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POPLAR Co., Ltd. (7601) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7601

POPLAR Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:7601)

Select Model
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:JPY 162.00â–²(5.88% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/06/26

The overall score is constrained by significant technical weakness and a high valuation, which overshadow the company's strong financial turnaround. The stock is in a clear downtrend with bearish momentum, and the lack of a dividend makes the high P/E ratio harder to justify. The primary support comes from a robust balance sheet and healthy cash flow generation, but these fundamentals have yet to translate into positive market sentiment.

Positive Factors
Earnings turnaroundThe shift from deep losses to positive earnings provides a stronger operating foundation and reduces immediate financial stress. If the company can preserve profitability, the turnaround may support reinvestment, debt reduction, and greater resilience over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent revenue declineRecurring revenue contraction indicates weakening commercial momentum and limits the scale from which POPLAR can generate earnings. Without a sustained recovery in sales, fixed operating costs may remain harder to absorb and the recent earnings turnaround could prove difficult to maintain.

POPLAR Co., Ltd. (7601) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:7601-10.00%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 1.80B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
28.22K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
27.3
Beta (1Y)
0.32
Revenue Growth
-0.91%
EPS Growth
-64.92%
Country
Japan
Employees
181
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Grocery Stores

POPLAR Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Poplar Co., Ltd. operates convenience stores in Japan. The company operates in two segments, Smart Store Business and Lawson Poplar Business. The Smart Store Business segments operate under the Popura and Seikatsu Saika brands. The Lawson Poplar Busi...

POPLAR Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial health is solid, driven by a strong balance sheet (Score 78) and robust cash flow (Score 82), which offset a challenging income statement (Score 55). The company has successfully deleveraged and generates healthy free cash flow, though declining revenue and recent net income pressure remain concerns.

Income Statement

55Neutral

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

82Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMFeb 2026Feb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.65B11.65B12.03B12.37B13.06B13.63B
Gross Profit5.42B5.33B5.41B5.37B5.27B4.84B
EBITDA373.75M383.00M466.72M450.60M165.97M-993.82M
Net Income101.21M134.67M376.33M462.00M-237.80M-518.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.87B3.95B3.78B3.83B3.87B4.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments604.67M841.14M806.12M752.37M828.05M802.31M
Total Debt382.65M374.69M533.60M911.03M1.87B1.82B
Total Liabilities2.87B3.07B3.00B3.35B4.57B4.61B
Stockholders Equity997.98M879.10M780.83M477.07M-694.24M-429.43M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0264.90M352.31M65.38M23.47M-2.45B
Operating Cash Flow0487.84M433.06M79.83M101.54M-2.43B
Investing Cash Flow0-232.88M26.35M322.66M-100.73M872.55M
Financing Cash Flow0-219.94M-405.66M-478.17M24.93M-182.11M

POPLAR Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price153.00

Price Trends

50DMA162.36Negative
100DMA164.11Negative
200DMA168.38Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-2.79Positive
RSI28.04Positive
STOCH27.78Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7601, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 153.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 159.95, below the 50-day MA of 162.36, and below the 200-day MA of 168.38, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.79 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.04 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:7601.

POPLAR Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:7601 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:9956JP:995670OutperformJPY 191.83B9.90―2.43%9.04%14.45%
JP:8278JP:827858NeutralJPY 177.79B20.73―1.45%-1.47%119.37%
JP:7601JP:760156NeutralJPY 1.83B27.27――-0.91%-64.92%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:3222JP:322250NeutralJPY 163.58B-24.26―2.03%10.71%-523.13%
JP:8273JP:827348NeutralJPY 212.02B12.28―2.99%0.92%46.70%
JP:9946JP:994642NeutralJPY 51.52B-5.12―1.12%2.66%-81.23%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-10%0%10%20%JP:7601JP:3222JP:8273JP:8278JP:9946JP:9956Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:7601 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:7601POPLAR Co., Ltd.153.00-20.00-11.56%
JP:3222United Super Markets Holdings, Inc.789.00-54.00-6.41%
JP:8273Izumi Co., Ltd.1002.0063.096.72%
JP:8278Fuji Co., Ltd.2067.0082.154.14%
JP:9946Ministop Co., Ltd.1786.00-252.85-12.40%
JP:9956Valor Holdings Co., Ltd.1627.00116.227.69%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026