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Arakawa Chemical Industries,Ltd. (4968) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4968

Arakawa Chemical Industries,Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:4968)

Select Model
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,758.00â–¼(-10.72% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/10/26

Overall score is held back primarily by middling financial strength driven by weak and volatile cash-flow conversion, and by bearish technical momentum with the stock trading well below key moving averages. These are partially offset by a reasonable valuation (P/E ~12) and a supportive dividend yield (~2.88%).

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthPositive revenue growth indicates ongoing demand for the company’s specialty chemical materials across industrial applications. If sustained, this expansion can improve operating leverage, support reinvestment in products and capacity, and strengthen the company’s position with packaging, printing, paper, and other customers.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash ConversionCash generation remains weaker than accounting earnings, limiting the company’s ability to fund investment, dividends, or debt reduction internally. The low conversion rate means working-capital and execution demands could continue to make reported profitability less dependable over the next several quarters.

Arakawa Chemical Industries,Ltd. (4968) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%JP:4968+83.98%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 38.63B
Dividend Yield
2.51%
Average Volume (3M)
223.15K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.6
Beta (1Y)
1.50
Revenue Growth
8.68%
EPS Growth
110.21%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,684
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Chemicals - Specialty

Arakawa Chemical Industries,Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Arakawa Chemical Industries, Ltd. is a global chemical producer with operations across Asia, China, Europe, and the United States. The company specializes in the development and sale of diverse chemical products, including performance coatings, mater...

Arakawa Chemical Industries,Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are recovering, with profitability rebounding in 2025–2026 and improved margins, but results remain volatile and net profitability is still thin (TTM net margin ~2.7%). Leverage is manageable (debt-to-equity ~0.65) but returns are modest (TTM ROE ~3.7%). Cash flow quality is the main weak spot given weak conversion and historical volatility, despite recent improvement.

Income Statement

66Positive

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

48Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue84.52B82.14B80.24B72.22B79.43B80.52B
Gross Profit18.67B17.05B16.09B11.68B11.57B17.97B
EBITDA9.22B8.09B9.00B4.76B49.00M6.29B
Net Income2.96B2.20B2.64B-1.04B-4.94B1.50B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets128.49B126.06B122.30B125.42B119.03B117.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.97B10.60B9.43B11.58B11.14B10.37B
Total Debt39.93B40.62B39.41B42.42B35.16B26.87B
Total Liabilities67.08B66.82B65.06B68.50B62.52B55.16B
Stockholders Equity64.94B62.36B58.47B56.13B54.08B59.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.20B496.00M712.00M-5.70B-6.69B-2.43B
Operating Cash Flow5.51B4.18B5.12B1.16B-575.00M3.99B
Investing Cash Flow-2.68B-2.10B-3.24B-7.14B-6.05B-7.40B
Financing Cash Flow-2.68B-286.00M-4.70B5.48B6.67B4.93B

Arakawa Chemical Industries,Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price1969.00

Price Trends

50DMA2170.66Negative
100DMA2149.51Negative
200DMA1748.79Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-109.61Positive
RSI45.43Neutral
STOCH41.78Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4968, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1969.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2067.65, below the 50-day MA of 2170.66, and above the 200-day MA of 1748.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -109.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4968.

Arakawa Chemical Industries,Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:4968 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4064JP:406479OutperformJPY 36.62B13.74―2.80%4.34%-1.04%
JP:4362JP:436277OutperformJPY 55.67B11.84―4.09%-4.92%2.95%
JP:4092JP:409274OutperformJPY 41.19B16.55―3.64%2.17%4.31%
JP:4229JP:422968NeutralJPY 28.40B13.00―2.26%7.06%17.79%
JP:4973JP:497364NeutralJPY 22.67B12.71―6.12%62.23%35.18%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:4968JP:496855NeutralJPY 36.90B10.62―2.51%8.68%110.21%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%JP:4968JP:4064JP:4092JP:4229JP:4362JP:4973Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4968 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4968Arakawa Chemical Industries,Ltd.1969.00903.6584.82%
JP:4064Nippon Carbide Industries Company,Incorporated4220.001961.7686.87%
JP:4092Nippon Chemical Industrial Co., Ltd.4940.002428.4396.69%
JP:4229Gun Ei Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.4350.00995.1229.66%
JP:4362Nippon Fine Chemical Co., Ltd.2516.00-85.30-3.28%
JP:4973Japan Pure Chemical Co., Ltd.4120.001119.9837.33%

Arakawa Chemical Industries,Ltd. Corporate Events

Arakawa Chemical Approves ¥503.4 Million Employee Share Grant

Nov 5, 2026

Arakawa Chemical Industries announced a board resolution to dispose of 256,000 treasury shares through a third-party allotment to The Master Trust Bank of Japan’s Stock Grant ESOP Trust Account. The transaction is valued at ¥503.4 million, based on a...

Arakawa Chemical Introduces Performance-Linked Employee Stock Plan

Nov 5, 2026

Arakawa Chemical Industries, Ltd. resolved to introduce a performance-linked stock grant plan covering regular employees of the company and its domestic subsidiaries. The plan ties annual points to operating profit, major accident prevention and capi...

Arakawa Chemical Records ¥1.335 Billion Extraordinary Loss

Nov 5, 2026

Arakawa Chemical Industries is a listed chemical manufacturer; the release does not specify its primary products or market focus.The company will record a ¥1.335 billion provision for doubtful accounts related to loans to consolidated subsidiary Chib...

Arakawa Chemical Reports Strong FY2026 Second-Quarter Growth

Nov 5, 2026

Arakawa Chemical Industries reported consolidated net sales of ¥46.562 billion for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, up 15.3% from a year earlier. Operating income rose 168.1% to ¥2.490 billion, ordinary income increased 254.1% to ¥2.262 billion, an...

Arakawa Chemical Reports Strong First-Half Earnings Growth

Nov 5, 2026

Arakawa Chemical Industries reported strong consolidated results for the six months ended September 30, 2026, with net sales rising 15.3% year on year to ¥46.56 billion. Operating profit increased 168.1% to ¥2.49 billion, ordinary profit surged 254.1...

Arakawa Chemical Lifts Earnings and Dividend Forecasts on AI-Driven Demand

Oct 30, 2026

Arakawa Chemical Industries, Ltd., a Tokyo Prime Market-listed specialty chemical producer, is seeing robust demand for photo-curable resins and polishing agents used in hard disk substrates. Its products feed into semiconductor, generative AI, and d...

Arakawa Chemical Books Subsidy-Linked Extraordinary Items as It Expands Semiconductor Materials Capacity

Sep 14, 2026

Arakawa Chemical Industries will record extraordinary income of ¥934 million and an extraordinary loss of ¥775 million in the second quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, stemming from a Japanese government subsidy under METI’s Program fo...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 10, 2026