Miyoshi Oil & Fat Co., Ltd. (4404) AI Stock Analysis

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Miyoshi Oil & Fat Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:4404)

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Rating:62.6Neutral

Price Target:JPY 2,264.00▲(6.14% Upside)

Action:downgraded

Date:11/07/26

The company's financial foundation is a key strength, driven by a robust balance sheet with low leverage and high returns on equity. However, this is significantly challenged by weak technical momentum, with the stock trading below key moving averages and exhibiting negative MACD. Additionally, declining free cash flow and operating margin volatility present risks. The attractive valuation and solid dividend yield provide some support, resulting in a moderately positive overall score.

Positive Factors

Steady Revenue GrowthSteady revenue growth across multiple years indicates improving demand and/or pricing for Miyoshi Oil & Fat’s products. A sustained top-line trend can support operating scale, customer retention, and reinvestment in edible fats, oils, and functional materials over the next several quarters.

Negative Factors

Operating Margin VolatilityThe decline in operating profit despite continued revenue growth shows that sales expansion has not translated consistently into operating earnings. Persistent cost pressure or other recurring factors could limit margin sustainability and reduce the earnings benefit of future top-line growth.

Miyoshi Oil & Fat Co., Ltd. (4404) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Market Cap: JPY 21.54B
Dividend Yield: 3.29%
Average Volume (3M): 17.61K
Price to Earnings (P/E): 10.9
Beta (1Y): 0.48
Revenue Growth: 6.84%
EPS Growth: -78.26%
Country: Japan
Employees: 599
Sector: General
Sector Strength: 55
Industry: Packaged Foods

Miyoshi Oil & Fat Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Miyoshi Oil & Fat Co., Ltd., established in 1921 and headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, operates as a significant manufacturer and distributor of both food and industrial oil-based products across the country. Its comprehensive selection of food items en...

Miyoshi Oil & Fat Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Solid balance sheet strength (Score 85) with low debt and high ROE is offset by weakening cash flows (Score 55) and volatile operating margins. Net income surged due to non-operating gains, but negative free cash flow and declining operating profit margins temper the overall financial health.

Income Statement

70Positive

Balance Sheet

85Very Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	62.64B	59.47B	57.03B	56.24B	52.74B	47.48B
Gross Profit	11.77B	11.27B	11.63B	9.63B	5.09B	7.15B
EBITDA	4.58B	3.65B	6.00B	4.79B	1.48B	2.73B
Net Income	1.99B	9.62B	2.82B	2.08B	-267.00M	677.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	87.51B	84.16B	72.71B	62.44B	58.67B	52.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	6.35B	9.67B	7.07B	6.11B	4.96B	5.53B
Total Debt	17.55B	15.09B	20.09B	11.68B	12.47B	9.25B
Total Liabilities	43.12B	41.49B	41.64B	34.19B	34.10B	27.33B
Stockholders Equity	44.34B	42.63B	31.03B	28.21B	24.52B	25.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0	-2.84B	347.00M	1.84B	-4.93B	978.00M
Operating Cash Flow	0	2.35B	3.28B	3.72B	-3.56B	3.35B
Investing Cash Flow	0	5.31B	-2.52B	-1.49B	176.00M	-1.44B
Financing Cash Flow	0	-5.22B	196.00M	-1.07B	2.81B	-1.24B

Miyoshi Oil & Fat Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative

Last Price2133.00

Price Trends

50DMA2192.44Negative

100DMA2064.27Positive

200DMA2144.90Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-18.60Positive

RSI45.03Neutral

STOCH36.04Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4404, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2133.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2170.15, below the 50-day MA of 2192.44, and below the 200-day MA of 2144.90, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -18.60 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4404.

Miyoshi Oil & Fat Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:4404 against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JP:2612	86Outperform	JPY 86.52B	29.13	―	1.45%	-0.53%	10.87%
JP:2809	71Outperform	JPY 665.42B	25.90	7.92%	1.32%	4.07%	-6.32%
JP:4404	63Neutral	JPY 21.72B	10.90	―	3.29%	6.84%	-78.26%
JP:2602	59Neutral	JPY 201.40B	16.05	5.86%	2.76%	8.63%	-45.54%
JP:2613	59Neutral	JPY 71.16B	15.24	―	3.44%	3.74%	-8.65%
Sector *	55Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
JP:2607	49Neutral	JPY 360.27B	24.36	―	1.33%	3.57%	54.54%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

JP:4404 and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
JP:4404	Miyoshi Oil & Fat Co., Ltd.	2133.00	-105.15	-4.70%
JP:2602	Nisshin OilliO Group, Ltd.	2176.00	494.15	29.38%
JP:2809	Kewpie Corporation	4856.00	526.82	12.17%
JP:2607	Fuji Oil Holdings, Inc.	4275.00	812.39	23.46%
JP:2612	Kadoya Sesame Mills Incorporated	3095.00	1854.04	149.40%
JP:2613	J-Oil Mills, Inc.	2180.00	250.49	12.98%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026

Miyoshi Oil & Fat Co., Ltd. AI Stock Analysis