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Onex Corporation (5987) AI Stock Analysis

JP:5987

Onex Corporation

(TSE/TYO:5987)

Select Model
Rating:72.5Outperform
Price Target:JPY 2,036.00â–²(23.47% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:08/17/26

The score is driven primarily by improved FY2026 financial performance and a strengthening balance sheet with lower leverage, partially offset by a history of earnings volatility and uneven cash conversion. Technicals are supportive with the price above major moving averages and neutral-to-positive momentum indicators. Valuation is also favorable with a low P/E and a modest dividend yield.

Positive Factors
FY2026 Revenue and Margin RecoveryThe sharp FY2026 improvement indicates stronger operating performance and renewed earnings capacity. Sustained revenue growth and margin expansion could support better profitability over the next several quarters if operating conditions remain supportive.
Negative Factors
Volatile Earnings HistoryThe uneven earnings record limits confidence that FY2026 performance represents a durable new baseline. Repeated profit weakness across the cycle suggests that profitability may remain sensitive to operating conditions, demand, or cost pressures.

Onex Corporation (5987) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:5987-7.80%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 2.73B
Dividend Yield
1.21%
Average Volume (3M)
3,028
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.1
Beta (1Y)
0.36
Revenue Growth
4.78%
EPS Growth
13147.81%
Country
Japan
Employees
251
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication

Onex Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ONEX Corporation is a global provider of specialized services focused on metal heat processing, surface remediation, and material treatment. The company offers a comprehensive suite of metal heat treatment techniques, including carburizing, carbonitr...

Onex Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

FY2026 showed a meaningful rebound with ~18% revenue growth and improved margins, lifting net income to ~Â¥383M from near breakeven in FY2025. Balance sheet risk looks lower with declining debt-to-equity (~0.28) and a solid equity base (~Â¥5.7B). Operating cash flow is consistently positive and FY2026 free cash flow was solid (~Â¥353M), but multi-year earnings volatility and uneven cash conversion (FCF materially below net income and prior negative FCF in FY2022) temper confidence in durability.

Income Statement

68Positive

Balance Sheet

76Positive

Cash Flow

72Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.29B5.29B5.05B4.97B5.37B5.30B
Gross Profit1.45B1.45B986.95M1.03B1.11B1.09B
EBITDA773.29M773.29M374.93M581.01M605.55M671.18M
Net Income382.93M382.93M2.89M-377.47M221.44M161.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.27B8.27B8.70B8.89B9.95B9.79B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.84B2.84B2.94B2.72B2.54B2.45B
Total Debt1.59B1.59B1.90B2.37B2.75B2.89B
Total Liabilities2.60B2.60B3.45B3.61B4.30B4.36B
Stockholders Equity5.67B5.67B5.25B5.28B5.65B5.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0352.56M523.24M538.50M310.17M-65.98M
Operating Cash Flow0828.69M698.37M826.07M665.08M416.39M
Investing Cash Flow0-796.27M97.09M-222.29M-375.14M-462.00M
Financing Cash Flow0-431.51M-574.32M-423.93M-202.19M-155.71M

Onex Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1649.00

Price Trends

50DMA1657.30Negative
100DMA1727.07Negative
200DMA1739.73Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.38Negative
RSI48.40Neutral
STOCH55.78Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5987, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1649.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1648.60, below the 50-day MA of 1657.30, and below the 200-day MA of 1739.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5987.

Onex Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:5987 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5922JP:592279OutperformJPY 23.34B8.77―3.20%2.76%46.85%
JP:5987JP:598773OutperformJPY 2.73B7.13―1.21%4.78%13147.81%
JP:5644JP:564472OutperformJPY 22.25B7.40―2.11%2.42%49.60%
JP:5852JP:585266NeutralJPY 14.80B7.50―6.15%-0.50%―
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:2962JP:296252NeutralJPY 16.55B2857.14――11.41%―
JP:5994JP:599440UnderperformJPY 4.00B-1.29―2.75%3.08%-260.66%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%200%400%600%JP:5987JP:2962JP:5644JP:5852JP:5922JP:5994Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:5987 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:5987Onex Corporation1649.00-172.20-9.46%
JP:2962TECNISCO LTD.1800.001385.00333.73%
JP:5644Metalart Corporation7360.003364.6984.22%
JP:5852Ahresty Corporation585.00-182.47-23.78%
JP:5922NASU DENKI-TEKKO CO., LTD.20010.004713.9530.82%
JP:5994Fine Sinter Co., Ltd.908.00-561.97-38.23%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026