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Toumei Co. Ltd. (4439) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4439

Toumei Co. Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:4439)

Select Model
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:JPY 1,256.00â–²(12.54% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/16/26

Toumei scores well on the strength of rapid revenue growth, expanding margins and a conservatively financed balance sheet with minimal debt and healthy returns on equity. The main risk is cash generation: the most recent year produced negative operating and free cash flow despite record profits, alongside slowing growth and mild margin compression. Technically the shares are in a firm uptrend above all key moving averages, though momentum readings are extended after a sharp advance. A modest P/E of 12 plus a 1.28% dividend yield keeps the valuation supportive, leaving an above-average overall score that would improve further if earnings begin converting into cash again.

Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheetThe substantial reduction in leverage and growth in equity provide financial flexibility for ongoing operations and investment. A conservatively financed balance sheet should improve resilience through business fluctuations and reduce the pressure that debt servicing can place on future cash allocation.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flowThe reversal from several years of positive operating and free cash flow to substantial 2026 outflows weakens confidence in near-term cash-generation reliability. If the deterioration persists, Toumei may have less internally generated funding for investment, distributions, or balance-sheet strengthening.

Toumei Co. Ltd. (4439) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:4439+10.30%EWJ+15.69%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 34.24B
Dividend Yield
1.16%
Average Volume (3M)
26.61K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.4
Beta (1Y)
0.17
Revenue Growth
12.07%
EPS Growth
2.23%
Country
Japan
Employees
586
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Conglomerates

Toumei Co. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Toumei Co., Ltd. is a Japanese enterprise primarily focused on establishing telecommunications infrastructure, particularly for optical fiber internet services, offices, and retail outlets across the country. The company supports small and medium-siz...

How the Company Makes Money

Toumei Co., Ltd. primarily makes money by charging customers recurring fees and usage-based fees for telecommunications and communication-related services, alongside one-time fees for setup, installation, and related implementation work. Key revenue...

Toumei Co. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong income statement (82) and balance sheet (80) are offset by weak cash flow (38). Revenue has roughly 2.5x'd since FY2021 to ¥32.6 billion with gross margin expanding to ~33% and net income reaching ¥2.47 billion, while debt has been cut to ¥1.22 billion for a very low 0.10 debt-to-equity and ~21% return on equity. The drag is cash conversion: the latest year swung to negative operating cash flow of ¥819 million and negative free cash flow of ¥1.03 billion despite record profits, the third negative free cash flow year in six. Slowing revenue growth (+12%), flat net profit growth (+1.5%) and slight margin slippage temper the otherwise impressive multi-year trajectory.

Income Statement

82Very Positive

Balance Sheet

80Positive

Cash Flow

38Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMAug 2026Aug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Aug 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue32.58B32.58B29.07B23.92B20.53B17.70B
Gross Profit10.75B10.75B9.84B7.83B6.43B4.34B
EBITDA3.83B3.83B3.62B2.43B1.87B469.70M
Net Income2.47B2.47B2.43B1.55B1.15B269.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.23B18.23B16.60B14.19B11.55B9.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.34B5.34B7.88B6.64B4.41B1.61B
Total Debt1.22B1.22B1.52B2.03B2.20B2.00B
Total Liabilities6.22B6.22B6.80B6.55B5.37B4.29B
Stockholders Equity12.01B12.01B9.80B7.64B6.18B5.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-1.03B2.39B2.87B3.29B-2.56B
Operating Cash Flow0-819.08M2.42B2.90B3.32B-2.54B
Investing Cash Flow0-1.07B-367.82M-369.46M-662.11M138.87M
Financing Cash Flow0-660.60M-808.78M-298.98M143.71M1.02B

Toumei Co. Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1116.00

Price Trends

50DMA896.28Positive
100DMA830.11Positive
200DMA869.25Positive

Market Momentum

MACD48.87Negative
RSI81.08Negative
STOCH88.52Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4439, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1116.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1020.80, above the 50-day MA of 896.28, and above the 200-day MA of 869.25, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 48.87 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 81.08 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.52 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4439.

Toumei Co. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

JP:4439 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:8081JP:808182OutperformJPY 51.05B13.08―3.46%13.18%2.22%
JP:3106JP:310680OutperformJPY 186.63B15.46―15.08%1.96%32.98%
JP:4439JP:443975OutperformJPY 32.01B13.43―1.16%12.07%2.23%
JP:8014JP:801474OutperformJPY 105.57B8.56―3.67%2.92%28.84%
JP:8078JP:807873OutperformJPY 378.57B8.0110.41%3.60%11.09%9.57%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
JP:8285JP:828555NeutralJPY 42.67B11.45―2.04%6.05%22.61%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%75%JP:4439JP:8078JP:3106JP:8014JP:8081JP:8285Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4439 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4439Toumei Co. Ltd.1116.0089.488.72%
JP:8078Hanwa Co., Ltd.1831.00551.3043.08%
JP:3106KURABO INDUSTRIES LTD.2201.00846.4162.48%
JP:8014Chori Co., Ltd.4355.00623.4616.71%
JP:8081Kanaden Corporation2488.00510.1925.80%
JP:8285Mitani Sangyo Co., Ltd.686.00177.8635.00%

Toumei Co. Ltd. Corporate Events

Toumei Co. Ltd. Posts Solid 2026 Results and Projects Strong Profit Growth for 2027

Oct 15, 2026

Toumei Co. Ltd. reported consolidated net sales of ¥32.6 billion for the fiscal year ended August 31, 2026, up 12.1% year on year, while operating profit rose 8.4% and profit attributable to owners of the parent edged up 1.5% to ¥2.47 billion. Despit...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 16, 2026