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Smaregi, Inc. (4431) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4431

Smaregi, Inc.

(TSE/TYO:4431)

Select Model
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:JPY 4,451.00â–²(28.27% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/29/26

The company's outstanding financial performance, marked by triple-digit revenue growth, high profitability, and a pristine balance sheet, is the primary driver of the score. Strong cash flow generation further supports this. The technical trend is positive, though short-term indicators suggest a neutral to slightly cautious momentum. Valuation is fair, reflecting the company's growth profile without being a significant bargain. Overall, the stock is fundamentally excellent with a solid technical backdrop.

Positive Factors
Revenue and Profitability GrowthRapid revenue expansion combined with healthy and improving margins indicates strong product adoption and operating leverage. This supports durable earnings growth, gives Smaregi more resources to reinvest in its platform, and can strengthen its competitive position across retail and hospitality customers.
Negative Factors
Growth Sustainability RiskMaintaining unusually rapid growth becomes more difficult as the company expands its revenue base and reaches more mature penetration levels. Any moderation could reduce operating leverage and make future earnings growth less exceptional, so continued customer and platform expansion remains important.

Smaregi, Inc. (4431) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%JP:4431+24.51%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 66.84B
Dividend Yield
0.69%
Average Volume (3M)
95.39K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
26.4
Beta (1Y)
0.51
Revenue Growth
20.70%
EPS Growth
56.44%
Country
Japan
Employees
477
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Application

Smaregi, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Smaregi, Inc. plans, designs, develops, and provides web services. The company also offers Smaregi, a cloud type POS cash register system; Smaregi Techfirm (SES), provides training activities such as education and support at Sumaregi; PAYGATE, a cash...

Smaregi, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Exceptional financial health. Revenue surged 115% with expanding margins (gross 65.7%, EBIT 24.1%). The balance sheet is virtually debt-free (D/E 0.01) with a strong 23.2% ROE. Cash flow is robust, with operating cash flow of ¥3.12B and an 88% FCF conversion rate.

Income Statement

95Very Positive

Balance Sheet

98Very Positive

Cash Flow

90Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMApr 2026Apr 2025Apr 2024Apr 2023Apr 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.94B13.35B11.07B8.39B5.91B4.30B
Gross Profit9.27B8.77B6.76B5.20B3.57B2.64B
EBITDA4.43B3.78B2.72B1.95B1.11B744.27M
Net Income2.54B2.23B1.64B1.21B887.60M444.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.86B14.08B10.75B7.96B6.18B5.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.66B8.14B5.91B5.28B3.96B3.51B
Total Debt100.00M100.00M100.00M000
Total Liabilities4.02B4.47B3.08B1.99B1.50B1.00B
Stockholders Equity9.83B9.61B7.67B5.97B4.68B4.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow02.74B1.79B1.35B806.71M116.59M
Operating Cash Flow03.12B2.47B1.71B986.44M222.99M
Investing Cash Flow0-606.77M-1.92B-393.08M-310.73M-84.51M
Financing Cash Flow0-288.35M82.22M8.84M-447.94M17.21M

Smaregi, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3470.00

Price Trends

50DMA3602.10Negative
100DMA3325.52Positive
200DMA2853.79Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-42.65Positive
RSI42.75Neutral
STOCH34.87Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4431, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3470.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3706.00, below the 50-day MA of 3602.10, and above the 200-day MA of 2853.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -42.65 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4431.

Smaregi, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4431 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4431JP:443180OutperformJPY 67.50B26.36―0.69%20.70%56.44%
JP:4374JP:437475OutperformJPY 9.51B14.84―1.12%14.08%28.55%
JP:3769JP:376973OutperformJPY 654.37B26.3521.67%1.94%15.40%14.93%
JP:3623JP:362371OutperformJPY 7.00B12.46―2.37%13.23%40.67%
JP:3633JP:363367NeutralJPY 12.30B7.72―2.88%-3.24%80.65%
JP:4496JP:449667NeutralJPY 5.36B20.23―2.60%6.91%94.01%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%JP:4431JP:3769JP:3623JP:3633JP:4374JP:4496Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4431 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4431Smaregi, Inc.3470.00676.0624.20%
JP:3769GMO Payment Gateway 8755.00-1101.80-11.18%
JP:3623Billing System Corporation1090.0081.818.11%
JP:3633GMO Pepabo, Inc.2326.00198.239.32%
JP:4374ROBOT PAYMENT INC.1245.00-181.63-12.73%
JP:4496Commerce One Holdings, Inc.787.0013.351.73%

Smaregi, Inc. Corporate Events

Smaregi to Take Over Casio Subsidiary’s NetRegi Cloud POS Business

Sep 25, 2026

Smaregi has agreed to take over the NetRegi business from CXD NEXT, a Casio Computer subsidiary, via a simplified absorption-type company split effective December 1, 2026. The transfer will include assets, liabilities and contractual positions relate...

Smaregi posts sharp profit growth and maintains upbeat full-year outlook

Sep 14, 2026

Smaregi reported strong consolidated results for the three months ended July 31, 2026, with net sales rising 19.7% year on year to ¥3,608 million and operating profit surging 73.3% to ¥1,027 million. Ordinary profit reached ¥1,022 million and profit...

Smaregi Finalizes Terms for Director Stock Acquisition Rights

Aug 31, 2026

Smaregi, Inc. has finalized the terms for issuing paid stock acquisition rights as stock options to one of its directors, following a July 29, 2026 board resolution. The granted 3,000 stock acquisition rights will entitle the holder to acquire up to...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2026