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Matsuya Co., Ltd. (8237) AI Stock Analysis

JP:8237

Matsuya Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:8237)

Select Model
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:JPY 2,539.00â–¼(-6.24% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/29/26

The stock's score is primarily supported by strong technical momentum and a significantly improved cash flow and balance sheet position. However, these positives are heavily offset by a very high P/E ratio and a multi-year trend of declining revenue and net income, which raise concerns about the sustainability of the recent price surge.

Positive Factors
Earnings RecoveryEarnings recovered materially from the 2021 loss and weak 2022 results, showing that the department-store model can restore profitability after a difficult period. This provides a stronger operating base, although the pack says the recovery has moderated since 2024.
Negative Factors
Volatile and Declining RevenueRevenue volatility, including a renewed decline in 2026, makes the recovery less dependable and complicates planning for a store-based retailer. Uneven sales momentum can limit operating leverage, reduce reinvestment capacity, and leave profitability more exposed to weaker demand.

Matsuya Co., Ltd. (8237) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%JP:8237+52.56%EWJ+17.00%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 128.98B
Dividend Yield
0.47%
Average Volume (3M)
413.23K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
47.3
Beta (1Y)
0.25
Revenue Growth
-1.02%
EPS Growth
613.66%
Country
Japan
Employees
871
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Department Stores

Matsuya Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Matsuya Co., Ltd. operates and owns department stores in Ginza and Asakusa, Japan. The company’s department stores provide women's and men’s fashion products, including clothing, bags, shoes, wallets and small leather goods, and accessories, as well...

How the Company Makes Money

Matsuya primarily makes money by selling merchandise to consumers through its department store operations, earning revenue from in-store retail sales across multiple product categories (e.g., apparel and other consumer goods sold in a department stor...

Matsuya Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is mixed. Cash flow has improved dramatically, with free cash flow turning positive, and the balance sheet is healthier with reduced leverage. However, revenue is declining, and net income has fallen for three consecutive years, weighing on the overall score.

Income Statement

50Neutral

Balance Sheet

65Positive

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMFeb 2026Feb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue46.01B45.71B48.12B41.25B34.40B65.04B
Gross Profit24.50B23.51B24.57B21.72B17.18B13.25B
EBITDA4.41B3.93B5.48B4.48B1.73B3.05B
Net Income2.80B2.19B2.38B2.63B4.38B1.00B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets75.63B76.14B76.11B68.87B63.89B54.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.33B4.74B3.91B3.25B6.31B2.44B
Total Debt22.69B22.71B21.82B18.12B19.18B20.13B
Total Liabilities48.02B48.66B46.90B42.05B41.04B36.25B
Stockholders Equity26.73B26.64B28.26B25.95B22.06B17.25B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow03.51B-1.19B-366.00M-1.69B-1.98B
Operating Cash Flow04.72B3.07B2.30B2.35B-1.25B
Investing Cash Flow0143.00M-5.53B-4.02B2.47B5.38B
Financing Cash Flow0-4.03B3.13B-1.34B-955.00M-4.71B

Matsuya Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price2708.00

Price Trends

50DMA2334.15Positive
100DMA2039.14Positive
200DMA1974.26Positive

Market Momentum

MACD69.62Negative
RSI60.59Neutral
STOCH45.99Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8237, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2708.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2335.25, above the 50-day MA of 2334.15, and above the 200-day MA of 1974.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 69.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8237.

Matsuya Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:8237 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:9956JP:995668NeutralJPY 199.29B9.34―3.54%8.92%33.42%
JP:8237JP:823762NeutralJPY 134.88B47.26―0.47%-1.02%613.66%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:8278JP:827854NeutralJPY 172.94B20.01―1.50%-1.47%119.37%
JP:9946JP:994650NeutralJPY 51.26B-5.06―1.13%2.66%-81.23%
JP:3222JP:322249NeutralJPY 155.08B-23.00―2.14%10.71%-523.13%
JP:8273JP:827348NeutralJPY 202.35B11.54―3.18%0.92%46.70%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%80%JP:8237JP:3222JP:8273JP:8278JP:9946JP:9956Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:8237 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:8237Matsuya Co., Ltd.2542.00860.8651.21%
JP:3222United Super Markets Holdings, Inc.748.00-52.75-6.59%
JP:8273Izumi Co., Ltd.942.001.790.19%
JP:8278Fuji Co., Ltd.1995.0032.831.67%
JP:9946Ministop Co., Ltd.1767.00-174.86-9.00%
JP:9956Valor Holdings Co., Ltd.1682.00297.8521.52%

Matsuya Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Matsuya’s September Sales Decline Highlights Ongoing Retail Challenges

Oct 15, 2026

Matsuya Co., Ltd. reported weaker monthly performance for September 2026, with overall department store sales down and notable declines at the Ginza and especially the Asakusa locations, despite mixed trends in customer traffic. Category data show un...

Matsuya Posts Interim Profit Recovery but Warns of Weaker Full-Year Earnings

Oct 14, 2026

Matsuya Co., Ltd. reported a modest recovery in the first half of the fiscal year ending February 28, 2027, with consolidated net sales rising 1.3% year on year to ¥22,785 million and operating income up 4.1% to ¥1,047 million. Profit attri...

Matsuya Reports Mixed September Sales for Ginza and Asakusa Stores

Oct 1, 2026

Matsuya reported its monthly sales performance for September 2026, highlighting year-on-year changes at its Ginza and Asakusa department stores. The company noted that, although it has adopted a new revenue recognition standard since fiscal 2021, sto...

Matsuya Posts Mixed August 2026 Sales as Traffic Declines

Sep 10, 2026

Matsuya Co., Ltd. reported its monthly sales figures for August 2026, highlighting year‑on‑year changes across its department store operations in Ginza and Asakusa. Overall MATSUYA sales declined compared with the previous year, with cust...

Matsuya Reports Double-Digit August Sales Declines at Key Stores

Sep 1, 2026

Matsuya Co., Ltd. reported its monthly sales for August 2026, noting that it has applied the new revenue recognition standard since fiscal 2021, while sales disclosures for its department store operations continue under the conventional standard. The...

Matsuya Reshapes Executive and Managerial Structure After Board Decision

Aug 17, 2026

Matsuya Co., Ltd. announced that its Board of Directors has provisionally approved changes to executive officer assignments and department manager–level personnel, effective following the August 17, 2026 meeting. The restructuring signals an in...

Matsuya Reports Mixed July Sales as Ginza Outperforms Asakusa

Aug 10, 2026

Matsuya Co., Ltd. reported its July 2026 department store sales, showing mixed year-on-year performance across merchandise categories and stores. Clothing-related segments and general goods saw varied results, while the Ginza store recorded notable s...

Matsuya Posts Mixed July Sales at Ginza and Asakusa Stores

Aug 3, 2026

Matsuya Co., Ltd. reported its July 2026 monthly sales for its department store business, highlighting year-on-year performance at the Ginza and Asakusa stores. While the company has adopted a new revenue recognition standard from fiscal 2021, it con...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2026