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Kyoei Steel Ltd. (5440) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5440

Kyoei Steel Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:5440)

Select Model
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,717.00â–²(1.42% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

Overall score reflects mixed fundamentals with a key risk from weakening cash generation (notably lower 2026 free cash flow) and a very bearish technical backdrop (below major moving averages with oversold momentum). These are partly offset by attractive valuation and income characteristics (low P/E and high dividend yield).

Positive Factors
Stable Operating ProfitabilityMaintaining a positive EBIT margin near 5–6% across three years indicates that Kyoei Steel’s core steel operations retain earnings capacity despite industry cyclicality. This provides a durable base for funding operations and suggests pricing and cost management have remained reasonably effective.
Negative Factors
Weakening Revenue and Earnings TrendAfter strong growth in 2022 and 2023, revenue declined in 2024 and remained flat to down through 2026, while earnings softened after peaking in 2024. This weaker trajectory may limit operating leverage and reduce the company’s ability to expand profits without renewed demand.

Kyoei Steel Ltd. (5440) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:5440-22.89%EWJ+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 74.23B
Dividend Yield
5.32%
Average Volume (3M)
139.51K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
9.6
Beta (1Y)
0.75
Revenue Growth
6.83%
EPS Growth
-31.05%
Country
Japan
Employees
4,068
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Steel

Kyoei Steel Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Headquartered in Osaka, Japan, and established in 1947, Kyoei Steel Ltd. is a diversified enterprise specializing in the production, distribution, and logistical support of steel products for the civil engineering and construction sectors. Its extens...

How the Company Makes Money

Kyoei Steel makes money mainly by manufacturing and selling steel products produced via EAF steelmaking, where ferrous scrap is melted and refined into finished and semi-finished steel. The company’s largest revenue stream is the sale of construction...

Kyoei Steel Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Fundamentals are mixed: profitability is solid for a cyclical steel company (EBIT margin ~5–6% recently) and leverage is improving (debt-to-equity down to ~0.45), but earnings appear to have peaked in 2024 and softened since, and free cash flow dropped sharply in 2026 (~¥25.9B to ~¥6.8B), reducing flexibility.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

70Positive

Cash Flow

54Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue328.07B315.11B322.85B320.98B355.71B292.72B
Gross Profit39.20B39.98B38.33B41.97B34.27B25.90B
EBITDA24.45B25.52B27.71B28.87B26.09B20.36B
Net Income9.08B9.86B10.79B13.83B13.11B6.32B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets368.72B373.13B352.83B354.22B337.71B314.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments55.69B68.95B64.50B57.64B57.75B52.34B
Total Debt85.68B94.63B84.95B94.01B100.90B95.58B
Total Liabilities149.44B154.32B143.67B152.79B147.54B138.51B
Stockholders Equity211.33B211.66B202.99B194.64B179.69B162.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow06.79B25.85B13.46B12.13B-25.57B
Operating Cash Flow024.73B39.41B24.29B19.26B-13.70B
Investing Cash Flow0-15.43B-9.88B-17.05B-6.14B6.93B
Financing Cash Flow0-1.30B-18.22B-14.17B-9.02B7.34B

Kyoei Steel Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1693.00

Price Trends

50DMA1920.23Negative
100DMA1869.01Negative
200DMA2043.51Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-55.58Positive
RSI24.32Positive
STOCH10.34Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5440, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1693.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1848.15, below the 50-day MA of 1920.23, and below the 200-day MA of 2043.51, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -55.58 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 24.32 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.34 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5440.

Kyoei Steel Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:5440 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5445JP:544579OutperformJPY 47.98B7.22―5.63%-2.19%-34.09%
JP:5410JP:541063NeutralJPY 35.34B9.38―4.97%-1.00%-66.17%
JP:5423JP:542360NeutralJPY 188.49B18.894.29%2.61%-0.62%-39.61%
JP:5440JP:544058NeutralJPY 73.58B9.57―5.32%6.83%-31.05%
JP:5408JP:540858NeutralJPY 34.46B8.43―3.71%-6.05%-30.30%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:5449JP:544948NeutralJPY 67.92B-4.20――-16.85%-55241.82%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%JP:5440JP:5423JP:5408JP:5410JP:5445JP:5449Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:5440 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:5440Kyoei Steel Ltd.1693.00-497.84-22.72%
JP:5423Tokyo Steel Manufacturing Co 1726.00349.8025.42%
JP:5408Nakayama Steel Works,Ltd.512.00-50.78-9.02%
JP:5410Godo Steel,Ltd.2416.00-1118.09-31.64%
JP:5445Tokyo Tekko Co., Ltd.1895.00127.317.20%
JP:5449OSAKA STEEL CO., LTD.2270.00-420.00-15.61%

Kyoei Steel Ltd. Corporate Events

Kyoei Steel Slashes Profit Outlook on Soft Domestic Demand and U.S. Losses

Oct 30, 2026

Kyoei Steel has revised its full-year consolidated forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, keeping net sales unchanged at ¥362 billion but sharply cutting profit projections. Operating profit is now expected at ¥9.5 billion, ordinary prof...

Kyoei Steel’s Profit Slumps Despite Higher Sales in Second Quarter

Oct 30, 2026

Kyoei Steel reported second-quarter fiscal 2027 consolidated net sales of ¥177.7 billion, up 14.9% year on year, but operating profit fell 33.6% to ¥6.1 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent dropped 40.0% to ¥3.3 billion, reflecting mar...

Kyoei Steel Posts Strong Sales but Lower Profits and Trims Dividend Outlook

Aug 10, 2026

Kyoei Steel Ltd., a Tokyo-listed Japanese steel producer, reported consolidated first-quarter net sales of ¥87.1 billion, up 17.5% year on year, while operating profit fell 20.9% and profit attributable to owners of the parent dropped 28.8%. Despite...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026