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Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. (5491) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5491

Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:5491)

Select Model
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:JPY 869.00â–²(9.72% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

The score is held back primarily by uneven financial performance and inconsistent cash generation typical of a cyclical steel profile. Partially offsetting that, technical momentum is moderately positive with the price above major moving averages and a positive MACD. Valuation is reasonable on P/E but offers limited dividend support, keeping the overall outlook balanced rather than strongly positive.

Positive Factors
Improving Balance SheetFalling debt alongside improving equity strengthens the company’s financial resilience and reduces balance-sheet pressure. For a cyclical steel producer, this provides greater capacity to absorb weaker conditions and maintain operations than a business with rising leverage.
Negative Factors
Declining RevenueFlat-to-declining revenue indicates that the company is not currently expanding its sales base, limiting operating leverage and growth potential. Persistent top-line weakness could make it harder to offset costs and sustain improved profitability across future reporting periods.

Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. (5491) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%JP:5491+0.38%EWJ+10.02%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 5.11B
Dividend Yield
0.63%
Average Volume (3M)
30.32K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.4
Beta (1Y)
1.02
Revenue Growth
1.74%
EPS Growth
-63.78%
Country
Japan
Employees
787
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Steel

Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Operating globally from its Tokyo, Japan headquarters, Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. specializes in the production and distribution of high-precision rolled and processed stainless steel items. Their extensive range encompasses various steel foils, includ...

How the Company Makes Money

Nippon Kinzoku’s earnings are primarily generated by selling metal materials and related processed products to business customers. Revenue is typically realized when the company manufactures and ships specialty metal products (and, where applicable,...

Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial quality is mixed and cyclical. Income statement trends show flat-to-down revenue and volatile net income (notably weaker in the latest year despite improved operating results). Balance sheet leverage appears manageable with debt trending down and equity improving, but remains meaningful for a cyclical steel business. Cash flow has recovered to positive operating and free cash flow in 2025–2026, yet the prior cash burn highlights inconsistency.

Income Statement

53Neutral

Balance Sheet

58Neutral

Cash Flow

46Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue49.81B49.62B51.30B51.41B52.57B49.12B
Gross Profit6.33B6.07B4.95B4.08B6.27B6.21B
EBITDA3.29B3.01B1.53B729.00M3.07B3.07B
Net Income467.00M213.00M703.00M1.54B916.00M2.52B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets66.44B65.70B69.90B75.08B73.87B72.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.37B9.09B12.01B12.04B8.04B10.13B
Total Debt16.88B17.33B21.51B24.46B24.75B22.69B
Total Liabilities36.95B36.45B42.03B48.22B49.42B48.86B
Stockholders Equity29.49B29.19B27.86B26.86B24.45B23.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0885.00M96.00M-2.91B-6.13B1.82B
Operating Cash Flow02.60B1.21B-203.00M-1.51B4.50B
Investing Cash Flow0-1.37B1.71B4.20B-2.72B-2.75B
Financing Cash Flow0-4.39B-3.19B-502.00M2.02B-399.00M

Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price792.00

Price Trends

50DMA896.90Negative
100DMA890.34Negative
200DMA923.59Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-13.40Positive
RSI35.25Neutral
STOCH22.35Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5491, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 792.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 867.65, below the 50-day MA of 896.90, and below the 200-day MA of 923.59, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -13.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5491.

Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:5491 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5445JP:544575OutperformJPY 48.08B7.03―5.79%-2.19%-34.09%
JP:5632JP:563272OutperformJPY 29.56B8.01―4.94%-1.50%18.33%
JP:5408JP:540866NeutralJPY 35.54B8.20―3.82%-6.05%-30.30%
JP:5440JP:544063NeutralJPY 75.36B9.33―5.45%6.83%-31.05%
JP:5491JP:549158NeutralJPY 5.60B11.36―0.63%1.74%-63.78%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:5449JP:544948NeutralJPY 70.64B-4.04――-16.85%-55241.82%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%JP:5491JP:5408JP:5440JP:5445JP:5449JP:5632Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:5491 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:5491Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd.792.00-7.00-0.88%
JP:5408Nakayama Steel Works,Ltd.498.00-64.78-11.51%
JP:5440Kyoei Steel Ltd.1651.00-511.03-23.64%
JP:5445Tokyo Tekko Co., Ltd.1843.00110.166.36%
JP:5449OSAKA STEEL CO., LTD.2190.00-432.00-16.48%
JP:5632Mitsubishi Steel Mfg.Co., Ltd.1884.00180.5810.60%

Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Nippon Kinzoku Delivers Strong First-Half Profits and Doubles Dividend Forecast

Oct 30, 2026

Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd., a metals manufacturer listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, reported stronger earnings for the six months ended September 30, 2026, underlining its role as a steady player in the industrial materials market. The company’...

Nippon Kinzoku Posts Profit Surge and Confirms Stable Dividend Outlook

Aug 7, 2026

Nippon Kinzoku reported a modest 1.5% rise in net sales to ¥12.8 billion for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, but delivered a sharp recovery in profitability, with operating profit up 183.9% to ¥434 million and profit attributable to owners...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026