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Nippon Denko Co., Ltd. (5563) AI Stock Analysis

JP:5563

Nippon Denko Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:5563)

Select Model
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:JPY 428.00â–²(7.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/06/26

The overall stock score of 58 is anchored by the company's pristine balance sheet and stellar cash flow generation, providing a critical buffer against cyclical industry softness. However, the score is weighed down by shrinking profit margins, a comparatively high valuation multiple, and bearish short-term technical indicators.

Positive Factors
Conservative leverageLeverage reduced to ~0.19 provides durable financial resilience versus cyclical downturns. Lower gross debt and stronger equity cushions increase flexibility to absorb commodity-driven earnings swings, fund needed maintenance capex, and prioritize deleveraging or strategic investments without stressing liquidity.
Negative Factors
Profitability compressionA multi-year decline in net margin reflects structural pressure from weaker selling prices, higher input/energy costs or poorer mix. Such erosion reduces retained earnings and ROE, limits reinvestment capacity, and increases sensitivity to market cycles, making long-term earnings power and dividend sustainability less certain.

Nippon Denko Co., Ltd. (5563) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%JP:5563+23.68%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 50.17B
Dividend Yield
3.12%
Average Volume (3M)
676.72K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-27.9
Beta (1Y)
0.99
Revenue Growth
-2.35%
EPS Growth
-162.14%
Country
Japan
Employees
964
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Steel

Nippon Denko Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nippon Denko Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the ferroalloys, functional materials, incineration ash resource recovery, aqua solutions, and electric power businesses in Japan. The company offers ferroalloys products, including h...

How the Company Makes Money

Nippon Denko primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling ferroalloy products used by steel producers and other industrial customers. Its key revenue stream is the sale of ferromanganese and silicomanganese, where earnings are driven by shipmen...

Nippon Denko Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

A fortress-like balance sheet and robust free cash flow generation help offset a cyclical downturn marked by recent revenue contraction and significantly compressed net profit margins.

Income Statement

42Neutral

Balance Sheet

88Very Positive

Cash Flow

78Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue77.96B77.28B78.23B78.39B79.34B65.98B
Gross Profit15.98B12.49B13.61B11.35B15.38B14.36B
EBITDA12.44B8.83B10.10B7.64B11.28B10.56B
Net Income-1.74B1.42B3.14B4.33B7.95B7.77B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets93.61B93.41B104.16B102.54B104.94B95.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.89B6.02B5.95B7.87B8.91B9.78B
Total Debt14.80B13.82B17.07B18.55B21.47B18.00B
Total Liabilities25.18B22.39B30.48B31.10B35.72B31.56B
Stockholders Equity68.42B71.03B73.68B71.44B69.19B64.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow09.74B1.66B3.98B1.74B2.53B
Operating Cash Flow014.57B5.96B8.78B6.28B5.25B
Investing Cash Flow0-5.58B-4.85B-4.67B-4.59B-2.21B
Financing Cash Flow0-8.91B-3.06B-5.24B-2.68B-2.92B

Nippon Denko Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price400.00

Price Trends

50DMA430.76Negative
100DMA434.68Negative
200DMA430.95Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-8.09Positive
RSI35.92Neutral
STOCH15.67Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5563, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 400.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 417.50, below the 50-day MA of 430.76, and below the 200-day MA of 430.95, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -8.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5563.

Nippon Denko Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:5563 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5451JP:545184OutperformJPY 206.07B10.948.92%6.77%-6.96%30.12%
JP:5471JP:547174OutperformJPY 438.00B11.227.98%2.58%8.38%34.65%
JP:5463JP:546371OutperformJPY 407.63B13.64―2.85%-1.88%20.80%
JP:5482JP:548266NeutralJPY 149.68B13.664.67%3.17%4.27%6.07%
JP:5440JP:544063NeutralJPY 77.66B10.09―5.04%6.83%-31.05%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
JP:5563JP:556358NeutralJPY 50.17B-27.93-2.48%3.12%-2.35%-162.14%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%JP:5563JP:5471JP:5451JP:5482JP:5440JP:5463Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:5563 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:5563Nippon Denko Co., Ltd.400.0073.6822.58%
JP:5471Daido Steel Co 2128.00700.6449.09%
JP:5451Yodogawa Steel Works, Ltd.1344.00121.769.96%
JP:5482Aichi Steel Corporation2338.00-192.26-7.60%
JP:5440Kyoei Steel Ltd.1787.00-420.17-19.04%
JP:5463Maruichi Steel Tube Ltd.1699.00433.8634.29%

Nippon Denko Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Nippon Denko Swings to Loss but Raises 2026 Dividend Forecast

Aug 5, 2026

Nippon Denko Co., Ltd. is a Tokyo Stock Exchange-listed Japanese industrial materials manufacturer operating under Japanese GAAP. The company focuses on ferroalloys and related products for steelmaking and heavy industry, serving domestic and oversea...

Nippon Denko Raises Underlying Profit and Dividend Outlook Despite Affiliate Losses

Aug 5, 2026

Nippon Denko has revised its full-year 2026 consolidated earnings forecast, now projecting net sales of ¥81.1 billion and disclosing operating profit of ¥11 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥500 million. The ordin...

Nippon Denko to Cancel 8.69% of Outstanding Shares in Capital Efficiency Move

Aug 5, 2026

Nippon Denko Co., Ltd., listed on the TSE Prime Market under securities code 5563, operates in Japan’s industrial materials sector and is known for producing ferroalloys and related metallurgical products used by steelmakers and other heavy ind...

Nippon Denko Books Large Equity-Method Loss on Ferroalloy Affiliate

Aug 5, 2026

Nippon Denko Co., Ltd., listed on the TSE Prime Market under securities code 5563, operates in the ferroalloys and related materials industry, supplying key inputs for steelmaking and other heavy industrial applications. The company’s portfolio...

Nippon Denko Completes Restricted Stock Treasury Share Disposal for Executive Compensation

May 25, 2026

Nippon Denko has completed the payment procedures for the disposal of treasury shares used as restricted stock compensation, following a resolution by its Board of Directors on April 27, 2026. The transaction involves 91,800 shares of common stock at...

Nippon Denko Doubles Quarterly Profit and Raises Full-Year Earnings Outlook

May 12, 2026

Nippon Denko reported consolidated net sales of ¥19.4 billion for the three months ended March 31, 2026, essentially flat year on year, while operating profit nearly doubled to ¥2.0 billion and ordinary profit surged to ¥1.1 billion. P...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026