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Melco Holdings Inc. (6676) AI Stock Analysis

1 Followers
JP:6676

Melco Holdings Inc.

(TSE/TYO:6676)

Select Model
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:JPY 3,428.00â–²(7.80% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/18/26

Melco Holdings' solid overall score is primarily anchored by its attractive valuation and a pristine balance sheet characterized by very low leverage. Strong technical momentum across key moving averages further supports the rating. However, persistent top-line revenue contraction and weakened cash flow conversion serve as the primary risks preventing a higher score.

Positive Factors
Conservative Balance SheetVery low leverage, including effectively no debt in FY2024–FY2025, and a ~43.0B FY2026 equity base provide resilience and financing flexibility. This reduces balance-sheet pressure during weaker demand and leaves capacity to support operations or selective investment over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Revenue ContractionRevenue fell approximately 15.4% in FY2026 after being roughly flat or slightly down in FY2025, showing that growth has weakened rather than accelerated. Persistent top-line contraction can reduce operating leverage, limit reinvestment capacity, and make future profit gains harder to sustain.

Melco Holdings Inc. (6676) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%JP:6676+32.14%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 75.39B
Dividend Yield
1.89%
Average Volume (3M)
64.65K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
9.8
Beta (1Y)
1.40
Revenue Growth
-13.15%
EPS Growth
6.26%
Country
Japan
Employees
963
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Computer Hardware

Melco Holdings Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Buffalo Inc., a Tokyo-headquartered company established in 1975, operates globally through its subsidiaries, focusing on the development, production, and distribution of digital consumer electronics and computer peripherals. Its extensive product por...

Melco Holdings Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Displays a fortress balance sheet with minimal debt and excellent margin expansion, though this is heavily offset by shrinking top-line revenues and recent cash flow volatility.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

85Very Positive

Cash Flow

65Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue112.25B117.31B143.17B145.77B142.58B144.14B
Gross Profit27.81B30.39B38.10B36.07B35.98B43.91B
EBITDA10.47B10.64B11.19B5.67B6.77B15.08B
Net Income7.80B8.07B6.01B3.01B3.06B9.35B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets71.80B71.44B76.79B95.94B93.41B95.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.24B27.21B31.61B29.96B20.51B28.52B
Total Debt1.47B1.55B0099.00M960.00M
Total Liabilities27.55B28.44B31.75B32.01B30.94B32.67B
Stockholders Equity44.25B43.00B45.04B63.92B62.46B63.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow03.49B13.57B4.57B-1.47B-245.00M
Operating Cash Flow03.70B14.72B6.63B392.00M1.00B
Investing Cash Flow0631.00M-1.36B5.37B2.74B-1.84B
Financing Cash Flow0-8.79B-7.16B-2.61B-4.51B-6.96B

Melco Holdings Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price3180.00

Price Trends

50DMA3359.57Negative
100DMA3025.17Positive
200DMA2723.10Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-80.09Positive
RSI40.68Neutral
STOCH48.02Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6676, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3180.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3406.50, below the 50-day MA of 3359.57, and above the 200-day MA of 2723.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -80.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:6676.

Melco Holdings Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:6676 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:6750JP:675079OutperformJPY 171.39B6.9620.97%3.18%20.09%103.24%
JP:6676JP:667677OutperformJPY 76.32B9.83―1.89%-13.15%6.26%
JP:7751JP:775173OutperformJPY 4.62T11.68―3.31%3.90%132.03%
JP:6724JP:672458NeutralJPY 909.79B20.675.12%2.70%9.65%-11.65%
JP:6588JP:658856NeutralJPY 142.65B13.855.16%1.60%12.48%―
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%80%JP:6676JP:6750JP:6724JP:6588JP:7751Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:6676 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:6676Melco Holdings Inc.3180.00673.0526.85%
JP:6750Elecom Co 1887.00165.159.59%
JP:6724Seiko Epson Corp2853.50985.9752.80%
JP:6588Toshiba Tec Corp.2507.00-268.13-9.66%
JP:7751Canon Inc.4832.00471.3110.81%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 18, 2026