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CareerIndex, Inc. (6538) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6538

CareerIndex, Inc.

(TSE/TYO:6538)

Select Model
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:JPY 245.00â–²(10.36% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/18/26

The overall score of 79 is driven primarily by the company's excellent financial performance, characterized by strong revenue growth, a rock-solid balance sheet, and robust cash flow generation. The very attractive valuation, with a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield, is also a significant positive factor. These strengths are partially offset by a mixed technical picture, where the stock is in a longer-term downtrend despite some short-term positive signals.

Positive Factors
Revenue and profit recoveryThe sharp improvement in revenue and net income indicates renewed operating momentum and stronger earnings capacity. If maintained, this recovery can support reinvestment, improve resilience, and provide a more durable base for performance over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Earnings volatilityThe large prior-year loss demonstrates that earnings have not been consistently stable across the reported periods. Such volatility lowers confidence in the durability of the recent rebound and makes future profitability more difficult to forecast with precision.

CareerIndex, Inc. (6538) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:6538-27.40%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 4.58B
Dividend Yield
3.15%
Average Volume (3M)
43.24K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.5
Beta (1Y)
0.99
Revenue Growth
18.49%
EPS Growth
90.37%
Country
Japan
Employees
107
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Information Technology Services

CareerIndex, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Disruptors Inc. operates job related Internet platforms in Japan. The company operates CAREER INDEX that provides job change services; Lacotto, which provides part-time job information service; Fashion HR, a job information platform for the fashion a...

CareerIndex, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong overall financial health. Revenue growth is robust at 19% and net income has recovered to a healthy 13% margin. The balance sheet is conservatively leveraged with a 0.22 debt-to-equity ratio, and cash flow generation is excellent, with operating cash flow exceeding net income. The primary concern is the declining gross margin trend.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

90Very Positive

Cash Flow

92Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.29B5.11B4.29B3.77B3.34B3.06B
Gross Profit3.46B3.33B2.85B2.80B2.85B2.84B
EBITDA1.04B1.15B657.00M-1.29B885.00M1.15B
Net Income702.00M680.00M211.00M-1.60B262.00M585.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.33B4.24B3.79B4.02B6.04B5.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.59B1.54B1.07B990.00M2.33B2.41B
Total Debt561.00M604.00M828.00M1.23B1.61B790.00M
Total Liabilities1.58B1.55B1.59B1.93B2.35B1.54B
Stockholders Equity2.74B2.69B2.20B2.09B3.69B3.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0992.00M534.00M241.00M301.00M983.00M
Operating Cash Flow0998.00M539.00M304.00M328.00M986.00M
Investing Cash Flow0-113.00M37.00M-1.14B-648.00M-61.00M
Financing Cash Flow0-413.00M-500.00M-504.00M207.00M-259.00M

CareerIndex, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price222.00

Price Trends

50DMA237.60Negative
100DMA238.71Negative
200DMA252.56Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-4.03Negative
RSI41.70Neutral
STOCH49.21Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6538, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 222.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 227.20, below the 50-day MA of 237.60, and below the 200-day MA of 252.56, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:6538.

CareerIndex, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:6538 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3923JP:392381OutperformJPY 404.89B16.69―0.61%10.41%139.94%
JP:6538JP:653879OutperformJPY 4.64B6.47―3.15%18.49%90.37%
JP:4709JP:470976OutperformJPY 33.53B13.34―4.69%2.34%-2.26%
JP:3393JP:339371OutperformJPY 31.77B11.37―4.93%9.16%41.23%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:4427JP:442749NeutralJPY 1.95B-9.11――-6.79%-2425.49%
JP:1447JP:144739UnderperformJPY 6.72B-8.18―0.73%-4.90%-541.80%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%JP:6538JP:1447JP:3393JP:3923JP:4427JP:4709Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:6538 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:6538CareerIndex, Inc.222.00-92.61-29.44%
JP:1447ITbook Holdings Co., Ltd.275.0026.0010.44%
JP:3393Startia Holdings,Inc.3205.00728.8229.43%
JP:3923RAKUS Co., Ltd.1142.50-111.82-8.91%
JP:4427EduLab, Inc.191.00-122.00-38.98%
JP:4709ID Holdings Corporation1012.0033.763.45%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 18, 2026