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Kohnan Shoji Co., Ltd. (7516) AI Stock Analysis

1 Followers
JP:7516

Kohnan Shoji Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:7516)

Select Model
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:JPY 5,127.00â–²(6.37% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/06/26

Kohnan Shoji earns a moderate score. The main drag is deteriorating financial quality: despite consistent revenue growth, net and operating margins are in multi-year decline, ROE has nearly halved since FY2021, leverage is creeping higher, and free cash flow conversion remains volatile — signs that expansion is outpacing efficiency gains. Offsetting this, the shares are in a healthy technical uptrend, trading above all key moving averages with supportive momentum, and the valuation is undemanding at 9.7x earnings with a 2.78% dividend yield. The result is a stock with appealing price action and cheap pricing, but one whose rating is capped until margins and capital efficiency stabilize. Earnings call and corporate event components were excluded due to lack of data, with their weight redistributed across the remaining factors.

Positive Factors
Steady Revenue GrowthSteady annual revenue growth shows the store network continues to generate expanding sales across home-improvement and daily-life categories. Although 2026 momentum slowed, sustained top-line progression supports scale, customer reach, and ongoing operating relevance.
Negative Factors
Operating Margin CompressionFalling operating and net margins show that revenue growth is not translating into comparable profit growth. Persistent margin pressure can reduce earnings resilience, limit reinvestment flexibility, and make results more sensitive to changes in costs or retail execution.

Kohnan Shoji Co., Ltd. (7516) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%JP:7516+32.56%EWJ+13.61%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 138.97B
Dividend Yield
2.80%
Average Volume (3M)
87.15K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
9.8
Beta (1Y)
0.22
Revenue Growth
6.28%
EPS Growth
2.40%
Country
Japan
Employees
5,244
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Home Improvement

Kohnan Shoji Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Kohnan Shoji Co., Ltd. is a Japanese retail company that manages a network of home improvement and household product stores, serving both individual consumers and professional clients. Their main home center outlets provide an extensive array of good...

How the Company Makes Money

Kohnan Shoji primarily makes money by retailing merchandise to consumers through its home center stores and related retail formats. Its core revenue stream is product sales across multiple categories such as DIY-related goods (e.g., tools and materia...

Kohnan Shoji Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Weak-to-mixed fundamentals. Revenue has grown steadily from ¥442B (FY2021) to a projected ¥520B (FY2026), but profitability is eroding: net margin has compressed from ~4.2% to ~2.4%, EBIT margin from ~6.6% to ~4.3%, and net income is set to fall to ¥12.3B from ¥14.2B. Growth is also decelerating sharply to ~1.9% in FY2026. The balance sheet is expanding but increasingly leveraged, with debt rising to ¥206B and debt-to-equity climbing to ~1.19, while ROE has nearly halved to ~7.1%. Cash flow remains the softest area — operating cash flow has stabilized near ¥22–23B, well below the ¥35B FY2021 peak, and free cash flow has been volatile (negative ¥5.1B in FY2023, projected ¥9.1B in FY2026), reflecting lumpy capex and weak earnings-to-cash conversion.

Income Statement

48Neutral

Balance Sheet

40Negative

Cash Flow

42Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMFeb 2026Feb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue541.87B519.78B501.40B472.65B439.02B441.22B
Gross Profit212.56B203.25B196.57B187.12B175.72B176.01B
EBITDA43.05B39.41B40.69B39.07B36.19B39.52B
Net Income13.90B12.26B14.21B14.05B13.23B15.59B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets540.13B504.79B479.01B458.56B419.25B398.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.23B15.52B10.84B11.72B9.22B12.24B
Total Debt218.93B206.05B193.19B196.18B170.91B159.52B
Total Liabilities354.24B330.94B313.21B301.30B269.69B255.63B
Stockholders Equity185.44B173.40B165.79B157.26B149.56B142.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow09.12B2.23B4.50B-5.12B8.09B
Operating Cash Flow022.99B22.44B22.49B9.40B17.44B
Investing Cash Flow0-20.65B-21.72B-24.01B-17.93B-12.68B
Financing Cash Flow01.46B-1.43B2.50B5.43B-7.29B

Kohnan Shoji Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price4820.00

Price Trends

50DMA4552.60Positive
100DMA4338.43Positive
200DMA4184.79Positive

Market Momentum

MACD70.91Negative
RSI59.07Neutral
STOCH70.87Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7516, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4820.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4698.50, above the 50-day MA of 4552.60, and above the 200-day MA of 4184.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 70.91 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7516.

Kohnan Shoji Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:7516 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3050JP:305076OutperformJPY 224.06B13.94―2.84%5.43%-7.20%
JP:3191JP:319170OutperformJPY 134.10B15.04―3.73%5.08%11.77%
JP:7516JP:751661NeutralJPY 148.63B9.80―2.80%6.28%2.40%
JP:8218JP:821860NeutralJPY 193.85B12.05―1.42%2.97%8.67%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:9903JP:990345NeutralJPY 5.85B19.34―2.38%-1.59%-36.98%
JP:2790JP:279043NeutralJPY 55.07B-2640.54-0.01%2.97%-0.01%-103.07%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%JP:7516JP:2790JP:3050JP:3191JP:8218JP:9903Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:7516 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:7516Kohnan Shoji Co., Ltd.4820.001154.9231.51%
JP:2790NAFCO Co., Ltd.1954.0032.981.72%
JP:3050DCM Holdings Co., Ltd.1690.00245.2616.98%
JP:3191Joyful Honda Co. Ltd.2250.00256.5612.87%
JP:8218KOMERI CO., LTD.4015.00804.8125.07%
JP:9903Kanseki Co., Ltd.848.007.460.89%

Kohnan Shoji Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Kohnan Shoji Purchases ¥243.5 Million in Treasury Stock

Nov 4, 2026

Kohnan Shoji Co., Ltd. reported that it purchased 52,300 shares of its common stock on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between October 14 and October 31, 2026, for a total of ¥243.488 million.The purchases were made under a board-approved treasury-stock pro...

Kohnan Shoji Reshapes Executive Roles to Bolster E-Commerce Strategy

Oct 19, 2026

Kohnan Shoji Co., Ltd., listed on the TSE Prime, operates in the retail and home improvement sector, focusing on sales planning, promotion and a range of sales channels including home center (HC) operations, e-commerce and professional (PRO) sales. T...

Kohnan Shoji Raises Interim Dividend, Signals Higher Annual Payout

Oct 13, 2026

Kohnan Shoji Co., Ltd. has approved an interim dividend of 70 yen per share for the fiscal year with a record date of August 31, 2026, matching its previous forecast and exceeding last year’s interim payment of 65 yen. The total interim payout will b...

Kohnan Shoji Launches ¥1.5 Billion Share Buyback and Raises Dividends

Oct 13, 2026

Kohnan Shoji Co., Ltd. has authorized a new share buyback program to bolster shareholder returns and enhance capital efficiency amid a changing management environment. The retailer plans to repurchase up to 450,000 shares, equivalent to 1.51% of outs...

Kohnan Shoji Unveils FY2/27 Q2 Results and Growth Strategy Focus

Oct 13, 2026

Kohnan Shoji Co., Ltd. has released presentation materials covering its financial results for the second quarter of the fiscal year ending February 2027, spanning March 1 to August 31, 2026. The documents outline the company’s performance for the per...

Kohnan Shoji Posts Double-Digit Profit Growth and Raises Interim Dividend

Oct 13, 2026

Kohnan Shoji Co., Ltd., a home center and household goods retailer listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, reported a stronger financial position for the six months ended August 31, 2026, with total assets rising to ¥540.1 billion and an equity-to-asset...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026