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PLAID Inc. (4165) AI Stock Analysis

5 Followers
JP:4165

PLAID Inc.

(TSE/TYO:4165)

Select Model
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:JPY 835.00▲(13.14% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:10/15/26

The score is driven primarily by improved fundamentals (profitability and strong free-cash-flow generation with high gross margins) and supportive technical strength (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). These positives are tempered by a rich valuation (P/E ~57) and the slowdown in revenue growth, which raises execution risk if growth does not re-accelerate.

Positive Factors
Profitability TurnaroundThe shift from substantial losses to sustained profitability materially improves financial resilience and demonstrates that the operating model can produce earnings at scale. If maintained, positive margins should support reinvestment, strengthen internal funding capacity, and reduce dependence on external capital.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth DecelerationThe sharp slowdown in revenue growth makes future earnings increasingly dependent on margin gains and cost discipline rather than expanding demand. Without a renewed top-line acceleration, the company may have less operating leverage and fewer opportunities to compound profitability over the next several quarters.

PLAID Inc. (4165) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%JP:4165-12.97%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 30.74B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
384.31K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
56.9
Beta (1Y)
0.24
Revenue Growth
21.27%
EPS Growth
-53.38%
Country
Japan
Employees
531
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Software - Application

PLAID Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

PLAID, Inc. is a Japanese company that creates and manages KARTE, a software-as-a-service (SaaS) platform designed to enhance customer experiences. Furthermore, it oversees the development and operation of two distinct digital publications: Shopping...

PLAID Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials show a meaningful turnaround: the company moved from heavy losses (2022–2023) to solid profitability in 2024–2025 with a positive net margin (~8%) and consistently strong gross margins (~71–74%). Cash flow is a key strength with strongly positive operating cash flow/free cash flow in 2024–2025 and high earnings-to-FCF conversion (~94–97%). Offsetting factors include sharply decelerated revenue growth (~0% in 2024 and ~5% in 2025) and a balance sheet that, while moderately leveraged (debt-to-equity ~0.38), shows rising absolute debt from 2024 to 2025.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

71Positive

Cash Flow

78Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.62B13.40B10.99B8.63B7.30B5.44B
Gross Profit10.68B9.75B7.77B6.01B5.17B3.97B
EBITDA1.28B1.51B357.77M-654.01M-685.54M194.00M
Net Income768.67M1.10B320.73M-2.11B-930.78M-106.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.36B9.66B7.30B6.22B7.09B6.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.01B6.60B4.74B3.83B4.24B4.17B
Total Debt4.57B1.82B1.32B1.38B1.84B916.09M
Total Liabilities7.16B4.85B4.10B3.47B3.02B2.03B
Stockholders Equity5.20B4.79B3.15B2.60B4.06B4.86B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.33B1.33B842.86M-371.80M-883.55M391.12M
Operating Cash Flow1.38B1.38B900.48M-325.09M-809.23M410.90M
Investing Cash Flow215.71M215.71M-49.69M318.81M-135.11M-1.33B
Financing Cash Flow264.84M264.84M66.77M-406.94M1.01B3.00B

PLAID Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price738.00

Price Trends

50DMA711.04Positive
100DMA640.09Positive
200DMA623.97Positive

Market Momentum

MACD4.72Positive
RSI52.18Neutral
STOCH69.38Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4165, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 738.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 744.75, above the 50-day MA of 711.04, and above the 200-day MA of 623.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.72 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4165.

PLAID Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:4165 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5038JP:503889OutperformJPY 35.40B28.12―0.70%27.32%20.92%
JP:4477JP:447773OutperformJPY 36.32B15.49―1.61%36.14%304.76%
JP:4165JP:416572OutperformJPY 31.37B56.94――21.27%-53.38%
JP:3835JP:383567NeutralJPY 15.52B15.55―4.38%1.86%-12.57%
JP:9553JP:955358NeutralJPY 15.42B23.30――22.31%691.30%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:6047JP:604755NeutralJPY 6.22B-253.33―6.02%-0.10%-110.45%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%JP:4165JP:3835JP:4477JP:5038JP:6047JP:9553Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4165 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4165PLAID Inc.738.00-172.00-18.90%
JP:3835eBASE Co., Ltd.341.00-103.95-23.36%
JP:4477BASE, Inc.310.00-32.79-9.57%
JP:5038eWeLL Co.,Ltd2294.00-646.93-22.00%
JP:6047Gunosy, Inc.304.00-259.89-46.09%
JP:9553MicroAd, Inc.570.0076.0015.38%

PLAID Inc. Corporate Events

PLAID Completes ¥500 Million Share Buyback on TSE Growth

Sep 11, 2026

PLAID, Inc. has completed a share repurchase program authorized by its board on August 13, 2026, under provisions of the Companies Act and its Articles of Incorporation. The buyback was executed through market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange an...

PLAID Reports Progress on ¥500 Million Share Buyback Program

Sep 1, 2026

PLAID, Inc. has disclosed the progress of its ongoing share repurchase program authorized by its board on August 13, 2026, under provisions of the Companies Act and its Articles of Incorporation. The buyback is being executed via market purchases on...

PLAID Restructures Surplus to Eliminate Retained Earnings Deficit Without Affecting Net Assets

Aug 13, 2026

PLAID, Inc. has resolved to appropriate surplus by transferring ¥3.46 billion from Other Capital Surplus to Retained Earnings Brought Forward to eliminate a deficit in retained earnings on its non-consolidated balance sheet. The move is designed to i...

PLAID Launches Share Buyback of Up to ¥500 Million

Aug 13, 2026

PLAID, Inc. has authorized a share repurchase program under Article 459 of the Companies Act, allowing the company to buy back up to 1.1 million shares, or about 2.7% of its outstanding stock excluding treasury shares. The buyback, capped at ¥500 mil...

PLAID Lifts Revenue Outlook but Cuts Profit Forecast on AI-Driven Hiring Push

Aug 13, 2026

PLAID, Inc. revised its consolidated forecast for the 15‑month fiscal period ending December 31, 2026, projecting slightly higher net sales than previously expected, driven by expanding enterprise transactions, increased value from multi-product and...

PLAID Flags Uncertainty Around Q3 FY12/26 Outlook

Aug 13, 2026

PLAID, Inc. released a document dated August 2026 outlining financial results for the third quarter of its fiscal year ending December 2026, while prominently emphasizing that the materials include forward-looking statements subject to significant ri...

PLAID’s Revenue Grows but Profits Shrink on Aggressive Investment Drive

Aug 13, 2026

PLAID Inc. reported consolidated net sales of ¥11.9 billion for the first nine months of its 15‑month fiscal period to December 31, 2026, up 21.2% year on year, but saw significant profit compression as adjusted operating income fell 24.2% and net in...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 15, 2026