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Toho Zinc Co (5707) AI Stock Analysis

JP:5707

Toho Zinc Co

(TSE/TYO:5707)

Select Model
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:JPY 695.00â–¼(-1.97% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/16/26

The overall score is very low, driven primarily by a fragile financial position and strongly bearish technicals. The company's high debt and declining cash flows present significant risk, while the stock is in a clear downtrend across all timeframes. A superficially low P/E ratio offers a slight counterbalance but is likely a reflection of these underlying risks rather than a genuine opportunity.

Positive Factors
Integrated non-ferrous metals operationsOperating across smelting, refining, processing, and downstream materials gives Toho Zinc a broader position in the non-ferrous value chain. This integration can support product breadth, industrial customer relationships, and more durable participation in zinc, lead, and related materials markets.
Negative Factors
High leverageDebt remains high relative to the company’s small equity base, leaving Toho Zinc financially sensitive if earnings weaken. Elevated leverage can constrain investment and capital allocation flexibility, while increasing the consequences of any downturn in its metal-related operations.

Toho Zinc Co (5707) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%JP:5707+7.42%EWJ+16.91%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 13.89B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
675.23K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
2.2
Beta (1Y)
2.36
Revenue Growth
9.75%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Japan
Employees
663
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Industrial Materials

Toho Zinc Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Toho Zinc Co., Ltd., a diversified Japanese enterprise established in Tokyo in 1937, operates across several key business sectors. These include metal smelting and refining, mineral resource management, advanced electronic components and materials, e...

How the Company Makes Money

Toho Zinc makes money mainly by selling non-ferrous metal products and related materials produced through its smelting, refining, and processing operations. Key revenue streams typically include (1) sales of refined zinc and lead products to manufact...

Toho Zinc Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is weak. While profitability has returned, the income statement shows persistent revenue decline. The balance sheet is highly leveraged (D/E 4.57) and cash flow generation is deteriorating, with FCF covering only a fraction of net income and minimal capacity to service debt.

Income Statement

50Neutral

Balance Sheet

35Negative

Cash Flow

40Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue129.78B125.55B126.27B130.80B145.76B124.28B
Gross Profit12.98B12.62B13.15B8.32B12.26B17.96B
EBITDA8.73B8.25B8.17B2.88B8.44B14.82B
Net Income6.15B4.78B-1.46B-46.45B794.00M7.92B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets107.75B98.93B99.30B108.44B143.00B145.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.82B11.13B20.98B13.41B9.54B7.93B
Total Debt74.81B62.47B73.53B75.85B66.42B66.51B
Total Liabilities89.39B85.26B89.21B105.73B92.47B99.83B
Stockholders Equity18.36B13.67B10.08B2.71B50.52B45.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.60B584.00M1.31B-1.02B7.94B-7.83B
Operating Cash Flow-6.22B1.95B2.90B3.75B11.01B-5.18B
Investing Cash Flow-195.00M-991.00M-370.00M-7.61B-8.13B-8.40B
Financing Cash Flow-262.50M-10.81B5.03B7.69B-1.37B15.57B

Toho Zinc Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price709.00

Price Trends

50DMA941.12Negative
100DMA904.17Negative
200DMA1140.43Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-59.44Positive
RSI27.66Positive
STOCH21.23Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5707, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 709.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 802.00, below the 50-day MA of 941.12, and below the 200-day MA of 1140.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -59.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.66 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5707.

Toho Zinc Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:5707 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3036JP:303676OutperformJPY 91.22B9.03―3.06%17.71%109.91%
JP:5713JP:571376OutperformJPY 2.22T9.1411.97%3.32%21.72%995.36%
JP:5715JP:571575OutperformJPY 115.62B8.059.99%2.54%10.17%-15.24%
JP:5714JP:571472OutperformJPY 472.45B5.9018.49%3.38%29.07%266.58%
JP:5711JP:571167NeutralJPY 567.00B5.7913.21%2.54%6.91%956.99%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
JP:5707JP:570743NeutralJPY 13.89B2.2161.43%―9.75%―

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%200%JP:5707JP:5714JP:5711JP:5713JP:5715JP:3036Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:5707 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:5707Toho Zinc Co., Ltd.709.0035.005.19%
JP:5714Dowa Holdings Co 7896.002486.6145.97%
JP:5711Mitsubishi Materials Corp4253.001375.7147.81%
JP:5713Sumitomo Metal Mining Co 8010.003194.0966.32%
JP:5715Furukawa Co., Ltd.3545.00426.0113.66%
JP:3036ALCONIX Corporation3010.00889.1841.93%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 16, 2026