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Nippon Kayaku Co (4272) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4272

Nippon Kayaku Co

(TSE/TYO:4272)

Select Model
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:JPY 2,080.00â–²(10.23% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (profitability rebound and low leverage) but tempered by weak and inconsistent free cash flow. Technicals are supportive with a strong uptrend, though overbought signals raise near-term pullback risk. Valuation adds support via a moderate P/E and a solid dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Revenue and profit reboundThe latest rebound in revenue and profitability indicates renewed operating momentum across the business. If sustained, stronger earnings can support investment in specialty products, reinforce customer relationships, and improve internal funding capacity over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak cash conversionWeak and uneven conversion of earnings into free cash flow can limit the funds available for reinvestment, dividends, and other capital returns. The pattern also suggests that higher capital spending or working-capital absorption may continue to constrain financial flexibility.

Nippon Kayaku Co (4272) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%JP:4272+30.06%EWJ+13.61%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 272.02B
Dividend Yield
3.66%
Average Volume (3M)
611.14K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
9.6
Beta (1Y)
0.76
Revenue Growth
15.52%
EPS Growth
33.82%
Country
Japan
Employees
5,946
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Chemicals

Nippon Kayaku Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nippon Kayaku Co., Ltd., along with its subsidiary companies, is a global enterprise based in Tokyo, Japan. Established in 1916 and originally known as Nihon Kayaku Seizou Co., Ltd. until its rebranding in 1945, the company specializes in the develop...

How the Company Makes Money

Nippon Kayaku primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling products from several operating segments, with revenue generated through a mix of business-to-business (B2B) supply contracts and regulated/procurement-driven sales. Key revenue streams...

Nippon Kayaku Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Earnings and revenue momentum improved in the latest year (re-accelerating revenue growth and a sharp net margin rebound), supported by a conservatively financed balance sheet with low leverage. The main drag is weak and uneven cash conversion, with negative/very light free cash flow recently and operating cash flow covering less than half of net income in recent years.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue254.50B241.85B222.58B201.79B198.38B184.81B
Gross Profit77.23B72.88B70.64B60.33B65.90B62.88B
EBITDA46.80B49.82B36.31B21.73B35.31B37.88B
Net Income26.43B24.64B17.51B4.11B14.98B17.18B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets419.88B398.74B373.71B363.17B322.86B315.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments52.42B54.49B59.76B66.18B54.35B53.65B
Total Debt68.18B49.18B49.54B31.68B19.84B16.85B
Total Liabilities136.21B118.63B105.19B92.62B67.83B69.03B
Stockholders Equity282.56B279.00B267.53B269.56B254.02B245.48B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow03.76B-3.73B8.21B7.82B14.45B
Operating Cash Flow028.78B25.53B23.24B20.04B23.14B
Investing Cash Flow0-17.18B-27.31B-19.41B-15.16B-10.64B
Financing Cash Flow0-20.23B-4.76B3.82B-7.95B-11.09B

Nippon Kayaku Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1887.00

Price Trends

50DMA2045.05Negative
100DMA2020.13Negative
200DMA1930.10Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-62.69Positive
RSI37.84Neutral
STOCH38.17Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4272, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1887.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2003.95, below the 50-day MA of 2045.05, and below the 200-day MA of 1930.10, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -62.69 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4272.

Nippon Kayaku Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4272 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4272JP:427274OutperformJPY 272.02B9.6310.42%3.66%15.52%33.82%
JP:4021JP:402173OutperformJPY 935.78B17.8820.97%2.98%12.08%18.51%
JP:4114JP:411467NeutralJPY 357.85B17.19―5.44%7.65%33.78%
JP:4042JP:404264NeutralJPY 794.57B12.897.33%3.95%6.33%55.00%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
JP:3405JP:340554NeutralJPY 585.86B-2397.473.38%2.80%6.57%235.30%
JP:4061JP:406154NeutralJPY 256.33B13.746.08%3.35%-0.41%―

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%80%JP:4272JP:4061JP:3405JP:4021JP:4042JP:4114Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4272 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4272Nippon Kayaku Co 1887.00428.3829.37%
JP:4061Denka Co 2985.50608.1125.58%
JP:3405Kuraray Co 1894.00358.5123.35%
JP:4021Nissan Chemical Corporation7053.002055.8741.14%
JP:4042Tosoh Corporation2529.00336.4815.35%
JP:4114Nippon Shokubai Co., Ltd.2446.00722.3641.91%

Nippon Kayaku Co Corporate Events

Nippon Kayaku Reports First-Half Sales and Profit Growth

Nov 10, 2026

Nippon Kayaku Co., Ltd., listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s Prime Market under code 4272, reported consolidated results for the first half of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027. For the six months ended September 30, 2026, net sales rose 18.0% y...

Nippon Kayaku Raises Fiscal 2027 Consolidated Forecast

Nov 10, 2026

Nippon Kayaku Co., Ltd., listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s Prime Market under code 4272, revised its consolidated forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027. Net sales were raised to ¥277.8 billion from ¥270.9 billion, operating income to...

Nippon Kayaku Buys 437,000 Treasury Shares in October

Nov 9, 2026

Nippon Kayaku Co., Ltd., listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s Prime Market, acquired 437,000 of its common shares for ¥908.6 million through open-market transactions between October 1 and October 31, 2026. Cumulative purchases under the authorized bu...

Nippon Kayaku Finalizes Restricted Stock Disposal, Adjusts Share Count After Employee Consents

Oct 21, 2026

Nippon Kayaku Co., Ltd., a chemicals manufacturer listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market, utilizes an Employee Shareholding Association to distribute equity-based incentives, strengthening ties between employee interests and the company’s lo...

Nippon Kayaku Advances Share Buyback, Nears ¥10 Billion in Treasury Stock

Oct 6, 2026

Nippon Kayaku Co., Ltd. has repurchased 484,500 of its own common shares on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between September 1 and September 30, 2026, at a total cost of about ¥1.0 billion. This buyback forms part of a broader board-approved program author...

Nippon Kayaku to Book ¥7.6 Billion in Dividends From European Subsidiary

Sep 28, 2026

Nippon Kayaku Co., Ltd. will receive dividends totaling approximately 7.6 billion yen from its consolidated subsidiary Kayaku Safety Systems Europe a.s., following a resolution on September 17, 2026, with most funds already received and the remainder...

Nippon Kayaku to Make Sanko Chemical Industry a Wholly Owned Subsidiary

Sep 7, 2026

Nippon Kayaku has resolved to acquire all remaining shares of its subsidiary Sanko Chemical Industry, raising its voting rights from 89.7% on September 7, 2026 to 100% as of October 13, 2026, thereby making Sanko a wholly owned subsidiary. The move i...

Nippon Kayaku Advances Share Buyback Under Board-Approved Program

Sep 4, 2026

Nippon Kayaku has repurchased 1,044,400 of its common shares on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between August 1 and August 31, 2026, at a total cost of about 2.14 billion yen, as part of a board-approved buyback program under Japan’s Companies Act. This br...

Nippon Kayaku Expands Restricted Stock Incentives via Employee Shareholding Association

Aug 25, 2026

Nippon Kayaku Co., Ltd., a Japanese chemical manufacturer listed on the TSE Prime Market, is enhancing its equity-based incentive framework for employees. The company aims to strengthen alignment between staff and shareholders while supporting long-t...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026