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HEPHAIST CO.,LTD (6433) AI Stock Analysis

JP:6433

HEPHAIST CO.,LTD

(TSE/TYO:6433)

Select Model
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,008.00â–²(0.80% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/29/26

The overall stock score of 51 is heavily weighed down by severe underlying fundamental distress despite very strong short-term technical momentum. While technical indicators point to robust bullish price action well above major moving averages, the company's deeply negative profitability, massive cash burn, and negative P/E ratio present critical fundamental risks, making the stock highly speculative.

Positive Factors
Moderate leverageModerate leverage provides some financial flexibility relative to a heavily indebted balance sheet. Although equity has declined and debt has risen, the reported debt-to-equity range suggests borrowing is not yet the primary constraint on operations or capital allocation.
Negative Factors
Sustained revenue and profit deteriorationMulti-year revenue contraction combined with escalating losses points to weakening operating performance rather than a temporary earnings fluctuation. Continued top-line pressure reduces operating leverage, limits reinvestment capacity, and makes a near-term return to sustainable profitability more difficult.

HEPHAIST CO.,LTD (6433) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%300%JP:6433+66.39%EWJ+16.91%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 6.24B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
232.96K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-9.2
Beta (1Y)
2.00
Revenue Growth
-19.07%
EPS Growth
-222.53%
Country
Japan
Employees
84
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication

HEPHAIST CO.,LTD Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 1962 and headquartered in Kawagoe, Japan, HEPHAIST Co., Ltd. operates as a global enterprise. Collaborating with its subsidiary, Hefei (Shanghai) Bearing Trading Co., Ltd., the company specializes in the worldwide manufacturing and dis...

HEPHAIST CO.,LTD Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Assigned the minimum score due to severe operational distress. The company suffers from sharp revenue contraction, steep net losses, and persistent negative cash flow, forcing a troubling reliance on debt and rapid equity erosion.

Income Statement

12Very Negative

Balance Sheet

42Neutral

Cash Flow

18Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.19B1.64B2.25B2.31B2.41B2.74B
Gross Profit342.90M197.65M333.89M315.94M477.90M705.06M
EBITDA73.84M-71.73M10.28M85.75M207.10M409.71M
Net Income-210.04M-718.51M-203.46M-221.82M-2.48M217.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.05B4.14B5.01B5.39B5.15B4.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments562.52M402.95M559.16M884.91M864.46M973.46M
Total Debt1.60B1.58B1.42B1.36B966.73M529.37M
Total Liabilities2.28B2.04B2.19B2.37B1.92B1.66B
Stockholders Equity2.76B2.10B2.82B3.02B3.23B3.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-167.95M-206.96M-130.18M-451.99M226.16M
Operating Cash Flow0-162.81M-183.39M166.30M-40.00M417.36M
Investing Cash Flow0-25.92M-51.72M-322.71M-430.90M-207.56M
Financing Cash Flow030.26M-99.47M171.66M354.69M-203.10M

HEPHAIST CO.,LTD Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1000.00

Price Trends

50DMA1130.48Negative
100DMA1081.22Negative
200DMA1273.24Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-41.94Positive
RSI40.58Neutral
STOCH54.04Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6433, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1000.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1068.05, below the 50-day MA of 1130.48, and below the 200-day MA of 1273.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -41.94 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:6433.

HEPHAIST CO.,LTD Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

JP:6433 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:1787JP:178780OutperformJPY 13.68B11.45―5.97%-0.34%17.35%
JP:5644JP:564472OutperformJPY 22.25B7.34―2.12%2.42%49.60%
JP:5852JP:585270OutperformJPY 14.80B7.46―6.19%-0.50%―
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
JP:6998JP:699855NeutralJPY 14.50B21.60―2.97%12.13%-3.95%
JP:6433JP:643351NeutralJPY 6.18B-9.18――-19.07%-222.53%
JP:5994JP:599440UnderperformJPY 4.00B-1.29―2.74%3.08%-260.66%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%JP:6433JP:1787JP:5644JP:5852JP:5994JP:6998Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:6433 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:6433HEPHAIST CO.,LTD1000.00361.0056.49%
JP:1787Nakabohtec Corrosion Protecting Co., Ltd.5610.00528.7110.41%
JP:5644Metalart Corporation7300.003304.6982.71%
JP:5852Ahresty Corporation582.00-181.65-23.79%
JP:5994Fine Sinter Co., Ltd.912.00-627.55-40.76%
JP:6998Nippon Tungsten Co., Ltd.2866.001417.3697.84%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 29, 2026