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Okuwa Co., Ltd. (8217) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8217

Okuwa Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:8217)

Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:JPY 757.00▼(-0.92% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/05/26

Overall score is held back primarily by weak financial performance trends (notably the sharp revenue decline and volatile net income/free cash flow) and bearish technical positioning (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). A supportive dividend yield and a relatively manageable leverage profile provide partial offsets, but not enough to lift the score meaningfully without steadier growth and profitability.

Positive Factors
Manageable LeverageManageable leverage and a stable equity base provide Okuwa with financial flexibility to maintain store operations and fund necessary investment. Lower balance-sheet pressure can also help the company withstand periods of weak demand without excessive refinancing or interest-cost strain.
Negative Factors
Sharp Revenue DeclineThe sharp revenue decline signals pressure on customer demand, store productivity, or sales mix, weakening the scale benefits of Okuwa’s retail network. If sustained, lower sales can reduce purchasing leverage and make fixed store and operating costs harder to absorb over the next several quarters.

Okuwa Co., Ltd. (8217) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:8217-7.00%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 31.38B
Dividend Yield
3.40%
Average Volume (3M)
110.10K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-182.4
Beta (1Y)
0.34
Revenue Growth
-0.24%
EPS Growth
92.09%
Country
Japan
Employees
2,068
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Department Stores

Okuwa Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Okuwa Co., Ltd. is a Japanese retail entity primarily managing a network of supermarkets. Its diverse merchandise selection features groceries, alcoholic beverages, rice, household necessities, home decor, DIY supplies, leisure and athletic goods, co...

How the Company Makes Money

Okuwa primarily makes money by selling merchandise through its retail stores. The company’s main revenue stream is net sales generated at the point of sale from a broad assortment of goods (typically including fresh foods, packaged foods, beverages,...

Okuwa Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are mixed: the balance sheet is relatively solid with manageable leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.26–0.30), but operating profitability is thin and net income has been volatile (loss in 2025, profit in 2026). Revenue has been flat-to-down with a sharp decline in 2026 (-20%), and free cash flow has been inconsistent despite generally positive operating cash flow.

Income Statement

46Neutral

Balance Sheet

64Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMFeb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022Feb 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue251.43B252.66B250.15B247.38B246.88B279.22B
Gross Profit79.14B73.53B78.01B78.12B78.56B85.51B
EBITDA9.25B8.29B8.16B8.71B7.95B11.55B
Net Income-169.00M265.00M-2.38B1.00B928.00M3.79B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets130.38B129.22B130.92B132.50B132.53B137.86B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.42B11.37B11.52B16.55B15.75B18.59B
Total Debt19.77B22.46B21.91B21.38B21.15B22.46B
Total Liabilities56.28B54.58B56.39B53.81B54.59B60.11B
Stockholders Equity73.78B74.32B74.22B78.39B77.66B77.53B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow01.84B-2.28B1.95B-695.00M7.38B
Operating Cash Flow07.62B6.60B9.69B5.93B13.77B
Investing Cash Flow0-5.75B-8.74B-7.94B-6.68B-5.03B
Financing Cash Flow0-2.02B-2.88B-954.00M-535.00M-6.51B

Okuwa Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price764.00

Price Trends

50DMA782.44Negative
100DMA781.76Negative
200DMA795.49Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-4.60Negative
RSI46.31Neutral
STOCH61.90Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8217, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 764.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 772.35, below the 50-day MA of 782.44, and below the 200-day MA of 795.49, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:8217.

Okuwa Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:8217 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:2659JP:265979OutperformJPY 206.24B18.297.39%3.81%6.09%-0.75%
JP:9956JP:995670OutperformJPY 200.01B8.77―3.81%9.04%13.87%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
JP:8278JP:827858NeutralJPY 177.44B20.34―1.49%-1.47%119.37%
JP:8217JP:821750NeutralJPY 31.06B-182.42―3.40%-0.24%92.09%
JP:3222JP:322250NeutralJPY 162.13B-24.05―2.06%10.71%-523.13%
JP:8273JP:827348NeutralJPY 210.08B12.00―3.10%0.92%46.70%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-10%0%10%20%30%JP:8217JP:2659JP:3222JP:8273JP:8278JP:9956Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:8217 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:8217Okuwa Co., Ltd.764.00-58.49-7.11%
JP:2659SAN-A CO 3315.00586.3221.49%
JP:3222United Super Markets Holdings, Inc.777.00-66.00-7.83%
JP:8273Izumi Co., Ltd.967.0021.612.29%
JP:8278Fuji Co., Ltd.2019.0042.042.13%
JP:9956Valor Holdings Co., Ltd.1561.0094.236.42%

Okuwa Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Okuwa posts quarterly loss despite stable balance sheet

Sep 29, 2026

Okuwa Co., Ltd. reported a slight 1.0 percent decline in operating revenues to 123,227 million yen for the second quarter ended August 2026, compared with the same period a year earlier. The company’s profitability deteriorated sharply, swinging to a...

Okuwa Slashes Earnings Forecasts as Cost-Conscious Shoppers Hit Supermarket Margins

Sep 25, 2026

Okuwa Co., Ltd. has sharply revised down its forecasts for the second quarter and full year ending February 20, 2027, reflecting weaker-than-expected performance in its supermarket operations. The retailer now expects interim consolidated operating r...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026