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MrMax Holdings Ltd. (8203) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8203

MrMax Holdings Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:8203)

Select Model
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:JPY 722.00â–²(1.69% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/06/26

The overall score is constrained by weak technical momentum and thin profitability, despite a strong balance sheet and attractive valuation. The stock is in a downtrend with negative technical indicators, which is the most significant headwind. The low P/E and high dividend yield provide a valuation cushion, but the negative free cash flow and modest income statement performance prevent a higher score.

Positive Factors
Steady Revenue GrowthSustained revenue growth indicates that MrMax continues to generate demand across its discount-store merchandise offering. Acceleration into 2025–2026 provides a constructive base for the next several quarters, supporting store economics and the company’s ability to maintain operating scale.
Negative Factors
Margin CompressionThinner net, EBIT, and EBITDA margins leave less profit buffer on each yen of sales. This makes sustained earnings growth more dependent on continued revenue expansion and operating discipline, while reducing the company’s ability to absorb cost increases or weaker merchandise performance.

MrMax Holdings Ltd. (8203) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:8203-5.85%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 23.68B
Dividend Yield
3.80%
Average Volume (3M)
98.84K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
8.6
Beta (1Y)
0.25
Revenue Growth
6.24%
EPS Growth
-5.58%
Country
Japan
Employees
719
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Discount Stores

MrMax Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

MrMax Holdings Ltd. operates a chain of discount retail stores across Japan. These stores offer an extensive array of products, from home appliances, groceries, and household necessities to beauty and healthcare items, clothing, stationery, toys, pet...

How the Company Makes Money

MrMax Holdings primarily makes money by selling merchandise to consumers through its discount retail stores. Revenue is generated from in-store sales across its merchandise categories (e.g., daily necessities and general goods). The company’s earning...

MrMax Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is mixed. The balance sheet is a clear strength (Score 78) with low leverage and growing equity. However, the income statement (Score 45) shows thin, volatile margins, and cash flow (Score 55) is pressured by negative free cash flow. The overall financial health is sound, but profitability challenges weigh on the score.

Income Statement

45Neutral

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMFeb 2026Feb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue147.68B147.68B136.57B129.57B126.90B124.83B
Gross Profit36.69B36.69B34.00B32.01B32.48B31.67B
EBITDA7.49B7.49B6.51B5.56B6.93B6.86B
Net Income2.71B2.71B2.48B2.44B3.43B2.85B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets86.75B86.75B83.51B83.85B82.13B82.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.11B2.11B1.75B2.39B3.14B2.89B
Total Debt22.14B22.14B19.89B23.31B24.49B26.82B
Total Liabilities48.37B48.37B47.45B49.72B49.67B52.71B
Stockholders Equity38.37B38.37B36.06B34.13B32.45B29.70B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-141.00M3.64B1.10B947.00M2.35B
Operating Cash Flow04.02B5.44B3.93B3.97B3.52B
Investing Cash Flow0-5.09B-2.08B-2.61B-186.00M-2.77B
Financing Cash Flow01.43B-3.99B-2.07B-3.54B-736.00M

MrMax Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price710.00

Price Trends

50DMA726.30Negative
100DMA752.70Negative
200DMA748.80Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-8.56Negative
RSI52.54Neutral
STOCH82.53Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8203, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 710.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 697.15, below the 50-day MA of 726.30, and below the 200-day MA of 748.80, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -8.56 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.53 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:8203.

MrMax Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:8203 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:2782JP:278284OutperformJPY 326.16B15.9818.22%1.85%12.87%65.87%
JP:7532JP:753270NeutralJPY 2.56T22.3415.65%1.17%11.10%10.49%
JP:7520JP:752067NeutralJPY 26.63B14.05―2.98%-2.81%-57.90%
JP:7475JP:747558NeutralJPY 32.68B24.38―1.87%0.57%-13.40%
JP:8203JP:820357NeutralJPY 23.57B8.58―3.80%6.24%-5.58%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:141AJP:141A44NeutralJPY 497.60B57.53―0.42%48.11%13.12%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%JP:8203JP:7532JP:2782JP:141AJP:7475JP:7520Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:8203 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:8203MrMax Holdings Ltd.710.00-55.70-7.27%
JP:7532Pan Pacific International Holdings Corporation814.40-78.63-8.80%
JP:2782Seria Co 4335.001287.4542.25%
JP:141ATrial Holdings Inc.4050.001752.5276.28%
JP:7475ALBIS Co., Ltd.3735.001042.8638.74%
JP:7520Eco's Co., Ltd.2346.00-510.61-17.87%

MrMax Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events

MrMax October Sales Decline as Heat and Earthquake Disruptions Weigh

Nov 6, 2026

MrMax Holdings Ltd. is a Japanese retailer serving consumers with household essentials, food, beverages, pet supplies and other daily necessities through physical stores and internet sales.In October 2026, existing-store sales fell 3.2% year on year...

MrMax cuts 2029 sales and profit targets as it prioritizes existing-store profitability

Oct 8, 2026

MrMax Holdings Ltd. has reaffirmed its focus on enhancing profitability at existing stores, where initiatives such as renovations, operating hour adjustments, and gross margin improvements are on track to achieve fiscal 2029 targets of ¥160 billion i...

Mr Max Holdings Delivers Higher Interim Profit and Confirms Full-Year Outlook

Oct 8, 2026

Mr Max Holdings reported interim operating revenue of ¥78.1 billion for the six months ended August 31, 2026, up 4.5% year on year, with operating profit rising 9.1% to ¥3.1 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent edging up 2.3% to ¥1.94...

MrMax Probes Data Leak Affecting Over 1.7 Million App and Online Store Users

Oct 6, 2026

MrMax Holdings’ subsidiary MrMax Corporation has disclosed that its app and online store servers were compromised by unauthorized third-party access, leading to a leak of personal data for up to 1,735,154 registered members. The exposed information i...

MrMax September Sales Edge Higher Despite Earthquake Disruptions

Oct 5, 2026

MrMax Holdings reported that existing-store sales and customer traffic in September 2026 reached 100.0% and 100.4% of the previous year’s levels, respectively, marking the first year-on-year improvement in four months. Demand ahead of the October liq...

MrMax Sales Dip as Kumamoto Quake Disrupts Stores, New Outlet Opens

Sep 4, 2026

MrMax reported that existing-store sales in August 2026 fell 2.8% year on year, with customer traffic down 0.7%, as strong demand for air conditioners, televisions, pet food and food items was offset by weaker sales of seasonal products amid cold wea...

Mr Max Extends ¥6 Billion Commitment Line to Bolster Financial Flexibility

Aug 28, 2026

Mr Max Holdings has renewed the contract period for its commitment line agreement, extending the expiration date from August 31, 2026 to August 31, 2027. The credit facility, set at a maximum borrowing limit of 6 billion yen, is arranged with a syndi...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026