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Simplex Holdings,Inc. (4373) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4373

Simplex Holdings,Inc.

(TSE/TYO:4373)

Select Model
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,250.00â–²(5.84% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:10/30/26

The company's financial health is a major strength, driven by accelerating revenue growth, expanding margins, and excellent cash flow conversion. However, the stock's current technical posture is weak, trading below key moving averages with neutral-to-bearish momentum indicators, which significantly offsets the strong fundamentals. The valuation is fair and does not provide a catalyst. The overall score reflects a fundamentally sound company facing near-term negative price pressure.

Positive Factors
Strong profitability and marginsThe company is converting revenue into substantial operating and net profits, demonstrating a profitable business model with meaningful earnings capacity. Gross, EBIT, and net margins at these levels provide resilience and support continued investment, even if growth normalizes over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Recent revenue growth has slowedThe long-term revenue expansion is encouraging, but the much slower recent growth rate indicates that prior momentum has moderated. Continued normalization could limit operating leverage, reduce the pace of earnings compounding, and make future performance more dependent on efficiency than on broad top-line expansion.

Simplex Holdings,Inc. (4373) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:4373+6.52%EWJ+13.61%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 263.18B
Dividend Yield
1.54%
Average Volume (3M)
1.31M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
25.1
Beta (1Y)
0.64
Revenue Growth
20.04%
EPS Growth
8.16%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,850
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Information Technology Services

Simplex Holdings,Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Simplex Holdings, Inc., founded in 1997 and based in Tokyo, Japan, delivers a comprehensive suite of technology and advisory services to a global clientele. This diverse customer base includes financial institutions, private corporations, and governm...

Simplex Holdings,Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong and improving profitability with TTM net margin expanding to 17.3% and revenue growth accelerating to 4.3%. Cash flow generation is a standout, with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.96. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.44) and a high return on equity of 20.8%. Minor concerns include historical cash flow variability and lack of liquidity detail.

Income Statement

82Very Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

85Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue64.00B58.68B47.39B40.71B34.95B30.58B
Gross Profit28.84B25.62B19.52B17.09B14.15B12.57B
EBITDA17.49B17.18B13.68B11.46B9.99B8.55B
Net Income10.57B10.54B7.78B6.19B5.43B4.21B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets85.47B88.17B80.61B81.56B70.89B67.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.16B14.44B13.44B13.73B12.83B13.97B
Total Debt20.69B22.46B18.63B22.62B21.26B21.68B
Total Liabilities33.02B36.72B31.80B34.47B28.91B30.38B
Stockholders Equity52.45B51.45B48.81B47.09B41.98B37.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.52B10.32B8.77B7.42B3.41B7.43B
Operating Cash Flow11.20B10.69B9.75B8.33B3.73B7.56B
Investing Cash Flow-561.00M1.97B534.00M-3.67B-1.44B-328.00M
Financing Cash Flow-12.31B-11.66B-10.57B-3.77B-3.44B-1.35B

Simplex Holdings,Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1181.00

Price Trends

50DMA1179.24Positive
100DMA1119.35Positive
200DMA1008.41Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-7.50Positive
RSI52.42Neutral
STOCH55.57Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4373, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1181.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1203.85, above the 50-day MA of 1179.24, and above the 200-day MA of 1008.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -7.50 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4373.

Simplex Holdings,Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4373 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:6532JP:653288OutperformJPY 1.86T40.88―0.96%32.48%24.82%
JP:7033JP:703375OutperformJPY 27.45B12.05―1.96%――
JP:4373JP:437366NeutralJPY 278.35B25.11―1.54%20.04%8.16%
JP:2170JP:217063NeutralJPY 61.57B39.72―2.74%11.33%-57.36%
JP:4792JP:479262NeutralJPY 30.44B11.47―4.78%13.80%12.02%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
JP:9556JP:955648NeutralJPY 16.78B32.50――20.41%-62.53%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%JP:4373JP:2170JP:4792JP:6532JP:7033JP:9556Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4373 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4373Simplex Holdings,Inc.1181.00104.109.67%
JP:2170Link and Motivation Inc.557.0082.1917.31%
JP:4792YAMADA Consulting Group Co., Ltd.1621.00-55.59-3.32%
JP:6532BayCurrent Consulting, Inc.11660.004890.8172.25%
JP:7033Management Solutions Co., Ltd.1623.00323.8424.93%
JP:9556INTLOOP, Inc.1828.00-2497.00-57.73%

Simplex Holdings,Inc. Corporate Events

Simplex Holdings Delivers Strong Revenue Growth and Raises Full-Year Forecast

Oct 28, 2026

Simplex Holdings reported consolidated revenue of ¥33.1 billion for the six months ended September 30, 2026, up 19.1% year on year, with operating profit rising 4.8% to ¥7.4 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent edging up 0.7% to ¥4...

Simplex Holdings Raises Full-Year Forecast on Strong DX Demand

Oct 28, 2026

Simplex Holdings, Inc., a provider of digital transformation consulting and engineering services, is benefiting from robust demand for DX solutions across its markets. The company is expanding production capacity through hiring additional engineers a...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2026