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Nippon Denko Co., Ltd. (5563) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5563

Nippon Denko Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:5563)

Select Model
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:JPY 390.00â–²(4.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The score is driven primarily by steady financial resilience (conservative leverage and improved 2025 cash generation) but held back by a clear profitability downshift and volatile cash-flow history. Technical signals are notably weak (price below key moving averages with negative MACD), while valuation is mixed—supported by a ~3.33% dividend yield but clouded by a negative P/E.

Positive Factors
Conservative LeverageThe materially lower debt-to-equity ratio gives Nippon Denko greater resilience during steel and materials downcycles. A stronger equity base and reduced debt burden should preserve financial flexibility for operations, investment, and shareholder returns when industry conditions remain difficult.
Negative Factors
Weak Revenue TrendPersistent stagnation and the 2025 revenue decline indicate limited top-line momentum across the company’s steel-related markets. Without renewed volume, pricing, or product growth, the business has less operating leverage and fewer opportunities to offset cost pressure through scale.

Nippon Denko Co., Ltd. (5563) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%JP:5563+21.02%EWJ+10.02%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 49.67B
Dividend Yield
3.33%
Average Volume (3M)
641.89K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-26.2
Beta (1Y)
0.99
Revenue Growth
-2.35%
EPS Growth
-162.14%
Country
Japan
Employees
964
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Steel

Nippon Denko Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nippon Denko Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the ferroalloys, functional materials, incineration ash resource recovery, aqua solutions, and electric power businesses in Japan. The company offers ferroalloys products, including h...

Nippon Denko Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed fundamentals: a strong balance sheet (low and improving leverage) and a meaningful 2025 free-cash-flow rebound offset clearly weaker earnings power versus 2021–2022, with margins and net profitability compressing and cash-flow consistency remaining volatile.

Income Statement

52Neutral

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

66Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue77.96B77.28B78.23B78.39B79.34B65.98B
Gross Profit15.98B12.49B13.61B11.35B15.38B14.36B
EBITDA12.44B8.83B10.10B7.64B11.28B10.56B
Net Income-1.74B1.42B3.14B4.33B7.95B7.77B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets93.61B93.41B104.16B102.54B104.94B95.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.89B6.02B5.95B7.87B8.91B9.78B
Total Debt14.80B13.82B17.07B18.55B21.47B18.00B
Total Liabilities25.18B22.39B30.48B31.10B35.72B31.56B
Stockholders Equity68.42B71.03B73.68B71.44B69.19B64.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow09.74B1.66B3.98B1.74B2.53B
Operating Cash Flow014.57B5.96B8.78B6.28B5.25B
Investing Cash Flow0-5.58B-4.85B-4.67B-4.59B-2.21B
Financing Cash Flow0-8.91B-3.06B-5.24B-2.68B-2.92B

Nippon Denko Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price375.00

Price Trends

50DMA426.24Negative
100DMA432.31Negative
200DMA431.55Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-10.99Positive
RSI27.04Positive
STOCH32.49Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5563, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 375.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 408.55, below the 50-day MA of 426.24, and below the 200-day MA of 431.55, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -10.99 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.04 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5563.

Nippon Denko Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:5563 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5451JP:545184OutperformJPY 213.59B9.0610.70%6.76%-2.46%56.68%
JP:5463JP:546371OutperformJPY 387.36B12.22―3.19%-1.88%20.80%
JP:5471JP:547169NeutralJPY 388.50B9.257.98%3.14%8.38%34.65%
JP:5440JP:544067NeutralJPY 75.36B9.33―5.45%6.83%-31.05%
JP:5482JP:548266NeutralJPY 156.60B14.344.67%3.03%4.27%6.07%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
JP:5563JP:556358NeutralJPY 49.67B-26.19-2.48%3.33%-2.35%-162.14%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%JP:5563JP:5471JP:5451JP:5482JP:5440JP:5463Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:5563 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:5563Nippon Denko Co., Ltd.375.0067.0821.78%
JP:5471Daido Steel Co 1754.00295.8820.29%
JP:5451Yodogawa Steel Works, Ltd.1347.00162.3413.70%
JP:5482Aichi Steel Corporation2390.00-241.16-9.17%
JP:5440Kyoei Steel Ltd.1651.00-511.03-23.64%
JP:5463Maruichi Steel Tube Ltd.1522.00253.9520.03%

Nippon Denko Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Nippon Denko Reports Higher Operating Profit but Nine-Month Loss

Nov 6, 2026

Nippon Denko Co., Ltd. reported consolidated net sales of ¥58.907 billion for the nine months ended September 30, 2026, up 1.8% year on year, while operating profit more than doubled to ¥7.315 billion. However, the company posted ordinary l...

Nippon Denko appoints new CEO to steer 10th Medium-Term Plan

Oct 29, 2026

Nippon Denko has announced a leadership change, appointing Jiro Kobayashi as President and CEO effective January 1, 2027, while current chief Yasushi Aoki will become Director and Special Advisor without representative authority. The move is tied to...

Nippon Denko Boosts Core Earnings but Books Investment Loss, Plans New Mid‑Term Strategy

Aug 12, 2026

Nippon Denko Co., Ltd. operates in the materials and ferroalloys industry, with a focus on domestic businesses that contribute to its core earnings. The company’s operations include investments such as its stake in Pertama Ferroalloys Sdn. Bhd....

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026