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Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. (4112) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4112

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:4112)

Select Model
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,965.00▼(-2.38% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/10/26

The score is driven primarily by solid underlying profitability and a low-leverage balance sheet, offset by weak and volatile free cash flow. Technicals are a notable drag with a bearish trend and negative momentum, while the low P/E and ~3% dividend yield provide valuation support.

Positive Factors
Healthy ProfitabilityHodogaya maintains positive profitability across gross, operating, EBITDA, and net measures, showing that its specialty-chemical activities generate economic value after production and operating costs. This earnings base can support reinvestment and resilience over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Volatile Free Cash FlowWeak and inconsistent free cash flow limits the reliability of accounting earnings as a source of internally funded growth. Recent negative conversion suggests reinvestment needs or working-capital pressure may continue, potentially constraining dividends, debt reduction, or other capital allocation.

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. (4112) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%JP:4112+19.60%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 32.17B
Dividend Yield
2.73%
Average Volume (3M)
54.96K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
9.2
Beta (1Y)
1.07
Revenue Growth
16.99%
EPS Growth
80.12%
Country
Japan
Employees
946
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Chemicals - Specialty

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd., an established Japanese enterprise founded in Tokyo in 1916 (initially as Hodogaya Soda Co., Ltd. until its rebranding in 1939), specializes in the production and sale of a broad spectrum of chemical products across Japan...

How the Company Makes Money

Hodogaya Chemical makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling specialty chemicals and functional materials to corporate customers. Revenue is generated through (1) product sales of chemical intermediates and specialty chemicals used as inputs...

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Core profitability is healthy (gross margin ~38%, positive net margin ~6.4%) and leverage is conservative (debt-to-equity ~0.18), but cash conversion is a key weakness: free cash flow is low (~¥1.1B) and has been volatile, recently underperforming accounting earnings.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

80Positive

Cash Flow

45Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue49.47B48.04B48.58B44.26B43.32B41.88B
Gross Profit19.35B18.38B18.91B16.87B16.50B17.50B
EBITDA7.66B7.13B7.89B6.35B5.64B8.09B
Net Income3.45B3.05B3.18B2.48B2.22B3.25B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets90.22B86.41B79.86B81.16B72.05B66.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.54B10.14B10.77B12.96B10.49B11.45B
Total Debt9.03B9.49B8.79B9.81B11.08B7.02B
Total Liabilities24.46B22.79B21.32B23.71B22.15B18.53B
Stockholders Equity54.27B52.58B48.60B47.73B42.84B41.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.11B-254.00M248.00M2.99B-2.06B4.38B
Operating Cash Flow7.16B6.09B5.67B8.34B1.06B6.14B
Investing Cash Flow-5.00B-5.03B-6.55B-3.95B-7.04B-3.57B
Financing Cash Flow-305.00M-694.00M-1.88B-2.07B2.29B-1.85B

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price2013.00

Price Trends

50DMA2063.59Negative
100DMA2086.58Negative
200DMA2187.88Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-32.22Positive
RSI49.51Neutral
STOCH50.44Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4112, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2013.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2015.05, below the 50-day MA of 2063.59, and below the 200-day MA of 2187.88, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -32.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4112.

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4112 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4462JP:446278OutperformJPY 37.28B10.29―1.77%7.23%41.65%
JP:4362JP:436277OutperformJPY 55.67B11.84―4.09%-4.92%2.95%
JP:4078JP:407866NeutralJPY 60.77B22.06―4.83%1.45%-60.28%
JP:4112JP:411262NeutralJPY 32.55B9.25―2.73%16.99%80.12%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
JP:4611JP:461156NeutralJPY 51.79B14.10―3.18%20.42%-54.42%
JP:4027JP:402754NeutralJPY 43.36B-152.67―3.65%17.12%-71.60%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%JP:4112JP:4027JP:4078JP:4362JP:4462JP:4611Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4112 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4112Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd.2013.00350.3321.07%
JP:4027Tayca Corporation2193.00936.6974.56%
JP:4078Sakai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.3315.00391.2113.38%
JP:4362Nippon Fine Chemical Co., Ltd.2516.00-85.30-3.28%
JP:4462Ishihara Chemical Company,Ltd.2596.00430.1619.86%
JP:4611Dai Nippon Toryo Company, Limited1823.00609.7150.25%

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Hodogaya Chemical Revises Fiscal 2027 Forecasts Higher

Nov 11, 2026

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. is a chemical company with a functional colorants segment that sells OLED materials. The company revised its consolidated full-year forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 2027, raising net sales to ¥54 billion, operati...

Hodogaya Chemical Presents FY 2026 Second-Quarter Results

Nov 11, 2026

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. is a Tokyo Stock Exchange-listed company identified by ticker 4112; the release provides its consolidated financial results presentation for fiscal 2026, with the fiscal year ending March 2027.The presentation covers the f...

Hodogaya Chemical Reports First-Half 2026 Results

Nov 11, 2026

For the six months ended September 30, 2026, Hodogaya Chemical reported consolidated net sales of ¥26,587 million, up 17.9% year on year, while operating profit rose 122.3% to ¥3,407 million. Ordinary profit increased 94.4% to ¥3,561 million, and pro...

Hodogaya Chemical’s Korean OLED Subsidiary Wins KOSPI Listing Approval

Oct 19, 2026

Hodogaya Chemical announced that its Korean consolidated subsidiary SFC has received approval from the Korea Exchange for a new stock listing on the KOSPI market and has filed a securities registration statement with the Financial Supervisory Service...

Hodogaya Chemical Launches NuChord to Drive Nucleic Acid CDMO Expansion

Sep 2, 2026

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. has established a wholly owned subsidiary, NuChord, to accelerate its entry into the nucleic acid therapeutics CDMO business and build a new growth pillar alongside its OLED materials operations. Leveraging existing biomat...

Hodogaya Chemical Completes Framochem Acquisition and Launches Integrated Global Operations

Aug 26, 2026

Hodogaya Chemical has completed the acquisition of 100 percent of the equity interests in Hungarian fine chemicals company Framochem Francia-Magyar Finomkemiai Kft, following a quota purchase agreement announced in March 2026. Framochem is now a whol...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 10, 2026