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Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated (JP:4890)
:4890
Japanese Market
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Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated (4890) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4890

Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated

(4890)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
¥290.00
▼(-14.71% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/25/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance, driven by the 2026 revenue collapse, large losses, and sustained cash burn despite a low-debt balance sheet. Technicals provide only modest support with improving short-term signals but a still-negative long-term trend. Valuation is also pressured because the company is currently loss-making and offers no stated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative Capital Structure
Low leverage and substantial equity provide a meaningful financial cushion while operations fluctuate. This structure reduces dependence on debt financing, limits interest-related pressure, and preserves flexibility to stabilize the business or fund ophthalmology-related development.
Negative Factors
Severe Revenue Contraction
An 85.3% revenue collapse materially weakens the company’s commercial base and makes near-term earnings recovery dependent on rebuilding demand or commercialization. Such a sharp contraction also reduces the ability to absorb fixed costs and undermines the visibility of future operating scale.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative Capital Structure
Low leverage and substantial equity provide a meaningful financial cushion while operations fluctuate. This structure reduces dependence on debt financing, limits interest-related pressure, and preserves flexibility to stabilize the business or fund ophthalmology-related development.
Read all positive factors

Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated (4890) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Operating from Tokyo, Japan since its establishment in 2012, Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated is dedicated to the research and development of pharmaceutical products and medical devices, specifically targeting the treatment of myopia, dry eyes, and...
How the Company Makes Money
The company primarily makes money by commercializing ophthalmology-related offerings, which typically includes monetization from product and/or service sales tied to eye-care solutions and potentially revenues associated with research and developm...

Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are dominated by a sharp 2026 deterioration: revenue fell 85.3% year over year and profitability turned deeply negative (net margin -381%), alongside persistent negative operating cash flow in 2024–2026. The main offset is a conservatively financed balance sheet with low leverage and substantial equity, but earnings and cash-flow instability materially weaken the overall financial profile.
Income Statement
27
Negative
Balance Sheet
73
Positive
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue390.58M200.02M1.36B673.53M954.69M640.92M
Gross Profit148.27M131.57M1.15B-9.48M686.83M528.76M
EBITDA-720.42M-765.24M262.46M-609.24M206.22M173.87M
Net Income-693.63M-761.82M205.77M-641.32M90.18M153.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.31B1.32B2.50B2.30B2.67B1.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments699.26M969.85M1.54B1.88B2.16B1.17B
Total Debt63.64M69.21M90.38M116.90M139.34M223.82M
Total Liabilities578.57M454.92M915.85M927.93M722.59M873.44M
Stockholders Equity733.83M863.86M1.59B1.37B1.95B744.35M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-586.61M-331.75M-313.35M-15.27M582.69M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-577.83M-317.75M-301.35M28.49M654.91M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-8.41M-14.55M-12.00M-54.03M-72.23M
Financing Cash Flow0.0017.23M-12.25M35.74M1.01B-18.53M

Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price340.00
Price Trends
50DMA
259.00
Positive
100DMA
261.47
Positive
200DMA
295.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
11.69
Negative
RSI
62.07
Neutral
STOCH
80.93
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4890, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 340 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 284.75, above the 50-day MA of 259.00, and above the 200-day MA of 295.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 11.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.93 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4890.

Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
¥435.66B13.8511.15%3.53%4.32%0.18%
69
Neutral
¥543.27B16.881.23%8.72%3.45%
64
Neutral
¥1.04T18.027.67%2.04%
62
Neutral
¥516.88B15.7010.75%1.91%12.20%-25.42%
54
Neutral
¥403.30B23.800.36%13.04%-0.05%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
¥7.87B-11.26-71.21%-485.42%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4890
Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated
286.00
-72.00
-20.11%
JP:9989
Sundrug Co
3,731.00
-763.53
-16.99%
JP:7649
Sugi Holdings Co
1,323.00
-594.35
-31.00%
JP:3391
TSURUHA Holdings
2,341.00
-166.38
-6.64%
JP:3349
COSMOS Pharmaceutical Corporation
6,818.00
-2,092.43
-23.48%
JP:3549
KUSURI NO AOKI HOLDINGS CO.,LTD.
4,132.00
176.11
4.45%

Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated Corporate Events

Tsubota Laboratory Narrows Quarterly Loss as Revenue Surges and Eyes Full-Year Profit
Aug 13, 2026
Tsubota Laboratory reported a sharp increase in first-quarter revenue to ¥215 million, up more than eightfold year on year, while still posting a net loss of ¥134 million, which narrowed from the prior-year period. The company’s eq...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 25, 2026