Skip to main content
TipRanks
Go Ultimate75% OFF

Tsumura & Co (4540) AI Stock Analysis

3 Followers
JP:4540

Tsumura & Co

(TSE/TYO:4540)

Select Model
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:JPY 4,105.00â–²(6.96% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/10/26

The score is primarily supported by attractive valuation (low P/E and strong dividend yield) and solid reported profitability, but it is held back by weak cash generation (negative free cash flow and poor cash conversion) and only neutral technical signals.

Positive Factors
Revenue and EPS GrowthPositive revenue growth combined with faster EPS expansion indicates that Tsumura is converting business growth into stronger per-share earnings. If sustained, this supports internal reinvestment, strengthens operating scale, and provides a durable foundation for earnings growth over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash ConversionNegative free cash flow and weak conversion of accounting profit into cash reduce the funds available for reinvestment, dividends, and debt reduction. This weakens the quality of reported earnings and means sustained growth may require continued reliance on operating improvement or external financing.

Tsumura & Co (4540) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:4540+2.35%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 1.73B
Dividend Yield
4.12%
Average Volume (3M)
508.05K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
9.0
Beta (1Y)
0.39
Revenue Growth
13.32%
EPS Growth
17.39%
Country
Japan
Employees
4,923
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Tsumura & Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in Tokyo, Japan, in 1893, Tsumura & Co. operates worldwide in the pharmaceutical sector. The company's core business involves the creation and international distribution of various medicinal products, with a particular focus on Kampo extr...

How the Company Makes Money

Tsumura makes money primarily by selling Kampo medicines and related products. Its largest revenue stream is domestic pharmaceutical sales of prescription Kampo formulations that are manufactured by Tsumura and distributed to medical institutions and...

Tsumura & Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement strength (Score 82) shows solid profitability and positive revenue growth, and the balance sheet is generally stable (Score 74) with moderate leverage. However, cash flow is a major drag (Score 46) with negative free cash flow and weak cash conversion, which materially lowers overall financial quality.

Income Statement

82Very Positive

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

46Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue189.50B181.09B192.62B150.84B140.04B129.55B
Gross Profit90.20B90.58B91.52B68.82B68.28B66.47B
EBITDA53.75B57.25B55.15B34.82B34.03B34.92B
Net Income29.01B32.43B28.12B16.71B16.48B18.84B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets549.68B464.38B592.77B428.25B396.81B350.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments69.48B73.23B84.08B78.08B94.75B67.55B
Total Debt135.41B70.80B135.16B80.10B80.05B50.00B
Total Liabilities211.04B134.27B221.16B132.89B124.56B92.87B
Stockholders Equity305.33B300.53B321.73B270.80B252.05B239.77B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-21.99B6.23B-8.06B-11.21B4.23B11.14B
Operating Cash Flow15.40B33.82B24.72B5.61B16.45B21.31B
Investing Cash Flow-46.44B-24.97B-50.31B-19.35B-15.49B-9.11B
Financing Cash Flow20.41B-19.87B32.60B-4.42B24.42B-8.18B

Tsumura & Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price3838.00

Price Trends

50DMA3751.66Positive
100DMA3731.04Positive
200DMA3744.14Positive

Market Momentum

MACD27.75Negative
RSI53.39Neutral
STOCH65.69Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4540, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3838.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3800.20, above the 50-day MA of 3751.66, and above the 200-day MA of 3744.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 27.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4540.

Tsumura & Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

JP:4540 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4516JP:451671OutperformJPY 232.23B7.29―3.66%12.23%3.35%
JP:4540JP:454070OutperformJPY 298.46B9.019.84%4.12%13.32%17.39%
JP:4534JP:453468NeutralJPY 111.10B10.967.68%2.51%15.85%60.55%
JP:4521JP:452165NeutralJPY 135.61B15.776.11%5.01%5.43%1167.63%
JP:2929JP:292957NeutralJPY 16.51B8.30―3.88%-3.12%406.78%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%75%JP:4540JP:4521JP:4534JP:2929JP:4516Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4540 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4540Tsumura & Co3838.0080.452.14%
JP:4521Kaken Pharmaceutical Co 3790.00346.2410.05%
JP:4534Mochida Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.3285.00180.485.81%
JP:2929Pharma Foods International Co., Ltd.566.00-211.24-27.18%
JP:4516Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd.3392.00132.334.06%

Tsumura & Co Corporate Events

Tsumura Includes Yomeishu Seizo in Interim Consolidated Results

Nov 9, 2026

Tsumura & Co. develops and sells prescription Kampo formulations and healthcare products, including over-the-counter Kampo medicines, serving Japan’s traditional herbal medicine market.The company released supplementary materials for the second quart...

Tsumura Reports Strong First-Half Sales and Profit Growth

Nov 9, 2026

Tsumura & Co. reported higher results for the six months ended September 30, 2026, with net sales rising 15.1% year over year to ¥103.4 billion. Operating profit increased 10.1% to ¥18.8 billion, ordinary profit climbed 23.7% to ¥20.3 billion, and pr...

Tsumura Lifts Earnings Forecast on Yomeishu Deal Despite China Weakness

Oct 28, 2026

Tsumura & Co. has revised its consolidated earnings forecasts for the first half and full year to March 31, 2027, citing stronger interim profits and the consolidation of Yomeishu Seizo. The company now expects higher net sales and profit attributabl...

Tsumura Takes Yomeishu Seizo Private to Boost OTC and Preventive Healthcare

Sep 1, 2026

Tsumura & Co. has completed the acquisition of all shares of Yomeishu Seizo Co., Ltd. from Yuzawa Co., Ltd., paying 6.8 billion yen to take full ownership and integrate the long-established maker of Yomeishu and related products. The deal, effective...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 10, 2026