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Melco Holdings Inc. (6676) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6676

Melco Holdings Inc.

(TSE/TYO:6676)

Select Model
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:JPY 3,277.00â–²(8.51% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:09/18/26

The score is driven primarily by solid financial stability (low leverage) and improved profitability, tempered by a meaningful revenue decline and volatile/weak cash conversion in FY2026. Technicals are supportive due to a strong uptrend, but overbought momentum indicators raise near-term risk. Valuation is reasonable with a low P/E and a modest dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Low Financial LeverageThe conservatively positioned balance sheet gives Melco substantial financial flexibility. Modest leverage relative to equity and assets can reduce financing pressure, support resilience during weaker demand, and preserve capacity to fund operations or strategic investment over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Revenue ContractionThe substantial revenue decline points to weaker demand or pricing pressure affecting the business rather than merely a temporary earnings fluctuation. Prolonged top-line contraction could limit operating leverage, reduce reinvestment capacity, and make the recent profit recovery harder to sustain.

Melco Holdings Inc. (6676) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%JP:6676+69.21%EWJ+10.02%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 71.60B
Dividend Yield
1.99%
Average Volume (3M)
65.43K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
9.3
Beta (1Y)
1.37
Revenue Growth
-19.05%
EPS Growth
27.06%
Country
Japan
Employees
963
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Computer Hardware

Melco Holdings Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Buffalo Inc., a Tokyo-headquartered company established in 1975, operates globally through its subsidiaries, focusing on the development, production, and distribution of digital consumer electronics and computer peripherals. Its extensive product por...

Melco Holdings Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Earnings improved with net income rising to 8.1B in FY2026 and operating profit recovering, supported by a conservatively positioned balance sheet with very low leverage. Offsetting this, revenue fell ~15.4% in FY2026 and cash flow quality is weak/volatile, with operating cash flow dropping to 3.7B and free cash flow to 3.5B in FY2026 after a strong FY2025.

Income Statement

61Positive

Balance Sheet

84Very Positive

Cash Flow

48Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue112.25B117.31B143.17B145.77B142.58B144.14B
Gross Profit27.81B30.39B38.10B36.07B35.98B43.91B
EBITDA10.47B10.64B11.19B5.67B6.77B15.08B
Net Income7.80B8.07B6.01B3.01B3.06B9.35B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets71.80B71.44B76.79B95.94B93.41B95.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.24B27.21B31.61B29.96B20.51B28.52B
Total Debt1.47B1.55B0099.00M960.00M
Total Liabilities27.55B28.44B31.75B32.01B30.94B32.67B
Stockholders Equity44.25B43.00B45.04B63.92B62.46B63.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow03.49B13.57B4.57B-1.47B-245.00M
Operating Cash Flow03.70B14.72B6.63B392.00M1.00B
Investing Cash Flow0631.00M-1.36B5.37B2.74B-1.84B
Financing Cash Flow0-8.79B-7.16B-2.61B-4.51B-6.96B

Melco Holdings Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price3020.00

Price Trends

50DMA3340.05Negative
100DMA2995.34Positive
200DMA2704.28Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-45.59Positive
RSI28.82Positive
STOCH8.93Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6676, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3020.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3514.25, below the 50-day MA of 3340.05, and above the 200-day MA of 2704.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -45.59 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.82 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.93 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:6676.

Melco Holdings Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:6676 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:6750JP:675086OutperformJPY 176.40B6.8320.97%3.24%15.44%115.43%
JP:7751JP:775173OutperformJPY 4.71T11.23―3.44%3.90%132.03%
JP:6676JP:667667NeutralJPY 76.56B9.34―1.99%-19.05%27.06%
JP:6724JP:672460NeutralJPY 929.47B34.652.90%2.90%9.65%-11.65%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:6588JP:658846NeutralJPY 156.02B29.575.11%1.52%6.91%-78.12%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%JP:6676JP:6750JP:6724JP:6588JP:7751Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:6676 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:6676Melco Holdings Inc.3020.001247.5170.38%
JP:6750Elecom Co 1851.0085.624.85%
JP:6724Seiko Epson Corp2657.00791.8942.46%
JP:6588Toshiba Tec Corp.2630.00-441.97-14.39%
JP:7751Canon Inc.4645.00352.808.22%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 18, 2026