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Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. (4112) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4112

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:4112)

Select Model
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:JPY 2,118.00â–²(6.01% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/14/26

Hodogaya Chemical's score of 62 is driven primarily by its highly attractive valuation and stable revenue growth, anchored by a low P/E ratio and solid profit margins. However, the stock's upside is constrained by a pronounced bearish technical trend, as it currently trades below all major moving averages, alongside underlying cash flow volatility and a recent spike in leverage.

Positive Factors
Improving ProfitabilityThe improvement in gross and operating margins indicates stronger current operating performance and better earnings conversion from revenue. If maintained, the higher margin base can support reinvestment, strengthen resilience against cost pressure, and improve sustainable profitability over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak Free Cash FlowVery low free cash flow relative to earnings shows that reported profits are currently converting poorly into spendable cash. This can restrict internally funded investment, dividends, and debt reduction, while making sustained improvement in working-capital or investment demands important.

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. (4112) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%JP:4112+17.95%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 31.82B
Dividend Yield
2.75%
Average Volume (3M)
57.10K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
9.5
Beta (1Y)
1.09
Revenue Growth
16.99%
EPS Growth
80.12%
Country
Japan
Employees
946
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Chemicals - Specialty

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd., an established Japanese enterprise founded in Tokyo in 1916 (initially as Hodogaya Soda Co., Ltd. until its rebranding in 1939), specializes in the production and sale of a broad spectrum of chemical products across Japan...

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The company demonstrates a solid upward trajectory in revenue with healthy profitability margins. However, financial strength is tempered by weak free cash flow generation and a recent spike in debt, reflecting the highly capital-intensive nature of its operations.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

68Positive

Cash Flow

52Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue52.08B48.04B48.58B44.26B43.32B41.88B
Gross Profit21.50B18.38B18.91B16.87B16.50B17.50B
EBITDA8.86B7.13B7.89B6.35B5.64B8.09B
Net Income3.36B3.05B3.18B2.48B2.22B3.25B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets111.56B86.41B79.86B81.16B72.05B66.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.25B10.14B10.77B12.96B10.49B11.45B
Total Debt24.91B9.49B8.79B9.81B11.08B7.02B
Total Liabilities41.82B22.79B21.32B23.71B22.15B18.53B
Stockholders Equity56.45B52.58B48.60B47.73B42.84B41.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow192.00M-254.00M248.00M2.99B-2.06B4.38B
Operating Cash Flow5.91B6.09B5.67B8.34B1.06B6.14B
Investing Cash Flow-21.59B-5.03B-6.55B-3.95B-7.04B-3.57B
Financing Cash Flow14.02B-694.00M-1.88B-2.07B2.29B-1.85B

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1998.00

Price Trends

50DMA2055.56Negative
100DMA2081.89Negative
200DMA2183.87Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-24.86Negative
RSI47.95Neutral
STOCH67.31Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4112, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1998.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2011.35, below the 50-day MA of 2055.56, and below the 200-day MA of 2183.87, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -24.86 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4112.

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4112 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4462JP:446278OutperformJPY 36.67B9.95―1.82%7.23%41.66%
JP:4362JP:436277OutperformJPY 55.82B11.86―4.10%-4.92%2.95%
JP:4078JP:407866NeutralJPY 61.60B21.68―4.78%1.45%-60.28%
JP:4112JP:411262NeutralJPY 32.63B9.46―2.75%16.99%80.12%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
JP:4611JP:461156NeutralJPY 50.71B13.78―3.24%20.42%-54.42%
JP:4027JP:402756NeutralJPY 50.73B100.16―3.21%17.12%-71.60%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%JP:4112JP:4027JP:4078JP:4362JP:4462JP:4611Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4112 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4112Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd.1998.00296.3217.41%
JP:4027Tayca Corporation2490.001225.0696.85%
JP:4078Sakai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.3350.00505.6517.78%
JP:4362Nippon Fine Chemical Co., Ltd.2515.00-93.02-3.57%
JP:4462Ishihara Chemical Company,Ltd.2527.00409.3219.33%
JP:4611Dai Nippon Toryo Company, Limited1790.00569.0646.61%

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Hodogaya Chemical Revises Fiscal 2027 Forecasts Higher

Nov 11, 2026

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. is a chemical company with a functional colorants segment that sells OLED materials. The company revised its consolidated full-year forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 2027, raising net sales to ¥54 billion, operati...

Hodogaya Chemical Presents FY 2026 Second-Quarter Results

Nov 11, 2026

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. is a Tokyo Stock Exchange-listed company identified by ticker 4112; the release provides its consolidated financial results presentation for fiscal 2026, with the fiscal year ending March 2027.The presentation covers the f...

Hodogaya Chemical Reports First-Half 2026 Results

Nov 11, 2026

For the six months ended September 30, 2026, Hodogaya Chemical reported consolidated net sales of ¥26,587 million, up 17.9% year on year, while operating profit rose 122.3% to ¥3,407 million. Ordinary profit increased 94.4% to ¥3,561 million, and pro...

Hodogaya Chemical’s Korean OLED Subsidiary Wins KOSPI Listing Approval

Oct 19, 2026

Hodogaya Chemical announced that its Korean consolidated subsidiary SFC has received approval from the Korea Exchange for a new stock listing on the KOSPI market and has filed a securities registration statement with the Financial Supervisory Service...

Hodogaya Chemical Launches NuChord to Drive Nucleic Acid CDMO Expansion

Sep 2, 2026

Hodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd. has established a wholly owned subsidiary, NuChord, to accelerate its entry into the nucleic acid therapeutics CDMO business and build a new growth pillar alongside its OLED materials operations. Leveraging existing biomat...

Hodogaya Chemical Completes Framochem Acquisition and Launches Integrated Global Operations

Aug 26, 2026

Hodogaya Chemical has completed the acquisition of 100 percent of the equity interests in Hungarian fine chemicals company Framochem Francia-Magyar Finomkemiai Kft, following a quota purchase agreement announced in March 2026. Framochem is now a whol...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2026