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Matsui Securities Co (8628) AI Stock Analysis

JP:8628

Matsui Securities Co

(TSE/TYO:8628)

Select Model
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:JPY 1,319.00▲(31.37% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/06/26

Matsui Securities scores 75, reflecting strong financial fundamentals and attractive valuation, tempered by near-term technical weakness. The company's robust profitability, revenue growth, and solid balance sheet are key strengths. The appealing valuation with a healthy dividend yield supports the score. Technical indicators show a long-term uptrend but suggest short-term consolidation.

Positive Factors
Strong profitabilitySustained high margins indicate that Matsui Securities converts revenue into profit efficiently across the reported period. This provides internal capacity to support operations, absorb normal earnings fluctuations, and preserve earnings power as the online brokerage business develops.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverageElevated leverage increases sensitivity to market stress, funding conditions, and changes in financial-sector liquidity. It can constrain flexibility during weaker trading environments and make the balance sheet less resilient than a consistently low-debt brokerage structure.

Matsui Securities Co (8628) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%JP:8628+37.64%EWJ+16.91%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 260.91B
Dividend Yield
5.28%
Average Volume (3M)
1.15M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.3
Beta (1Y)
0.58
Revenue Growth
46.94%
EPS Growth
77.06%
Country
Japan
Employees
227
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Financial - Capital Markets

Matsui Securities Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Matsui Securities Co., Ltd. is a Japanese firm that provides online securities brokerage services, primarily catering to individual investors within Japan. Its extensive range of offerings includes facilitating trades in equities, futures, and option...

How the Company Makes Money

Matsui Securities primarily generates revenue as a retail-focused online brokerage through transaction- and finance-related income tied to customer trading and account activity. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Brokerage commissions and tra...

Matsui Securities Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Matsui Securities demonstrates strong revenue growth (12.5% in FY2026) and high profitability (net margin 29.4%). Balance sheet is solid but leverage has increased; cash flow is volatile but cumulative positive. The score is derived from income statement (85), balance sheet (75), and cash flow (70).

Income Statement

85Very Positive

Balance Sheet

75Positive

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue46.80B39.20B52.66B36.84B31.09B33.21B
Gross Profit36.31B30.85B41.61B29.04B23.47B27.51B
EBITDA22.44B19.83B25.89B17.50B14.01B19.16B
Net Income13.09B10.50B15.48B9.79B7.82B11.44B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.28T1.12T1.35T1.17T976.03B879.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments100.60B105.70B107.71B104.47B79.33B57.30B
Total Debt268.40B313.93B370.80B281.81B489.66B175.38B
Total Liabilities1.21T1.05T1.27T1.10T899.67B800.67B
Stockholders Equity77.63B76.60B82.35B76.33B76.35B78.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-113.86B108.92B143.74B7.45B21.71B
Operating Cash Flow0-113.43B109.35B144.40B7.95B22.01B
Investing Cash Flow0-8.68B-6.17B-8.82B-5.95B-33.00M
Financing Cash Flow053.20B2.88B8.62B41.92B-50.37B

Matsui Securities Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1004.00

Price Trends

50DMA1115.00Negative
100DMA1057.41Negative
200DMA981.37Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-25.71Positive
RSI33.60Neutral
STOCH20.42Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8628, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1004.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1083.95, below the 50-day MA of 1115.00, and above the 200-day MA of 981.37, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -25.71 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:8628.

Matsui Securities Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

JP:8628 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:8628JP:862875OutperformJPY 260.91B13.3523.59%5.28%46.94%77.06%
JP:8707JP:870774OutperformJPY 89.14B7.19―6.18%33.17%48.82%
JP:8609JP:860972OutperformJPY 223.43B7.45―3.96%35.90%141.44%
JP:8601JP:860171OutperformJPY 2.30T11.5411.45%4.00%18.37%32.99%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
JP:8698JP:869864NeutralJPY 155.30B14.318.82%4.93%16.13%―
JP:8604JP:860463NeutralJPY 4.30T10.5611.08%1.80%11.75%13.33%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%JP:8628JP:8601JP:8698JP:8604JP:8609JP:8707Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:8628 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:8628Matsui Securities Co 1004.00265.0235.86%
JP:8601Daiwa Inc1698.00509.9942.93%
JP:8698Monex Group 625.00-56.63-8.31%
JP:8604Nomura Holdings 1501.00461.5244.40%
JP:8609Okasan Securities Group Inc.1001.00337.1450.79%
JP:8707IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc.3720.001019.2837.74%

Matsui Securities Co Corporate Events

Matsui Securities’ Q1 Profit Nearly Doubles but Dividend Outlook Remains Unclear

Jul 31, 2026

Matsui Securities reported a sharp improvement in first-quarter results for the three months ended June 30, 2026, with operating revenue rising 51.6% year on year to ¥17.3 billion and operating profit jumping 87.7% to ¥8.8 billion. Ordinary...

Matsui Securities Nearly Doubles Quarterly Profit as Revenues Surge

Jul 28, 2026

Matsui Securities reported a sharp earnings rebound for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, with operating revenue rising 51.6% year on year to ¥17.3 billion and ordinary profit nearly doubling to ¥8.9 billion. Net profit surged 95.3% to &#165...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026