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Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. (4848) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4848

Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:4848)

Select Model
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,832.00â–¼(-1.03% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The overall score of 52 reflects a cautious outlook. The most significant factor is the deteriorating financial performance, specifically the sharp decline in cash flow and compressing margins, which introduces liquidity risk despite a solid balance sheet. The technical picture is neutral, and the valuation is reasonable with an attractive dividend yield, but these do not fully offset the fundamental concerns.

Positive Factors
Revenue RecoveryRevenue growth returning after a flat 2024 indicates demand resilience and renewed client activity. If maintained, a larger staffing revenue base can support operating scale and help offset pressure from the company’s recent margin decline over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Margin CompressionThe decline in both net and operating margins shows that 2025 revenue growth did not translate proportionally into profit. Persistent margin pressure could reduce earnings scalability, limit reinvestment capacity, and make results more sensitive to staffing costs and pricing discipline.

Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. (4848) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:4848+14.84%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 64.71B
Dividend Yield
3.46%
Average Volume (3M)
73.92K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.9
Beta (1Y)
0.45
Revenue Growth
39.98%
EPS Growth
-13.97%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,515
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Staffing & Employment Services

Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in Tokyo, Japan, in 1990, Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. delivers a diverse range of human resource and business solutions throughout the country. The company's operations are structured into three main divisions: Short-Term Operational Supp...

How the Company Makes Money

Fullcast Holdings makes money mainly by providing staffing services and charging clients for labor supplied. In a typical staffing model, the company recruits and registers workers, matches them to client requests, and then bills client companies bas...

Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed financial profile. Revenue growth is solid (12% CAGR), but profitability is declining with net margins compressing to 6.2%. Cash flow deteriorated sharply in FY2025, with operating cash flow plunging to ¥1.36B and a coverage ratio of 0.06, raising liquidity concerns. The balance sheet is a relative strength with moderate leverage (D/E 0.40), but the income and cash flow trends warrant caution.

Income Statement

48Neutral

Balance Sheet

68Positive

Cash Flow

25Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue100.11B77.23B68.56B68.97B64.64B52.37B
Gross Profit32.42B25.28B24.52B23.01B21.46B18.03B
EBITDA9.36B9.12B9.60B9.83B10.32B8.06B
Net Income4.64B4.78B5.49B5.89B6.62B5.01B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets67.15B58.21B41.52B39.09B35.60B29.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.26B21.09B17.53B14.47B20.63B17.41B
Total Debt19.78B12.22B1.00B1.01B1.00B1.00B
Total Liabilities33.07B25.55B12.65B12.31B10.68B8.91B
Stockholders Equity32.10B30.86B28.87B25.60B23.88B19.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.26B844.00M5.08B4.86B6.51B6.19B
Operating Cash Flow2.54B1.36B5.76B5.16B6.80B6.37B
Investing Cash Flow370.00M-6.04B175.00M-6.37B-958.00M-99.00M
Financing Cash Flow709.50M6.16B-2.87B-4.95B-2.62B-2.17B

Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1851.00

Price Trends

50DMA1842.90Negative
100DMA1754.45Positive
200DMA1677.80Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-2.84Positive
RSI48.71Neutral
STOCH23.80Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4848, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1851.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1851.50, above the 50-day MA of 1842.90, and above the 200-day MA of 1677.80, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4848.

Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

JP:4848 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:2124JP:212490OutperformJPY 188.23B20.47―4.73%11.62%9.03%
JP:2181JP:218180OutperformJPY 655.56B15.0719.59%4.25%10.70%11.53%
JP:6098JP:609874OutperformJPY 23.17T37.1939.14%0.15%13.83%57.86%
JP:2146JP:214668NeutralJPY 140.58B16.84―5.68%-10.48%36.39%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
JP:4848JP:484852NeutralJPY 63.80B13.90―3.46%39.98%-13.97%
JP:2168JP:216844NeutralJPY 56.47B-24.74-1.80%1.00%0.31%70.47%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%JP:4848JP:2168JP:6098JP:2181JP:2124JP:2146Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4848 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4848Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd.1851.00209.3612.75%
JP:2168Pasona Group 1510.00-285.92-15.92%
JP:6098Recruit Holdings Co 17560.009599.60120.59%
JP:2181PERSOL HOLDINGS CO 294.4033.1512.69%
JP:2124JAC Recruitment Co., Ltd.1163.00149.1614.71%
JP:2146UT Group Co.,Ltd.230.0062.6537.43%

Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Fullcast Holdings Reports Strong Revenue Growth Amid Profit Pressure

Nov 6, 2026

Fullcast Holdings reported consolidated results for the first three quarters ended September 30, 2026, with net sales rising 42.7% year on year to ¥76.364 billion. Operating profit increased 1.1% to ¥6.190 billion, while ordinary profit declined 1.0%...

Fullcast Holdings Announces First-Three-Quarter Business Results

Nov 6, 2026

Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. announced its consolidated business results for the first three quarters of the fiscal year ending December 2026, covering January through September 2026. The release outlines consolidated business highlights, segment perf...

Fullcast Seals Capital Alliance with Seyfert to Build Beauty Industry HR Platform

Oct 27, 2026

Fullcast Holdings has agreed a capital and business alliance with Seyfert LTD., acquiring 85,000 new shares via third-party allotment to bring its stake to 7.15 percent. The partnership targets the beauty industry’s shifting employment landscape, com...

Fullcast Holdings Completes ¥500 Million Share Buyback Program

Sep 24, 2026

Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. has completed a share buyback program authorized by its board on August 7, 2026, acquiring a total of 269,600 ordinary shares for approximately ¥499.9 million. The latest tranche, executed via market purchases on the Tokyo...

Fullcast Advances Share Buyback Under ¥500 Million Authorization

Sep 1, 2026

Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. has reported progress on its ongoing share buyback program authorized by its board on August 7, 2026, under provisions of the Companies Act. The company is purchasing its own ordinary shares on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, a...

Fullcast Unveils First-Half FY2026 Results and Interim Shareholder Returns Plan

Aug 7, 2026

Fullcast Holdings released its consolidated business results for the first half of the fiscal year ending December 2026, covering the period from January to June 2026. The disclosure outlines group-wide performance trends, segment highlights, and the...

Fullcast Launches ¥500 Million Share Buyback to Lift Shareholder Returns

Aug 7, 2026

Fullcast Holdings has approved a share buyback of up to 422,000 ordinary shares, representing about 1.21% of its outstanding stock, with a maximum acquisition cost of ¥500 million to be executed between August 10 and September 17, 2026. The move, alo...

Fullcast Holdings Raises Interim Dividend, Confirms Higher Full-Year Payout Plan

Aug 7, 2026

Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. has approved an interim dividend of 32 yen per share for shareholders of record as of June 30, 2026, matching its previously announced dividend forecast. The total payout will be approximately 1,114 million yen, slightly h...

Fullcast Holdings Posts Strong Sales Growth but Softer Profits in First Half

Aug 7, 2026

Fullcast Holdings reported a sharp 44% year-on-year jump in first-half net sales to ¥50.1 billion, driven in part by the consolidation of three newly added subsidiaries, while operating profit slipped 1.4% to ¥4.15 billion and profit attributable to...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026