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Estelle Holdings Co., Ltd. (7872) AI Stock Analysis

JP:7872

Estelle Holdings Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:7872)

Select Model
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:JPY 630.00â–²(4.83% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/18/26

The overall score is constrained by weak financial fundamentals, including thin margins and low returns on equity. However, positive technical momentum and a very attractive valuation with a high dividend yield provide a significant offset, resulting in a moderate overall assessment.

Positive Factors
Revenue RecoveryThe return to solid sales growth indicates improving demand and market traction. If sustained, higher revenue can provide operating leverage and help the company rebuild earnings after the recent period of weak performance.
Negative Factors
Weak ProfitabilityVery thin operating and net margins leave little protection against cost increases, weaker demand, or execution mistakes. The recent recovery has not yet demonstrated durable earnings power, making results sensitive to modest changes in sales or expenses.

Estelle Holdings Co., Ltd. (7872) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:7872+7.54%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 6.30B
Dividend Yield
4.49%
Average Volume (3M)
3,408
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-52.0
Beta (1Y)
0.14
Revenue Growth
11.85%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Japan
Employees
2,875
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Luxury Goods

Estelle Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Estelle Holdings Co.,Ltd. manufactures and sells jewelry in Japan. The company offers pearls and gemstones; and eyeglass frames. It also engages in food and restaurant business, as well as other businesses comprising of cosmetic and fashion business....

How the Company Makes Money

null

Estelle Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is fragile. While revenue grew 8.5% and the company returned to profitability with positive free cash flow, net margins are razor-thin at 0.14%, gross margins are declining, and return on equity is negligible at 0.39%. The balance sheet shows eroding equity and low cash flow debt coverage, indicating a weak overall financial foundation.

Income Statement

30Negative

Balance Sheet

35Negative

Cash Flow

40Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue26.28B33.89B31.27B31.70B29.63B29.98B
Gross Profit13.94B18.16B17.53B17.59B17.13B17.41B
EBITDA1.02B727.00M251.00M541.00M550.00M882.00M
Net Income502.00M46.00M-345.00M-978.00M100.00M73.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets29.84B30.09B29.92B32.05B33.86B34.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.23B5.11B5.11B6.41B6.65B8.62B
Total Debt9.19B8.97B9.60B10.38B10.71B10.90B
Total Liabilities17.96B17.80B17.68B19.42B19.90B20.47B
Stockholders Equity11.24B11.65B11.91B12.40B13.74B13.92B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0685.00M-344.00M402.00M-1.62B-399.00M
Operating Cash Flow01.02B118.00M984.00M-1.15B34.00M
Investing Cash Flow0-72.00M-244.00M-546.00M-383.00M-349.00M
Financing Cash Flow0-914.00M-1.06B-711.00M-472.00M499.00M

Estelle Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price601.00

Price Trends

50DMA614.44Negative
100DMA608.31Negative
200DMA602.13Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-3.02Positive
RSI35.61Neutral
STOCH26.37Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7872, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 601.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 610.65, below the 50-day MA of 614.44, and below the 200-day MA of 602.13, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:7872.

Estelle Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:7872 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:7638JP:763876OutperformJPY 23.48B8.60―6.02%10.59%31.31%
JP:7769JP:776971OutperformJPY 30.80B25.15―6.64%7.58%-40.23%
JP:7937JP:793771OutperformJPY 38.61B10.835.17%4.86%39.41%127.01%
JP:7872JP:787256NeutralJPY 6.39B-52.03―4.49%11.85%―
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:2736JP:273648NeutralJPY 2.16B18.88―1.17%9.71%-35.71%
JP:7810JP:781043NeutralJPY 2.56B94.74―0.44%47.35%26.49%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%JP:7872JP:7937JP:2736JP:7638JP:7769JP:7810Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:7872 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:7872Estelle Holdings Co., Ltd.601.0041.197.36%
JP:7937Tsutsumi Jewelry Co 2471.00299.5213.79%
JP:2736Festaria Holdings Company Limited599.0043.917.91%
JP:7638NEW ART HOLDINGS Co., Ltd.1330.00-62.93-4.52%
JP:7769Rhythm Co., Ltd.3730.00591.1318.83%
JP:7810Crossfor Co. Ltd.144.00-5.39-3.61%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 18, 2026