OSAKA STEEL CO., LTD. (5449) AI Stock Analysis

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OSAKA STEEL CO., LTD.

(TSE/TYO:5449)

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Rating:45Neutral

Price Target:JPY 2,302.00▲(1.45% Upside)

Action:reiterated

Date:11/06/26

The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance (recent net loss on lower revenue) and inconsistent cash flow with frequently negative free cash flow. Technicals also point to a downtrend and weak momentum (price below key moving averages and negative MACD). Valuation provides limited support because the negative P/E reflects losses and dividend yield data is unavailable.

Positive Factors

Conservative leverageConservative leverage gives Osaka Steel greater financial flexibility during a cyclical steel downturn. Lower debt exposure can reduce interest burden and refinancing pressure, while preserving capacity to maintain operations and fund necessary investment when profitability is under strain.

Negative Factors

Sharp revenue and earnings deteriorationThe latest annual downturn materially weakens near-term earnings power, with lower sales accompanied by a substantial net loss. Reversing this deterioration is important because weaker revenue reduces operating leverage and limits internally generated funds for investment and resilience.

OSAKA STEEL CO., LTD. (5449) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Market Cap: JPY 67.88B
Dividend Yield: ―
Average Volume (3M): 28.23K
Price to Earnings (P/E): -4.2
Beta (1Y): 0.52
Revenue Growth: -16.85%
EPS Growth: -55241.82%
Country: Japan
Employees: 1,074
Sector: General
Sector Strength: 55
Industry: Steel

OSAKA STEEL CO., LTD. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Osaka Steel Co., Ltd. manufactures and supplies a diverse array of steel products throughout Japan, catering to the construction, industrial, and civil engineering sectors. Its extensive product portfolio encompasses structural steel shapes like equa...

OSAKA STEEL CO., LTD. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Fundamentals are weakened by a sharp latest-year downturn: revenue fell ~14% and the company swung to a net loss (about -22% net margin) after several years of thin profitability. Balance sheet leverage remains conservative (debt-to-equity ~0.15 in 2026), which helps limit financial risk, but cash generation is inconsistent with frequently negative free cash flow and uneven cash conversion.

Income Statement

38Negative

Balance Sheet

70Positive

Cash Flow

41Neutral

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2026	Mar 2026	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue	105.12B	116.42B	95.10B	117.13B	117.14B	104.45B
Gross Profit	10.64B	12.98B	7.62B	14.01B	12.43B	10.20B
EBITDA	7.50B	10.03B	4.32B	11.34B	10.10B	7.91B
Net Income	519.00M	3.23B	-21.05B	3.12B	2.90B	2.57B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	170.33B	203.49B	153.80B	204.74B	213.24B	208.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	19.12B	44.14B	19.70B	43.11B	63.48B	62.40B
Total Debt	14.87B	18.31B	16.50B	16.66B	29.67B	26.18B
Total Liabilities	37.47B	45.27B	40.30B	50.34B	60.14B	57.26B
Stockholders Equity	130.66B	155.99B	111.30B	152.19B	150.98B	148.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0	154.00M	-1.90B	-4.28B	1.32B	-1.63B
Operating Cash Flow	0	7.61B	8.80B	-1.07B	5.09B	2.93B
Investing Cash Flow	0	-5.88B	-8.60B	-2.92B	-3.76B	-4.33B
Financing Cash Flow	0	-1.47B	-24.30B	-16.63B	-749.00M	821.00M

OSAKA STEEL CO., LTD. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative

Last Price2269.00

Price Trends

50DMA2451.54Negative

100DMA2509.02Negative

200DMA2558.08Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-55.15Positive

RSI42.02Neutral

STOCH25.35Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5449, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2269.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2338.40, below the 50-day MA of 2451.54, and below the 200-day MA of 2558.08, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -55.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5449.

OSAKA STEEL CO., LTD. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:5449 against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JP:5451	84Outperform	JPY 215.12B	9.44	10.70%	6.49%	-2.46%	56.68%
JP:5463	71Outperform	JPY 398.27B	12.66	―	3.10%	4.20%	2.18%
JP:5440	67Neutral	JPY 74.75B	9.72	―	5.23%	6.83%	-31.05%
JP:5482	62Neutral	JPY 164.28B	15.00	4.67%	5.88%	4.27%	6.00%
JP:5423	60Neutral	JPY 194.17B	19.40	4.29%	2.53%	-0.62%	-39.63%
Sector *	55Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
JP:5449	45Neutral	JPY 67.89B	-4.19	―	―	-16.85%	-55241.82%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

JP:5449 and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
JP:5449	OSAKA STEEL CO., LTD.	2269.00	-359.00	-13.66%
JP:5423	Tokyo Steel Manufacturing Co	1778.00	400.83	29.10%
JP:5451	Yodogawa Steel Works, Ltd.	1403.00	218.34	18.43%
JP:5482	Aichi Steel Corporation	2566.00	-105.14	-3.94%
JP:5440	Kyoei Steel Ltd.	1720.00	-462.20	-21.18%
JP:5463	Maruichi Steel Tube Ltd.	1660.00	344.91	26.23%

OSAKA STEEL CO., LTD. Corporate Events

Osaka Steel Reports Wider First-Half Losses on Lower Sales

Nov 4, 2026

Osaka Steel Co., Ltd. is a Japanese steelmaker producing long steel products for construction and infrastructure markets, with listings on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Standard Market and the Fukuoka Stock Exchange. In the first half of fiscal 2026, net...

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2026

OSAKA STEEL CO., LTD. AI Stock Analysis