JP:870774OutperformJPY 89.49B7.41―6.01%33.17%48.82%
JP:8609JP:860972OutperformJPY 231.60B7.89―3.82%35.90%141.48%
JP:8698JP:869866NeutralJPY 148.28B31.453.80%5.13%3.80%―
JP:8604JP:860456NeutralJPY 4.43T10.8211.08%1.76%11.75%13.33%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%JP:8707JP:8601JP:8698JP:8628JP:8604JP:8609Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:8707 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:8707IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc.3830.001059.5038.24%
JP:8601Daiwa Inc1777.50524.0741.81%
JP:8698Monex Group 600.00-123.76-17.10%
JP:8628Matsui Securities Co 1013.00248.3532.48%
JP:8604Nomura Holdings 1537.50430.5238.89%
JP:8609Okasan Securities Group Inc.1060.00385.7557.21%

IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. Corporate Events

IwaiCosmo Holdings Confirms Higher Interim Dividend and Reaffirms Shareholder Return Policy

Oct 23, 2026

IwaiCosmo Holdings has confirmed an interim dividend of 65 yen per share for the fiscal year ending March 2027, with a record date of September 30, 2026 and payment scheduled for November 20, 2026. The total payout of 1,526 million yen, funded from r...

IwaiCosmo Posts Robust First-Half Earnings and Raises Interim Dividend

Oct 23, 2026

IwaiCosmo Holdings reported a strong first half for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, with operating revenues rising 25.5% year-on-year to ¥18.1 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent climbing 36.8% to ¥6.3 billion. Net operating re...

IwaiCosmo Posts Record Interim Profits on Strong U.S. Equity Revenue

Oct 16, 2026

IwaiCosmo Holdings has released preliminary consolidated results for the second quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, showing a strong year-on-year surge in earnings. Operating revenue climbed 25.5% to ¥18,141 million, while operating pro...

IwaiCosmo Plans Higher Interim Dividend Under Performance-Linked Payout Policy

Sep 18, 2026

IwaiCosmo Holdings announced a planned interim dividend of 65 yen per share for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, with a record date of September 30, 2026, pending formal approval by the board in late October. The move increases the interim payo...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026