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T. Kawabe & Co., Ltd. (8123) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8123

T. Kawabe & Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:8123)

Select Model
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,418.00â–²(1.79% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

The score is primarily driven by a moderate financial profile: improved margins, profitability, and cash generation are tempered by a steep 2026 revenue decline and thin/volatile net margins. Technical indicators are broadly neutral, while valuation is a headwind due to a high P/E that is only partially offset by the dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Gross Margin ExpansionThe sustained margin expansion indicates improved product mix, pricing, or sourcing discipline. If maintained, it can strengthen the economics of the accessories business and provide greater resilience against moderate revenue pressure.
Negative Factors
Sharp Revenue ContractionThe steep revenue decline raises concerns about demand stability across the company’s neckwear, scarf, and handkerchief categories. Lower sales can reduce operating leverage and make the recent profitability recovery difficult to sustain.

T. Kawabe & Co., Ltd. (8123) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:8123+6.16%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 2.54B
Dividend Yield
3.59%
Average Volume (3M)
857
Price to Earnings (P/E)
35.9
Beta (1Y)
0.17
Revenue Growth
-2.29%
EPS Growth
-88.79%
Country
Japan
Employees
213
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Manufacturing - Textiles

T. Kawabe & Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

T.Kawabe & Co., Ltd. manufactures, sells, imports, and exports handkerchiefs, scarves, mufflers, towels, and fabric products in Japan. It operates in two segments, Personal Goods Business and Fragrance Business. The company also engages in the acquis...

How the Company Makes Money

null

T. Kawabe & Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Recovery is evident with sustained profitability and positive free cash flow from 2023–2026, supported by expanding gross margin and improving leverage. However, results look unstable: 2026 shows a sharp revenue decline and a much thinner net margin, and cash flows have been historically volatile.

Income Statement

56Neutral

Balance Sheet

70Positive

Cash Flow

61Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.80B13.04B12.77B13.07B12.55B10.79B
Gross Profit5.48B5.52B5.26B5.08B4.52B3.91B
EBITDA308.53M377.90M615.23M548.81M451.84M64.74M
Net Income70.80M186.92M411.81M266.98M124.50M-365.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.71B12.75B12.41B12.70B12.42B12.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.54B1.78B1.36B1.48B1.59B1.31B
Total Debt2.11B2.26B2.28B2.49B2.59B3.35B
Total Liabilities5.16B5.30B5.32B5.83B6.01B6.41B
Stockholders Equity7.55B7.44B7.09B6.86B6.41B6.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0556.66M168.62M144.10M772.72M-320.38M
Operating Cash Flow0710.74M384.75M343.85M837.63M-174.56M
Investing Cash Flow0-181.53M-140.04M-318.12M206.57M-49.25M
Financing Cash Flow0-109.25M-364.98M-131.80M-768.21M623.28M

T. Kawabe & Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price1393.00

Price Trends

50DMA1403.30Negative
100DMA1370.80Positive
200DMA1389.89Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.97Positive
RSI46.34Neutral
STOCH12.64Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8123, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1393.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1403.50, below the 50-day MA of 1403.30, and above the 200-day MA of 1389.89, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.97 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.64 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:8123.

T. Kawabe & Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:8123 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:8029JP:802964NeutralJPY 21.21B11.094.59%3.65%1.05%4.31%
JP:8115JP:811560NeutralJPY 5.47B12.63―4.69%-3.03%-37.61%
JP:8123JP:812359NeutralJPY 2.54B35.90―3.59%-2.29%-88.79%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:8166JP:816649NeutralJPY 3.08B2.37――-10.79%54.05%
JP:8040JP:804048NeutralJPY 3.39B99.21―4.50%-4.43%-93.16%
JP:8107JP:810748NeutralJPY 7.99B-72.00――27.52%-52.04%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%JP:8123JP:8029JP:8040JP:8107JP:8115JP:8166Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:8123 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:8123T. Kawabe & Co., Ltd.1393.0090.546.95%
JP:8029LOOK HOLDINGS INC2736.00189.287.43%
JP:8040Tokyo Soir Co., Ltd.1001.00-20.17-1.98%
JP:8107KIMURATAN Corporation29.00-13.00-30.95%
JP:8115MOONBAT CO., LTD.1301.00-86.57-6.24%
JP:8166Taka-Q Co., Ltd.74.00-24.00-24.49%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026