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Tamron Co., Ltd. (7740) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7740

Tamron Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:7740)

Select Model
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:JPY 1,541.00▲(12.81% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/01/26

The score is primarily supported by strong financial quality—high and improving profitability and an exceptionally low-leverage balance sheet. This is partially offset by weak technical signals (price below key short-term averages with subdued RSI) and only moderate valuation (P/E ~20.2), though the ~3.33% dividend yield provides some support.

Positive Factors
Strong and expanding profitabilityTamron has established a strong profitability profile, with operating and net margins materially above earlier levels. Sustained margin expansion can support internal investment, provide resilience through demand cycles, and strengthen earnings quality if product mix and operating discipline persist.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue contractionThe pronounced 2025 revenue decline shows that Tamron remains exposed to demand cyclicality and uneven end-market conditions. A volatile top line can reduce operating leverage, complicate capacity planning, and make future profit growth less predictable even with strong margins.

Tamron Co., Ltd. (7740) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%JP:7740+36.46%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 222.07B
Dividend Yield
3.39%
Average Volume (3M)
464.36K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
19.6
Beta (1Y)
0.87
Revenue Growth
8.34%
EPS Growth
-7.47%
Country
Japan
Employees
4,977
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Leisure

Tamron Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tamron Co.,Ltd. is a Japanese corporation, established in 1948 and headquartered in Saitama, that specializes in the production and sale of high-precision optical goods. The company organizes its operations into three primary divisions. Its Photo-Rel...

How the Company Makes Money

Tamron makes money primarily by designing, manufacturing, and selling optical products. A major revenue stream comes from branded interchangeable lenses sold into the photographic market through distributors and retail channels. Another key revenue s...

Tamron Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong overall fundamentals driven by expanding profitability (EBIT margin rising to ~19%–22% and net margins ~14%–16% in 2023–2025) and a very conservative balance sheet with minimal leverage. The main financial risk is growth volatility, highlighted by a sharp ~31% revenue decline in 2025 and uneven cash conversion/FCF growth.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

92Very Positive

Cash Flow

74Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue86.64B85.07B88.47B71.43B63.45B57.54B
Gross Profit36.63B37.42B39.39B31.66B27.62B23.21B
EBITDA18.22B20.05B22.29B17.00B14.49B10.43B
Net Income11.08B11.76B14.53B10.81B8.35B5.17B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets109.24B106.05B102.18B87.06B75.56B67.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments34.63B35.37B38.38B32.64B29.95B25.83B
Total Debt1.15B1.04B2.33B1.91B1.99B2.04B
Total Liabilities19.84B20.13B19.85B16.33B14.98B14.53B
Stockholders Equity89.40B85.91B82.33B70.73B60.57B52.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow010.73B12.79B5.37B6.15B6.68B
Operating Cash Flow015.10B17.64B10.03B9.23B8.66B
Investing Cash Flow0-7.34B-6.73B-5.14B-3.87B-3.78B
Financing Cash Flow0-11.13B-6.02B-2.78B-2.04B-1.25B

Tamron Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price1366.00

Price Trends

50DMA1395.72Negative
100DMA1321.64Positive
200DMA1170.74Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-19.44Positive
RSI44.57Neutral
STOCH43.42Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7740, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1366.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1406.45, below the 50-day MA of 1395.72, and above the 200-day MA of 1170.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -19.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:7740.

Tamron Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:7740 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:7740JP:774072OutperformJPY 226.31B19.65―3.39%8.34%-7.47%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:7731JP:773143NeutralJPY 501.54B-6.67-13.75%1.52%0.50%-1065.35%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%JP:7740JP:7731Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:7740 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:7740Tamron Co., Ltd.1366.00361.1135.94%
JP:7731Nikon Corp1648.00-128.73-7.25%

Tamron Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Tamron Posts Mixed Q2 Results but Lifts Full-Year Earnings Outlook

Aug 7, 2026

Tamron reported second-quarter FY2026 consolidated net sales of ¥43.28 billion, up 3.8% year on year, but operating and ordinary income fell 16.5%, and profit attributable to owners of parent declined 9.9%. Despite weaker profitability, total assets...

Tamron Outlines FY2026 Q2 Results and “Value Up29” Strategic Plan

Aug 7, 2026

Tamron Co., Ltd. has released a presentation outlining its second quarter fiscal 2026 financial results alongside its long-term vision and next medium-term management plan, titled “Value Up29.” The materials also include details on first-half fiscal...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2026