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Tosnet Corporation (4754) AI Stock Analysis

JP:4754

Tosnet Corporation

(TSE/TYO:4754)

Select Model
Rating:84Outperform
Price Target:JPY 1,802.00â–²(19.18% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/04/26

The stock earns a strong overall score driven primarily by its exceptionally robust financial foundation and high-quality cash generation. Attractively valued with a low P/E ratio and very low market volatility, the company presents an appealing low-risk profile. Additionally, the stock exhibits solid bullish technical momentum, trading comfortably above all key moving averages.

Positive Factors
Strong Balance SheetConservative leverage and substantial equity funding should support Tosnet’s resilience through operating volatility, preserve financial flexibility for security-system investments, and reduce reliance on external financing over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Recent Revenue ContractionRecent revenue contraction signals weaker demand, project timing, or customer expansion across Tosnet’s guarding and security-systems activities. Sustained weakness would limit operating leverage and constrain medium-term earnings growth.

Tosnet Corporation (4754) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:4754-1.25%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 7.03B
Dividend Yield
2.45%
Average Volume (3M)
1,094
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.2
Beta (1Y)
0.37
Revenue Growth
-4.06%
EPS Growth
-44.14%
Country
Japan
Employees
864
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Security & Protection Services

Tosnet Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

TOSNET Corporation, encompassing its subsidiaries, delivers a comprehensive suite of security and support services across Japan. The company's core offerings include manned guarding for diverse locations such as corporate offices, retail establishmen...

How the Company Makes Money

null

Tosnet Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The company boasts a highly stable financial profile, anchored by a low-risk balance sheet with minimal debt (0.13 Debt-to-Equity). Coupled with an improved net profit margin of 7.7% and excellent free cash flow generation (1.08 FCF to Net Income), the fundamentals are exceptionally solid.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

92Very Positive

Cash Flow

85Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.47B11.91B11.56B10.94B10.03B9.92B
Gross Profit3.67B3.81B3.69B3.56B3.31B3.27B
EBITDA909.05M1.09B994.35M958.67M843.45M939.02M
Net Income531.55M757.67M891.65M576.81M498.73M564.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.94B11.31B11.22B10.57B9.43B9.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.30B6.10B5.80B5.42B4.57B4.58B
Total Debt392.87M922.04M1.05B1.34B1.13B1.13B
Total Liabilities2.48B2.83B3.29B3.37B2.75B2.71B
Stockholders Equity8.45B8.48B7.93B7.20B6.68B6.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow561.39M561.39M964.67M925.93M235.71M720.41M
Operating Cash Flow797.43M797.43M1.06B1.02B526.37M810.32M
Investing Cash Flow-86.79M-86.79M-273.17M-233.68M-329.02M-80.00M
Financing Cash Flow-404.19M-404.19M-513.63M72.84M-211.76M-261.98M

Tosnet Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1512.00

Price Trends

50DMA1486.07Positive
100DMA1478.49Positive
200DMA1493.42Positive

Market Momentum

MACD5.04Positive
RSI52.11Neutral
STOCH50.00Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4754, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1512.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1516.65, above the 50-day MA of 1486.07, and above the 200-day MA of 1493.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 5.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4754.

Tosnet Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:4754 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4754JP:475484OutperformJPY 7.15B13.20―2.45%-4.06%-44.14%
JP:9735JP:973576OutperformJPY 3.02T24.658.70%1.62%4.15%5.56%
JP:7058JP:705874OutperformJPY 4.06B6.30―7.50%11.17%-9.36%
JP:2331JP:233170OutperformJPY 610.76B16.68―2.59%6.69%18.88%
JP:9740JP:974070OutperformJPY 38.50B20.63―2.65%6.94%-40.69%
JP:4264JP:426465NeutralJPY 7.78B30.22――19.47%84.83%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%JP:4754JP:9735JP:2331JP:4264JP:7058JP:9740Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:4754 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4754Tosnet Corporation1512.00-17.22-1.13%
JP:9735Secom Co 6801.001681.0432.83%
JP:2331Sohgo Security Services Co., Ltd.1199.00172.0916.76%
JP:4264SECURE,INC.1251.00-295.00-19.08%
JP:7058Kyoei Security Service Co., Ltd.2801.00142.915.38%
JP:9740Central Security Patrols Co., Ltd.2639.00-21.76-0.82%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026