Welby Inc. AI Stock Analysis
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Welby Inc. (4438) AI Stock Analysis
Welby Inc.
(TSE/TYO:4438)
The overall score reflects a sharp contrast between fundamental distress and technical strength. The primary risk lies in severe unprofitability, rapidly increasing debt, and continuous cash burn, driving the financial and valuation scores to the absolute minimum. However, strong short-term bullish momentum in the stock's price action partially offsets these fundamental weaknesses in the final weighted calculation.
Welby Inc. (4438) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
- Market Cap
- JPY 2.31B
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 166.73K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -4.4
- Beta (1Y)
- 1.27
- Revenue Growth
- 14.84%
- EPS Growth
- 30.67%
- Country
- Japan
- Employees
- 44
- Sector
- General
- Sector Strength
- 55
- Industry
- Medical - Healthcare Information Services
Welby Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Established in Tokyo, Japan, in 2011, Welby Inc. specializes in developing digital healthcare solutions aimed at enhancing patients' access to and engagement with medical services. The company's extensive portfolio addresses a wide array of health co...
Welby Inc. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
The company is in severe financial distress. Despite high gross margins, sustained operating losses have led to massive equity erosion, high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.22, and continuous negative operating cash flows.
Income Statement
22NegativeBalance Sheet
18Very NegativeCash Flow
12Very Negative| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 648.58M | 635.72M | 528.04M | 575.00M | 1.05B | 1.14B |
| Gross Profit | 454.44M | 448.67M | 379.92M | 376.00M | 755.44M | 683.91M |
| EBITDA | -404.35M | -500.26M | -792.75M | -499.97M | 40.29M | -127.70M |
| Net Income | -525.32M | -539.69M | -804.60M | -505.00M | 33.91M | -130.68M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 847.17M | 1.05B | 1.17B | 1.21B | 1.40B | 1.39B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 516.23M | 711.43M | 740.43M | 883.00M | 830.82M | 960.72M |
| Total Debt | 539.39M | 605.71M | 200.00M | 1.21M | 8.35M | 15.49M |
| Total Liabilities | 636.94M | 747.89M | 328.90M | 88.00M | 121.40M | 134.83M |
| Stockholders Equity | 180.92M | 272.33M | 810.02M | 1.09B | 1.27B | 1.26B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0 | -332.29M | -776.25M | -177.00M | -146.86M | -115.46M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0 | -329.49M | -603.63M | -174.00M | -114.11M | -95.95M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0 | 272.44M | -235.84M | -114.39M | -7.04M | -34.56M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0 | 28.05M | 696.54M | 341.25M | -8.74M | -7.14M |
Welby Inc. Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4438, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 274.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 283.75, below the 50-day MA of 280.70, and below the 200-day MA of 287.31, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4438.
Welby Inc. Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
JP:559283Outperform
JP:448372Outperform
JP:943871Outperform
JP:448054Neutral- JP:443854Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP:5592 | 83Outperform | JPY 24.52B | 7.56 | ― | 1.78% | 18.66% | -10.20% |
| JP:4483 | 72Outperform | JPY 244.77B | 33.34 | ― | 0.48% | 20.50% | 19.27% |
| JP:9438 | 71Outperform | JPY 27.35B | 12.65 | ― | 3.94% | 3.99% | -34.91% |
| Sector * | 55Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% |
| JP:4480 | 54Neutral | JPY 67.05B | 38.48 | 11.30% | ― | 21.01% | 10.15% |
| JP:4438 | 54Neutral | JPY 2.34B | -4.39 | ― | ― | 14.84% | 30.67% |
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP:4438 | Welby Inc. | 274.00 | -57.00 | -17.22% | |
| JP:4480 | Medley, Inc. | 2108.00 | -447.00 | -17.50% | |
| JP:4483 | JMDC Inc. | 3740.00 | -514.30 | -12.09% | |
| JP:5592 | Kusurinomadoguchi, Inc. | 2140.00 | -542.49 | -20.22% | |
| JP:9438 | MTI Ltd. | 507.00 | -246.67 | -32.73% |
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Oct 22, 2026