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Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd. (7811) AI Stock Analysis

JP:7811

Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:7811)

Select Model
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:JPY 2,810.00â–²(17.23% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:09/16/26

The overall score of 77 is driven by a strong financial foundation and very attractive valuation. The company's low debt, improving profitability, low P/E, and high dividend yield are significant strengths. The primary risk is the stock's overbought technical condition, which tempers the score despite the positive fundamentals.

Positive Factors
Improving Balance SheetThe sustained reduction in debt-to-equity alongside rising equity indicates improving financial resilience and manageable leverage. This gives Nakamoto Packs greater capacity to withstand operating volatility and preserve strategic flexibility without relying excessively on external financing.
Negative Factors
Sharp Revenue ContractionThe 41% revenue decline is a material challenge to the durability of the company’s earnings base, even after several years of expansion. Sustained lower sales could reduce operating leverage, weaken resource utilization, and make the recent profitability improvement harder to maintain.

Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd. (7811) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%JP:7811+38.25%EWJ+16.91%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 21.21B
Dividend Yield
3.25%
Average Volume (3M)
30.79K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.7
Beta (1Y)
0.44
Revenue Growth
5.98%
EPS Growth
52.32%
Country
Japan
Employees
883
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Specialty Business Services

Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in Osaka, Japan, in 1941, Nakamoto Packs Co.,Ltd. is a global provider of gravure printing services. The company's extensive offerings include precise double-sided fixed position printing, coater processing, sheet printing, and dry lamina...

Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Solid financial health with improving margins and low leverage. Revenue growth has moderated to 1.0% recently, and cash flow is adequate but somewhat volatile, preventing a higher score.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

85Very Positive

Cash Flow

68Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMFeb 2026Feb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue52.72B49.64B49.13B44.36B43.13B40.49B
Gross Profit10.05B9.14B8.60B6.65B6.48B6.89B
EBITDA5.29B4.22B4.21B3.03B3.51B3.80B
Net Income2.76B2.18B2.01B1.06B1.29B1.47B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets43.78B40.52B39.97B38.48B34.58B33.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.53B7.66B7.64B7.53B5.10B4.88B
Total Debt8.94B7.75B8.28B8.81B8.19B7.99B
Total Liabilities20.13B18.43B19.66B19.99B18.11B18.26B
Stockholders Equity22.54B21.03B19.31B17.57B15.40B14.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow01.15B1.19B2.37B329.96M1.78B
Operating Cash Flow02.55B2.35B3.46B1.55B3.34B
Investing Cash Flow0-1.27B-1.16B-2.53B-775.72M-1.63B
Financing Cash Flow0-1.28B-1.24B-32.69M-683.88M-782.85M

Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price2397.00

Price Trends

50DMA2210.17Positive
100DMA2041.00Positive
200DMA1959.70Positive

Market Momentum

MACD78.03Positive
RSI51.64Neutral
STOCH15.38Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7811, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2397.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2419.95, above the 50-day MA of 2210.17, and above the 200-day MA of 1959.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 78.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.38 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7811.

Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

JP:7811 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:7811JP:781177OutperformJPY 21.82B7.70―3.25%5.98%52.32%
JP:7912JP:791274OutperformJPY 1.21T14.907.01%1.46%3.56%-7.20%
JP:3551JP:355173OutperformJPY 13.39B4.47―2.96%1.01%123.20%
JP:7914JP:791473OutperformJPY 42.68B10.57―4.85%-1.79%10.53%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
JP:7916JP:791657NeutralJPY 5.60B31.54―2.71%-3.93%11.47%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%JP:7811JP:7912JP:3551JP:7914JP:7916Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:7811 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:7811Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd.2397.00648.7537.11%
JP:7912Dai Nippon Printing Co 2815.00271.3510.67%
JP:3551Dynic Corporation1552.00586.0260.67%
JP:7914Kyodo Printing Co., Ltd.1650.00215.7315.04%
JP:7916Mitsumura Printing Co., Ltd.1848.00374.1725.39%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 16, 2026