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Nippon Chemiphar Co., Ltd. (4539) AI Stock Analysis

JP:4539

Nippon Chemiphar Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:4539)

Select Model
Rating:35Underperform
Price Target:JPY 1,421.00â–¼(-4.89% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/10/26

Nippon Chemiphar scores poorly, driven primarily by fragile financials: flat revenue, severe gross margin compression, near-breakeven net income, and persistently negative free cash flow that is being funded by rising debt (debt-to-equity now 0.94x). Technicals reinforce the caution, with the shares trading below all major moving averages and a negative MACD, though the low Stochastic reading hints at short-term selling exhaustion. Valuation offers little support given the negative P/E, with the 3.26% dividend yield the one positive - but its sustainability is uncertain given weak cash generation. Investors would need to see margin recovery, debt reduction and a return to positive free cash flow before confidence improves.

Positive Factors
Revenue RecoveryThe sharp revenue recovery indicates renewed demand and improved commercial traction after the prior-year decline. If the rebound persists, a larger sales base can support operating leverage, broader product reach, and more resources for maintaining the company’s prescription-drug franchise.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash GenerationRepeated free-cash-flow deficits reduce confidence that reported earnings consistently convert into funding for the business. Volatile operating cash flow can constrain investment, debt reduction, and shareholder distributions, leaving less flexibility if operating conditions weaken.

Nippon Chemiphar Co., Ltd. (4539) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:4539+0.82%EWJ+16.91%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 5.42B
Dividend Yield
3.35%
Average Volume (3M)
2,636
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-11.3
Beta (1Y)
0.16
Revenue Growth
0.31%
EPS Growth
-194.72%
Country
Japan
Employees
878
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Nippon Chemiphar Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nippon Chemiphar Co., Ltd., alongside its subsidiaries, is a global pharmaceutical entity engaged in the research, production, marketing, and sale of ethical drugs and diagnostic agents. Its diagnostic product lineup features the IgE NC kit, which me...

How the Company Makes Money

Nippon Chemiphar makes money primarily by selling pharmaceutical products. Its core revenue stream is domestic sales of prescription medicines to wholesalers and distributors that supply hospitals, clinics, and pharmacies; revenue is recognized based...

Nippon Chemiphar Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are weak across all three statements. Revenue has stagnated near ¥31-33 billion while gross margins collapsed from ~36.3% (FY2021) to ~26.9% (FY2025), leaving net margins at just 0.9% and ROE at 1.5%. Debt climbed from ¥14.8bn to ¥18.1bn, lifting debt-to-equity to 0.94x against barely growing equity. Most concerning, free cash flow has been negative in four of the last five years and operating cash flow was negative again in FY2025, meaning operations and capex are being funded by borrowing. FY2026 estimates point to further EBIT deterioration (¥180 million) and continued negative free cash flow.

Income Statement

28Negative

Balance Sheet

38Negative

Cash Flow

22Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue32.82B33.09B32.57B30.75B31.56B32.51B
Gross Profit8.93B8.40B8.75B7.74B8.19B9.07B
EBITDA2.01B2.00B1.83B1.40B2.10B2.68B
Net Income395.00M198.00M294.00M-180.00M339.00M700.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets52.68B49.98B49.85B49.55B48.57B49.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.69B5.34B7.02B9.20B10.53B11.64B
Total Debt19.02B16.58B18.06B16.98B15.23B14.79B
Total Liabilities33.76B30.46B30.68B31.08B30.03B30.95B
Stockholders Equity18.92B19.51B19.17B18.46B18.53B18.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-231.00M-1.86B-2.34B-1.93B1.07B
Operating Cash Flow0620.00M-265.00M296.00M-916.00M1.80B
Investing Cash Flow0-661.00M-1.66B-3.14B-394.00M35.00M
Financing Cash Flow0-1.67B-305.00M1.45B144.00M-793.00M

Nippon Chemiphar Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1494.00

Price Trends

50DMA1556.82Negative
100DMA1572.90Negative
200DMA1623.18Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-13.40Positive
RSI32.42Neutral
STOCH7.72Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4539, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1494.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1540.15, below the 50-day MA of 1556.82, and below the 200-day MA of 1623.18, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -13.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.72 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4539.

Nippon Chemiphar Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

JP:4539 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4524JP:452482OutperformJPY 8.95B11.38―2.97%0.98%69.36%
JP:4577JP:457767NeutralJPY 38.17B12.13―3.03%-2.83%65.69%
JP:4538JP:453864NeutralJPY 18.48B8.21―4.27%2.29%―
JP:4574JP:457461NeutralJPY 13.02B19.21―1.25%13.30%66.38%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
JP:4512JP:451245NeutralJPY 10.52B30.43―1.17%25.89%―
JP:4539JP:453935UnderperformJPY 5.47B-11.34―3.35%0.31%-194.72%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-10%0%10%20%JP:4539JP:4512JP:4524JP:4538JP:4574JP:4577Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4539 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4539Nippon Chemiphar Co., Ltd.1494.009.290.63%
JP:4512Wakamoto Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.300.0012.424.32%
JP:4524Morishita Jintan Co., Ltd.2190.00133.016.47%
JP:4538Fuso Pharmaceutical Industries,Ltd.2108.0064.793.17%
JP:4574Taiko Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.263.00-12.00-4.36%
JP:4577Daito Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.1321.00114.269.47%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 09, 2026