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Strike Co., Ltd. (6196) AI Stock Analysis

2 Followers
JP:6196

Strike Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:6196)

Select Model
Rating:89Outperform
Price Target:JPY 2,028.00â–²(13.04% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The score is driven primarily by excellent financial performance—strong growth, durable profitability, low leverage, and solid cash generation—supported by bullish technical momentum and a reasonable valuation with a solid dividend yield. Momentum indicators are nearing overbought territory, which modestly limits the score.

Positive Factors
Strong Revenue GrowthStrong multi-year revenue compounding, including renewed acceleration in 2026, indicates expanding demand for the company’s M&A advisory services. Continued top-line growth can support operating leverage, broaden market reach, and reinforce Strike’s position in business succession and mid-sized enterprise transactions.
Negative Factors
Margin SofteningThe decline from peak margins suggests that growth has not translated into steadily expanding profitability. If mix, pricing, or cost pressures persist, further margin normalization could reduce earnings conversion and limit the operating leverage that has historically supported Strike’s strong financial profile.

Strike Co., Ltd. (6196) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%JP:6196+42.85%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 102.66B
Dividend Yield
3.62%
Average Volume (3M)
514.44K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.3
Beta (1Y)
0.43
Revenue Growth
33.29%
EPS Growth
51.26%
Country
Japan
Employees
452
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Specialty Business Services

Strike Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Strike Group Co., Ltd. is a Japan-based company mainly engaged in the brokerage of mergers and acquisitions (M&A). The company provides M&A intermediary advice and management, business succession and growth-strategy M&A consulting, corporate value ev...

Strike Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong multi-year revenue compounding with acceleration in 2026 (~24% YoY), consistently high profitability, and a very conservative balance sheet (generally zero debt) with strong ROE. Cash conversion is generally solid and 2026 free cash flow surged, though there has been some historical working-capital variability and margin softening into 2025.

Income Statement

92Very Positive

Balance Sheet

94Very Positive

Cash Flow

89Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMSep 2026Sep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.88B27.08B20.31B18.14B13.83B10.73B
Gross Profit12.80B16.66B11.74B11.61B9.25B7.16B
EBITDA7.46B10.57B6.55B6.94B5.30B4.29B
Net Income5.27B7.14B4.72B4.96B3.87B2.96B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.73B33.83B24.76B22.69B18.29B12.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.28B27.66B20.15B18.36B14.10B8.54B
Total Debt0001.14B00
Total Liabilities4.28B8.66B3.29B4.22B3.78B1.56B
Stockholders Equity21.44B25.17B21.47B18.47B14.50B11.25B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.60B10.96B3.60B5.62B6.42B1.60B
Operating Cash Flow3.85B11.02B3.85B6.28B6.81B1.70B
Investing Cash Flow-314.30M-132.37M-314.30M-1.05B-636.24M-936.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.74B-3.46B-1.74B-979.01M-612.70M-791.35M

Strike Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1794.00

Price Trends

50DMA1428.94Positive
100DMA1343.57Positive
200DMA1312.35Positive

Market Momentum

MACD111.30Negative
RSI70.19Negative
STOCH85.10Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6196, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1794.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1531.30, above the 50-day MA of 1428.94, and above the 200-day MA of 1312.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 111.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.19 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6196.

Strike Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:6196 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:6196JP:619689OutperformJPY 104.89B14.31―3.62%33.29%51.26%
JP:8628JP:862876OutperformJPY 259.63B13.4123.59%5.21%46.94%77.06%
JP:8609JP:860972OutperformJPY 225.20B7.82―3.93%35.90%141.48%
JP:8613JP:861369NeutralJPY 78.95B14.2210.64%6.23%20.63%21.84%
JP:8698JP:869866NeutralJPY 146.53B31.083.80%5.20%3.80%―
JP:8614JP:861465NeutralJPY 44.92B8.84―4.69%20.31%84.22%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%JP:6196JP:8698JP:8628JP:8613JP:8609JP:8614Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:6196 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:6196Strike Co., Ltd.1794.00538.1642.85%
JP:8698Monex Group 592.00-130.80-18.10%
JP:8628Matsui Securities Co 1017.00253.3033.17%
JP:8613Marusan Securities Co., Ltd.1199.00308.3834.63%
JP:8609Okasan Securities Group Inc.1048.00372.8155.22%
JP:8614Toyo Securities Co., Ltd.647.00103.9719.15%

Strike Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Strike Group Launches ¥4 Billion Share Buyback After Record Earnings

Oct 30, 2026

Strike Group Co., Ltd., a TSE Prime-listed M&A brokerage specialist, reported record-high results for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2026 and forecasts further increases in net sales and profit for fiscal 2027. Building on this momentum, the com...

Strike Group Highlights M&A Focus and Investor Outreach in FY2026/9 Presentation

Oct 30, 2026

Strike Group Co., Ltd., a Prime Market-listed financial advisory firm on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, specializes in M&A brokerage and FA services and tracks its performance via deal and contract metrics, including large transactions over ¥100 million p...

Strike Group posts strong first consolidated results and raises FY2027 dividend outlook

Oct 30, 2026

Strike Group reported consolidated net sales of ¥27.1 billion and operating profit of ¥10.4 billion for FY2026/9, its first year of consolidated reporting, delivering a high operating margin and profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥7.1 billion...

Strike Group Lifts Full-Year Earnings Forecast on Strong M&A Deal Momentum

Oct 21, 2026

Strike Group Co., Ltd. has revised its full-year consolidated earnings forecasts for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2026, significantly raising expectations across key metrics. The company now projects net sales of JPY 27,077 million and profit...

Strike Group Lifts Full-Year Earnings Forecasts on Strong M&A Deal Momentum

Aug 28, 2026

Strike Group Co., Ltd. has raised its full-year consolidated earnings forecasts for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, citing stronger-than-expected momentum in M&A advisory operations. A faster pace of closed deals since the third quarter an...

Strike Group to Launch Taiwanese M&A Advisory Subsidiary for Overseas Expansion

Aug 21, 2026

Strike Group Co., Ltd. has resolved to establish Taiwan Strike Co., Ltd. in Taipei as a specified overseas subsidiary, marking a strategic step in expanding its M&A advisory footprint beyond Japan. The new unit will focus on M&A advisory services in...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2026