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Fenwal Controls of Japan, Ltd. (6870) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6870

Fenwal Controls of Japan, Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:6870)

Select Model
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:JPY 2,039.00â–²(8.52% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/04/26

The overall score is constrained by extremely weak technical momentum, with the stock in a deep downtrend and oversold conditions. Strong financial health, characterized by a robust balance sheet and record profitability, provides a fundamental floor. Attractive valuation and a high dividend yield offer a buffer, but the poor cash flow conversion and persistent selling pressure are the most significant factors weighing on the score.

Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheetVery low and improving leverage gives the company substantial financial flexibility and reduces pressure from interest or refinancing obligations. A stronger capital base can support continued operations and selective investment through weaker periods, while limiting balance-sheet constraints on future capital allocation.
Negative Factors
Weak cash conversionCash generation is materially weaker than reported earnings, reducing confidence in the quality and repeatability of current profitability. Negative free cash flow also limits internally funded investment and increases execution risk, particularly if working-capital needs or investment spending remain elevated.

Fenwal Controls of Japan, Ltd. (6870) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%JP:6870+10.76%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 10.50B
Dividend Yield
4.15%
Average Volume (3M)
3,006
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.4
Beta (1Y)
0.36
Revenue Growth
4.70%
EPS Growth
-27.90%
Country
Japan
Employees
271
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Security & Protection Services

Fenwal Controls of Japan, Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Fenwal Controls of Japan Ltd. engages in the development, sale, design, construction, and maintenance of thermal control systems. It operates through the following segments: Safety Security Protection (SSP), Thermal, Medical, and Printed Wiring Board...

Fenwal Controls of Japan, Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Solid income statement and a very strong balance sheet are offset by weak cash flow generation. Revenue growth and record net income support profitability, but negative free cash flow and low operating cash flow coverage raise concerns about earnings quality.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

90Very Positive

Cash Flow

45Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.55B12.91B12.52B12.60B12.40B12.37B
Gross Profit4.38B4.16B4.14B4.01B4.05B3.90B
EBITDA1.65B1.50B1.58B929.57M1.45B1.07B
Net Income921.11M1.25B1.12B385.00M826.57M387.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.58B19.23B19.52B19.46B19.10B18.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.17B4.83B6.29B7.32B6.32B6.89B
Total Debt727.38M622.95M1.24B1.54B1.78B2.11B
Total Liabilities4.30B4.62B5.94B6.78B6.79B6.76B
Stockholders Equity15.28B14.61B13.59B12.68B12.31B11.92B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-468.06M293.62M936.00M55.01M859.69M
Operating Cash Flow0342.48M949.44M1.11B401.18M1.20B
Investing Cash Flow0-1.29B-659.28M940.68M-80.91M-1.27B
Financing Cash Flow0-1.04B-920.32M-646.00M-714.24M226.09M

Fenwal Controls of Japan, Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1879.00

Price Trends

50DMA2050.56Negative
100DMA2243.20Negative
200DMA2153.84Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-64.71Negative
RSI36.66Neutral
STOCH45.37Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6870, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1879.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1937.40, below the 50-day MA of 2050.56, and below the 200-day MA of 2153.84, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -64.71 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:6870.

Fenwal Controls of Japan, Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:6870 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:6744JP:674484OutperformJPY 274.68B16.21―2.74%11.62%53.88%
JP:6809JP:680978OutperformJPY 61.69B13.43―5.08%12.04%29.00%
JP:7734JP:773472OutperformJPY 157.24B14.24―1.74%14.25%30.90%
JP:9735JP:973572OutperformJPY 3.10T24.908.70%1.55%4.25%14.23%
JP:6870JP:687064NeutralJPY 10.56B11.44―4.15%4.70%-27.90%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%JP:6870JP:9735JP:6744JP:6809JP:7734Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:6870 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:6870Fenwal Controls of Japan, Ltd.1879.00181.5510.70%
JP:9735Secom Co 7117.001898.8336.39%
JP:6744Nohmi Bosai Ltd.4520.001103.9732.32%
JP:6809Toa Corporation1772.00159.129.87%
JP:7734Riken Keiki Co., Ltd.3455.00253.437.92%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2026