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Rococo Co. Ltd. (5868) AI Stock Analysis

JP:5868

Rococo Co. Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:5868)

Select Model
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:JPY 1,177.00â–²(15.73% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:09/09/26

The score is driven primarily by solid financial quality—top-line growth, a strengthened balance sheet, and strong free cash flow coverage—supported by clear bullish technicals (price above major moving averages and positive MACD). The main offsets are a relatively expensive P/E multiple and evidence of margin compression, while the high dividend yield partially mitigates valuation concerns.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthA generally rising revenue base, reinforced by the pronounced 2025 step-up, indicates continued business expansion and demand for the company’s services. Sustained top-line growth can support operating scale, strengthen market position, and provide a foundation for earnings improvement over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Margin CompressionProfitability has weakened materially from earlier highs despite positive and fairly stable earnings. Persistent margin compression could limit operating leverage from revenue growth, reduce reinvestment capacity, and make future earnings more sensitive to changes in business conditions.

Rococo Co. Ltd. (5868) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:5868+8.12%EWJ+16.91%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 3.83B
Dividend Yield
5.41%
Average Volume (3M)
6,113
Price to Earnings (P/E)
27.2
Beta (1Y)
0.64
Revenue Growth
15.03%
EPS Growth
-69.84%
Country
Japan
Employees
712
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Information Technology Services

Rococo Co. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Rococo Co. Ltd. operates as a comprehensive provider of information technology consulting solutions. Its extensive service portfolio includes IT outsourcing, which covers end-to-end PC lifecycle management, helpdesk support, kitting, complex infrastr...

Rococo Co. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue has grown overall with a strong step-up in 2025, the balance sheet has materially de-risked versus 2021–2022, and free cash flow coverage of net income is consistently strong with improving momentum into 2025. Offsetting these positives, profitability has compressed from prior highs (net margin now mid‑3% vs. ~6.5% in 2022) and cash flow has shown some volatility.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.34B9.19B7.80B7.18B6.93B6.30B
Gross Profit3.10B3.14B2.84B2.67B2.66B2.16B
EBITDA744.60M576.59M506.77M540.21M820.29M550.32M
Net Income461.51M317.73M278.02M289.00M453.13M322.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.28B5.00B4.35B4.39B3.27B3.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.63B1.94B1.93B2.14B1.28B1.18B
Total Debt463.84M758.45M580.42M1.21B1.32B1.54B
Total Liabilities1.46B2.04B1.60B2.08B2.20B2.44B
Stockholders Equity2.82B2.96B2.75B2.31B1.07B611.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0648.32M325.98M173.83M424.05M330.52M
Operating Cash Flow0665.99M341.56M185.31M443.09M353.19M
Investing Cash Flow0-615.00M-83.57M-146.95M-54.02M-48.39M
Financing Cash Flow0-70.34M-519.45M775.57M-287.55M-280.12M

Rococo Co. Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1017.00

Price Trends

50DMA1030.18Negative
100DMA1004.10Positive
200DMA1026.39Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-2.46Negative
RSI50.88Neutral
STOCH58.67Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5868, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1017.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1021.05, below the 50-day MA of 1030.18, and below the 200-day MA of 1026.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5868.

Rococo Co. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:5868 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5868JP:586874OutperformJPY 3.83B27.19―5.41%15.03%-69.84%
JP:5250JP:525069NeutralJPY 4.64B47.99―1.69%10.47%-17.45%
JP:3625JP:362565NeutralJPY 4.79B9.83―1.18%5.28%-2.22%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:2493JP:249355NeutralJPY 4.14B33.80―0.53%8.00%54.47%
JP:2375JP:237552NeutralJPY 3.92B38.62―1.06%0.53%―
JP:2338JP:233840UnderperformJPY 5.27B-1.88――-12.33%-327.26%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%150%JP:5868JP:2338JP:2375JP:2493JP:3625JP:5250Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:5868 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:5868Rococo Co. Ltd.1017.0058.406.09%
JP:2338Quantum Solutions Co.,Ltd.95.00-473.00-83.27%
JP:2375GiG Works, Inc.188.00-30.82-14.09%
JP:2493E-SUPPORTLINK, Ltd.938.0011.971.29%
JP:3625Techfirm Holdings, Inc.680.00-60.19-8.13%
JP:5250Prime Strategy Co., Ltd.1279.00424.5749.69%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 09, 2026