Fabrica Holdings Co.Ltd. (4193) AI Stock Analysis

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Fabrica Holdings Co.Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:4193)

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Rating:69Neutral

Price Target:JPY 2,089.00▲(9.49% Upside)

Action:downgraded

Date:08/17/26

The score is driven primarily by solid financial strength (notably low leverage and re-accelerating revenue growth) and a reasonable valuation (P/E ~17 with a modest dividend). These positives are meaningfully offset by weak technicals—negative MACD, low RSI, and the stock trading below key moving averages—signaling unfavorable near-term momentum.

Positive Factors

Re-accelerating Revenue GrowthThe return to roughly 10.9% annual revenue growth indicates renewed demand and improving business momentum after a near-flat prior year. If sustained, this expansion can support operating leverage, broaden the company’s earnings base, and provide resources for continued investment over the next several quarters.

Negative Factors

Margin CompressionThe decline in gross and operating margins from earlier peaks shows that revenue growth has not translated into equally strong profitability. Persistent margin pressure could limit operating leverage, reduce earnings growth relative to sales, and weaken the company’s ability to fund investment from each additional unit of revenue.

Fabrica Holdings Co.Ltd. (4193) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Market Cap: JPY 9.81B
Dividend Yield: 2.36%
Average Volume (3M): 8,356
Price to Earnings (P/E): 14.5
Beta (1Y): 0.39
Revenue Growth: 14.03%
EPS Growth: 130.37%
Country: Japan
Employees: 230
Sector: Technology
Sector Strength: 61
Industry: Software - Application

Fabrica Holdings Co.Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. specializes in developing and marketing systems primarily for the pre-owned vehicle aftermarket. Its core offering is "symphony," an integrated platform tailored for the used car industry. This platform provides funct...

Fabrica Holdings Co.Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong overall fundamentals: revenue growth re-accelerated (~10.9% most recent annual period) and the balance sheet is conservatively financed with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.05). Offsetting this, profitability has been less consistent—gross/EBIT margins have compressed from prior peaks and net margin showed volatility (sharp drop in 2025 before rebounding in 2026). Cash flow is positive and improving in 2026, but has been choppy with a weak 2024 and operating cash flow coverage below 1.0.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

86Very Positive

Cash Flow

73Positive

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2026	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue	10.90B	10.57B	9.21B	8.16B	7.60B	5.86B
Gross Profit	4.87B	4.72B	4.24B	4.00B	3.86B	3.15B
EBITDA	1.50B	1.47B	1.26B	1.17B	1.35B	1.01B
Net Income	712.48M	665.69M	331.67M	673.53M	810.10M	574.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	5.57B	5.83B	5.39B	5.32B	4.72B	3.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.21B	2.45B	2.63B	2.26B	2.34B	2.30B
Total Debt	0	171.87M	249.47M	419.49M	298.03M	413.64M
Total Liabilities	1.87B	2.27B	1.73B	1.72B	1.54B	1.37B
Stockholders Equity	3.70B	3.56B	3.66B	3.60B	3.18B	2.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0	1.03B	846.50M	369.50M	947.23M	466.78M
Operating Cash Flow	0	1.25B	1.06B	602.49M	1.04B	566.92M
Investing Cash Flow	0	-539.40M	-196.06M	-451.69M	-753.53M	-100.17M
Financing Cash Flow	0	-878.52M	-495.76M	-204.02M	-240.16M	774.47M

Fabrica Holdings Co.Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative

Last Price1908.00

Price Trends

50DMA2040.80Negative

100DMA2146.07Negative

200DMA2127.83Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-41.12Negative

RSI41.68Neutral

STOCH72.69Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4193, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1908.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1946.90, below the 50-day MA of 2040.80, and below the 200-day MA of 2127.83, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -41.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4193.

Fabrica Holdings Co.Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4193 against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JP:2307	83Outperform	JPY 16.67B	9.72	―	3.39%	12.51%	12.88%
JP:3763	77Outperform	JPY 59.09B	21.18	―	1.94%	14.75%	9.45%
JP:4477	73Outperform	JPY 35.74B	16.25	―	1.56%	36.14%	304.76%
JP:299A	71Outperform	JPY 46.69B	18.56	―	―	24.95%	23.45%
JP:4193	69Neutral	JPY 10.62B	14.50	―	2.36%	14.03%	130.37%
Sector *	61Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%
JP:5027	59Neutral	JPY 44.56B	34.26	―	0.28%	28.94%	-29.21%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

JP:4193 and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
JP:4193	Fabrica Holdings Co.Ltd.	1908.00	-67.32	-3.41%
JP:2307	Cross Cat Co., Ltd.	1092.00	84.29	8.36%
JP:3763	Pro-Ship Incorporated	2042.00	442.90	27.70%
JP:4477	BASE, Inc.	321.00	-10.93	-3.29%
JP:5027	AnyMind Group Inc.	717.00	46.13	6.88%
JP:299A	dely inc.	1103.00	-277.00	-20.07%

Fabrica Holdings Co.Ltd. Corporate Events

Fabrica Holdings Reports Six-Month Results With Higher Sales and Profit

Nov 12, 2026

Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd., a Tokyo Stock Exchange-listed company, reported consolidated net sales of ¥5,583 million for the six months ended September 30, 2026, up 11.6% year on year. Operating profit rose 2.5% to ¥618 million, ordinary profit incre...

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026

Fabrica Holdings Co.Ltd. AI Stock Analysis