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Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. (4848) AI Stock Analysis

JP:4848

Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:4848)

Select Model
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,947.00â–²(5.02% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/06/26

The stock receives a moderate overall score of 60. Attractive valuation and positive technical indicators are offset by concerns over declining profitability and weak cash flow generation. The strong balance sheet provides some support. Investors should monitor cash flow recovery and margin trends.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthThe return to meaningful revenue growth indicates renewed demand for Fullcast’s staffing and workforce solutions after a stagnant prior year. Continued top-line expansion would improve operating scale, support reinvestment, and reinforce the company’s ability to serve variable labor needs across industries.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash GenerationThe sharp reduction in operating and free cash flow means reported earnings are currently translating into substantially less liquidity. Persistently weaker cash generation could constrain investment, distributions, and debt repayment, making execution and financial management more important over the coming quarters.

Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. (4848) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:4848+13.67%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 64.55B
Dividend Yield
3.45%
Average Volume (3M)
76.49K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.8
Beta (1Y)
0.45
Revenue Growth
32.94%
EPS Growth
-2.29%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,515
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Staffing & Employment Services

Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in Tokyo, Japan, in 1990, Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. delivers a diverse range of human resource and business solutions throughout the country. The company's operations are structured into three main divisions: Short-Term Operational Supp...

How the Company Makes Money

Fullcast Holdings makes money mainly by providing staffing services and charging clients for labor supplied. In a typical staffing model, the company recruits and registers workers, matches them to client requests, and then bills client companies bas...

Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth solid (12% CAGR), but profitability declined for three years, net margin fell to 6.2% in FY2025. Balance sheet robust with moderate debt (D/E 0.40). Cash flow deteriorated sharply in FY2025 (operating cash flow ¥1.36B, free cash flow ¥0.84B), raising concerns. Mixed financial profile with caution.

Income Statement

48Neutral

Balance Sheet

68Positive

Cash Flow

25Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue92.56B77.23B68.56B68.97B64.64B52.37B
Gross Profit29.39B25.28B24.52B23.01B21.46B18.03B
EBITDA9.22B9.12B9.60B9.83B10.32B8.06B
Net Income4.67B4.78B5.49B5.89B6.62B5.01B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets68.55B58.21B41.52B39.09B35.60B29.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.35B21.09B17.53B14.47B20.63B17.41B
Total Debt16.58B12.22B1.00B1.01B1.00B1.00B
Total Liabilities34.34B25.55B12.65B12.31B10.68B8.91B
Stockholders Equity32.34B30.86B28.87B25.60B23.88B19.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.26B844.00M5.08B4.86B6.51B6.19B
Operating Cash Flow2.54B1.36B5.76B5.16B6.80B6.37B
Investing Cash Flow370.00M-6.04B175.00M-6.37B-958.00M-99.00M
Financing Cash Flow709.50M6.16B-2.87B-4.95B-2.62B-2.17B

Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1854.00

Price Trends

50DMA1848.06Positive
100DMA1728.03Positive
200DMA1670.85Positive

Market Momentum

MACD4.00Positive
RSI52.25Neutral
STOCH25.01Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4848, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1854.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1833.80, above the 50-day MA of 1848.06, and above the 200-day MA of 1670.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4848.

Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

JP:4848 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:2124JP:212485OutperformJPY 180.33B19.29―5.02%12.35%28.70%
JP:6098JP:609882OutperformJPY 26.61T46.6236.23%0.13%9.31%43.87%
JP:2181JP:218176OutperformJPY 661.69B14.6020.63%4.29%9.70%30.96%
JP:2146JP:214674OutperformJPY 147.91B17.71―5.40%-12.99%45.36%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
JP:4848JP:484860NeutralJPY 64.63B13.84―3.45%32.94%-2.29%
JP:2168JP:216844NeutralJPY 54.32B-23.64-1.80%1.04%0.31%70.47%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%JP:4848JP:2168JP:6098JP:2181JP:2124JP:2146Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:4848 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4848Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd.1854.00228.6914.07%
JP:2168Pasona Group 1443.00-383.58-21.00%
JP:6098Recruit Holdings Co 19200.0011512.86149.77%
JP:2181PERSOL HOLDINGS CO 291.2047.4719.48%
JP:2124JAC Recruitment Co., Ltd.1096.00135.1214.06%
JP:2146UT Group Co.,Ltd.242.0070.5341.13%

Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Fullcast Seals Capital Alliance with Seyfert to Build Beauty Industry HR Platform

Oct 27, 2026

Fullcast Holdings has agreed a capital and business alliance with Seyfert LTD., acquiring 85,000 new shares via third-party allotment to bring its stake to 7.15 percent. The partnership targets the beauty industry’s shifting employment landscap...

Fullcast Holdings Completes ¥500 Million Share Buyback Program

Sep 24, 2026

Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. has completed a share buyback program authorized by its board on August 7, 2026, acquiring a total of 269,600 ordinary shares for approximately ¥499.9 million. The latest tranche, executed via market purchases on the...

Fullcast Advances Share Buyback Under ¥500 Million Authorization

Sep 1, 2026

Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. has reported progress on its ongoing share buyback program authorized by its board on August 7, 2026, under provisions of the Companies Act. The company is purchasing its own ordinary shares on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, a...

Fullcast Unveils First-Half FY2026 Results and Interim Shareholder Returns Plan

Aug 7, 2026

Fullcast Holdings released its consolidated business results for the first half of the fiscal year ending December 2026, covering the period from January to June 2026. The disclosure outlines group-wide performance trends, segment highlights, and the...

Fullcast Launches ¥500 Million Share Buyback to Lift Shareholder Returns

Aug 7, 2026

Fullcast Holdings has approved a share buyback of up to 422,000 ordinary shares, representing about 1.21% of its outstanding stock, with a maximum acquisition cost of ¥500 million to be executed between August 10 and September 17, 2026. The move...

Fullcast Holdings Raises Interim Dividend, Confirms Higher Full-Year Payout Plan

Aug 7, 2026

Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. has approved an interim dividend of 32 yen per share for shareholders of record as of June 30, 2026, matching its previously announced dividend forecast. The total payout will be approximately 1,114 million yen, slightly h...

Fullcast Holdings Posts Strong Sales Growth but Softer Profits in First Half

Aug 7, 2026

Fullcast Holdings reported a sharp 44% year-on-year jump in first-half net sales to ¥50.1 billion, driven in part by the consolidation of three newly added subsidiaries, while operating profit slipped 1.4% to ¥4.15 billion and profit attrib...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026